Why Indiana Matters

Cross-posted from BlueIndiana.net

In 2006, 10% of all Democratic gains in the House of Representatives came from Indiana.  That's three seats out of the 31 that switched from Republican to Democrat.  All three seats are districts which Republican President George Bush carried in both 2000 and 2004.  While all three represent the conservative side of the Democratic spectrum, their voting patterns are a good match for the voters in their districts.

Also in 2006, Democrats on the state level took back the lower house of the Indiana state legislature, added seats in the upper chamber, and took over a number of county seats.  In 2007, Democrats were able to pick up mayors offices in cities around the state, with the notable exception being my home city of Indianapolis.

To top that off, a recent Indianapolis Star poll by respected pollster Ann Selzer shows Republican Mitch Daniels trailing his two relatively-unknown Democratic challengers, with a large majority of Hoosier voters saying Indiana is on the wrong track and giving the governor a 40% approval rating.  The same poll showed that adding Evan Bayh to the Democratic ticket would likely turn Indiana blue on the presidential level.

2008 presents a great opportunity for us to expand and protect the Democratic momentum in Indiana.  2010 is the next national census, which means redistricting will occur in 2011.  Whichever party controls 2/3 of the trifecta (lower chamber, upper chamber, governorship) controls the redistricting process.  In 2000, Democrats controlled the governorship and the lower chamber of the legislature, giving them the opportunity to gerrymander the lines following the loss of a congressional district.

If the Republicans are in control of the redistricting process, Democrats can lose as many as four Indiana congressional seats in the 2012 elections.  That prospect makes defeating Mitch Daniels all the more important.  Many who don't believe in Howard Dean's 50-state strategy would urge us to write off Indiana as a Republican wasteland.  But those of us who do believe in Dean's strategy see the fertile Democratic fields in this formerly Republican farm state.

Tags: 50-State Strategy, Indiana, Redistricting (all tags)

Comments

13 Comments

Just to nit-pick

I'm pretty sure Democrats only picked up 30 seats in the US House in 2006.  First Paragraph, second sentence.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-12-02 11:40AM | 0 recs
Re: Just to nit-pick

Technically, it was 31 seats, but that's because they "picked up" Bernie Sanders seat in Vermont, who was an Independent yet caucused with the Democrats.

The Republicans lost 30 seats, Dems picked up 31. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/r esults/house/

by Vox Populi 2007-12-02 11:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Just to nit-pick

Oh okay.  I suppose that makes sense.  My mistake!  Sorry about that.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-12-02 11:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Just to nit-pick

Hey, it's okay! :)  Hopefully we'll get another 30 seats next year.

by Vox Populi 2007-12-02 11:50AM | 0 recs
Re: Just to nit-pick

Definitely.  The DCCC is heavily invested (Almost 150K) in the OH-05 special election in a PVI-R+~10 District.  Robin Weirauch vs. Latta.  So we might pickup two (That and Hastert's old seat) before 2008.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-12-02 12:07PM | 0 recs
Any chance of taking the state senate?

by psericks 2007-12-02 01:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Any chance of taking the state senate?

Not really in 2008, it's quite gerrymandered at the moment.  Most districts go uncontested.

If district (the most Republican in the metro Indy area) is still uncontested in February, I'm going to file as the Democratic candidate.

by Vox Populi 2007-12-02 01:35PM | 0 recs
Seriously?
Awesome. ;)
by psericks 2007-12-02 05:03PM | 0 recs
Great diary, by the way
by psericks 2007-12-02 01:12PM | 0 recs
Re: Why Indiana Matters


You acknowledge how important Indiana is for the Democratic party.

Yet you contradict that by promoting Barack Obama as the strongest candidate for 2008!

I don't think Obama will convert any White moderate/Conservative Indiana voters.

Indiana is not & never will be Illinois.  In fact, it is the most Red state in the 5 midwest border states.

The Democratic King of Indiana, Evan Bayh- who has enjoyed almost rock star 70%-80% approval ratings as Governor & Senator in the last 12 long years of Indiana politics is not exactly a Liberal African-American. In fact, he's a White DLC.

Step back & think!

by labanman 2007-12-02 03:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Why Indiana Matters

Um, where do I promote Barack Obama?

by Vox Populi 2007-12-02 03:52PM | 0 recs
I actually think it's quite funny

to picture Evan Bayh as a liberal African-American.  It works for me somehow...

So you think we should never risk an African-American at the top of the ticket?  Personally I think choosing our nominee based on the views of the most bigoted members of our society doesn't do justice to our country.  Virginia and Illinois have elected African-Americans statewide, and I certainly think our party should nominate a liberal, either Obama or Edwards.

by psericks 2007-12-02 05:07PM | 0 recs
Re: I actually think it's quite funny

Don't forget Massachussets (Deval Patrick)

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-12-02 05:37PM | 0 recs

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