Wow - - it's election season, and Kos has a book out? That's just stunning. Of course, I was forewarned, since he's been pimping it on his site ever since he stopped conducting his personal crusade to post a hitpiece against Hillary every hour.
Good post, Todd. After seeing the two new polls I headed over expecting to see something exactly like this, and you didn't disappoint.
Anyone saying this is bad for Obama - - please. Just stop.
Also, great comments above by MAL Contends and tiger547 - - I love the hilarious, and quite accurate, portrayal of McSame having to be steered around to manufactured events, like the Sausage Haus or the Pennsylvania supermaket.
The map put together by Satan Rove has Montana in there as well, getting Obama to 272, which Jonathan's post didn't mention. Kerry states (minus NH)+ IA + CO + NM = 269, which is an electoral tie but an almost certain win in the House. New Hampshire, with 4 EVs, is more likely than MT to go for Obama, and that scenario (all Kerry states + IA, CO, NM) yields 273, I believe.
More broadly, I understand that we don't want to get complacent, but I don't think that any past cycle's polling is relevant, not even 2004's. Kerry's lead in the polls was destroyed by the Swiftboat Liars, from which deplorable scumsucking he never recovered because he didn't fight back against it. I'm 100% sure that there will be more Swiftboat Liars this time around, but also 100% sure that Obama will fight back - - and there's also a good chance of a backlash.
No one should be complacent, but there's every reason to be hopeful and even confident right now.
Weren't Paul's numbers over at Open Left just an amalgamation of Edwards' polling in certain states and Obama's? In other words, no one actually got a direct reaction concerning how Edwards would impact people's choices - - right? An honest question.
Edwards does nothing for me as the VP nominee. It's as simple as been there, done that. His performance in 2004 was pitiful. I admire the hell out of his career accomplishments, but he just doesn't cut it for me as VP material.
Living legend Mitch Daniels would choose the successor in Indiana, and can name a fellow Gooper. That's an automatic disqualifier of Bayh, I think - - never mind the fact that he's not an inspiring option to begin with. I like Biden too, and Hillary.
Good thoughts as to Nunn. He was also one of the 12 Democratic enablers of the great Clarence Thomas - - which should be an automatic, no-questions-asked disqualifier.
Sebelius does nothing for me and doesn't seem to add much to the ticket - - she won't help carry Kansas. However, the biggest reason to avoid her is the nightmare PR fiasco,a s someone mentioned upthread, that would ensue over such a direct skap in the face to Hillary and her millions of supporters. Baaaaaad idea.
If it's not Hillary, it should be Biden. Jack Reed is a good choice except that we would lose the Senate seat.
Well put - - it's sort of illogical, in my view, to think that a retired four-star general (of all people) would just pop off and go off message. Obama got exactly what he (and we all) wanted out of the "incident" - - the idea that McCain is not really some surpassing war hero is now out there in the ether. I thought it was well-orchestrated - - I guess all the more so since a lot of people stridenly deny that it possibly could have been coordinated.
Be sure to avoid Kos at all costs, then, where he's up to his usual, yawn-inducing blowhardism over Obama's comments today. And showing that he's not half as clever as he thinks he is. Bowers, as usual, is about ten steps ahead.
jeromearmstrong Our Polarized and Money-Driven Congress: Created Over 25 Years By Republicans (and Quickly Imitated by Democrats http://bit.ly/ewXlXI #bblue
I'm an HRC supporter too, but Biden was my second choice.
And if the Jerome of late (dude . . . lay off the caffeine, perhaps?) hates it, then I love it!
Elated here in PA!!
Wow - - it's election season, and Kos has a book out? That's just stunning. Of course, I was forewarned, since he's been pimping it on his site ever since he stopped conducting his personal crusade to post a hitpiece against Hillary every hour.
I can't wait not to read this one.
It's not. It's an example of "concern trolling," and a bad one. Come on, folks!
Jerome - - you have absolutely got to be kidding me.
Gallup went to +5 today. Three major national polls this past week showed +5 or +6 nationally. The state polls are looking very good.
And you want to talk about one poll - - and it's the silliness spun out by well-known Gooper ScottyRazz?
Construct another thesis. And find something else to talk about.
Good post, Todd. After seeing the two new polls I headed over expecting to see something exactly like this, and you didn't disappoint.
Anyone saying this is bad for Obama - - please. Just stop.
Also, great comments above by MAL Contends and tiger547 - - I love the hilarious, and quite accurate, portrayal of McSame having to be steered around to manufactured events, like the Sausage Haus or the Pennsylvania supermaket.
The map put together by Satan Rove has Montana in there as well, getting Obama to 272, which Jonathan's post didn't mention. Kerry states (minus NH)+ IA + CO + NM = 269, which is an electoral tie but an almost certain win in the House. New Hampshire, with 4 EVs, is more likely than MT to go for Obama, and that scenario (all Kerry states + IA, CO, NM) yields 273, I believe.
More broadly, I understand that we don't want to get complacent, but I don't think that any past cycle's polling is relevant, not even 2004's. Kerry's lead in the polls was destroyed by the Swiftboat Liars, from which deplorable scumsucking he never recovered because he didn't fight back against it. I'm 100% sure that there will be more Swiftboat Liars this time around, but also 100% sure that Obama will fight back - - and there's also a good chance of a backlash.
No one should be complacent, but there's every reason to be hopeful and even confident right now.
Weren't Paul's numbers over at Open Left just an amalgamation of Edwards' polling in certain states and Obama's? In other words, no one actually got a direct reaction concerning how Edwards would impact people's choices - - right? An honest question.
Edwards does nothing for me as the VP nominee. It's as simple as been there, done that. His performance in 2004 was pitiful. I admire the hell out of his career accomplishments, but he just doesn't cut it for me as VP material.
Living legend Mitch Daniels would choose the successor in Indiana, and can name a fellow Gooper. That's an automatic disqualifier of Bayh, I think - - never mind the fact that he's not an inspiring option to begin with. I like Biden too, and Hillary.
That's "slap" in the face . . . duh :)
Good thoughts as to Nunn. He was also one of the 12 Democratic enablers of the great Clarence Thomas - - which should be an automatic, no-questions-asked disqualifier.
Sebelius does nothing for me and doesn't seem to add much to the ticket - - she won't help carry Kansas. However, the biggest reason to avoid her is the nightmare PR fiasco,a s someone mentioned upthread, that would ensue over such a direct skap in the face to Hillary and her millions of supporters. Baaaaaad idea.
If it's not Hillary, it should be Biden. Jack Reed is a good choice except that we would lose the Senate seat.
Well put - - it's sort of illogical, in my view, to think that a retired four-star general (of all people) would just pop off and go off message. Obama got exactly what he (and we all) wanted out of the "incident" - - the idea that McCain is not really some surpassing war hero is now out there in the ether. I thought it was well-orchestrated - - I guess all the more so since a lot of people stridenly deny that it possibly could have been coordinated.
Cool, Josh got it too. Not a surprise, as he's sharp. Wonder if they've caught on over at Kos yet?
Well, uh, let's see - - the color at least doesn't bother me. :)
batgirl, I'll sign up for both of those.
Be sure to avoid Kos at all costs, then, where he's up to his usual, yawn-inducing blowhardism over Obama's comments today. And showing that he's not half as clever as he thinks he is. Bowers, as usual, is about ten steps ahead.