The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

We are close to entering the 'endgame' of this primary season. Or perhaps I should say the prelude to the endgame, since the real endgame will likely occur at the National Convention in Denver in August.

The final components of this 'middle' game are 3: Florida, Michigan, and to a lesser extent, Pennsylvania.

I wrote yesterday (http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/3/12/1923 3/2529) about my decision to not support Barack Obama in November should he be nominated. I will not support anyone who willingly disenfranchises millions of Democrats, particularly after what happened in 2000 in Florida. That is not acceptable to me, and never would be. And make no mistake: It is Obama's call. Yes, Obama's surrogates are the ones saying things like Obama will only accept a 50/50 delegate split in Michigan, but if Barack wanted it differently, he could say the word and Michigan would be 'healed,' so to speak.

But I only hear silence.

And so my choice is clear. Obama has cast his die, and thus forced me to roll my own.

There are any number of articles I could cite, supporting documents to be found. But I don't have too much time right now, so I'll keep it simple and mostly provide my own analysis.

We, as Democrats, are being led down what I feel is a path to November defeat by two factors:

- A bitter, jealous dislike of all things Clinton

- A 'movement' which is structurally non-sustainable in November,
and which has been falsely constructed at its base due to a series of disingenuous attacks

Clinton hatred: Many of our leaders -- and I use that term lightly -- whom oppose Hillary Clinton are failed presidential aspirants. We know the names: Kerry, Bradley, Kennedy, Dean (well, he hasn't officially declared against HRC; he can't, as head of the DNC), Hart, etc.

All of these individuals have witnessed the Clintons -- in particular Bill Clinton -- succeed where they have not. Some have been more candid in their reasoning for opposing the Clintons (the story is that Ted Kennedy 'snapped' when he heard Hillary laud LBJ for helping get Civil Rights legislation passed, as this was a supposed slight on his brother's administration), others less so. But the subtext is clearly there, if you have the ear for such things.

I listened to Bill Bradley speak today on CNN, and the power of his antipathy towards Hillary Clinton goes beyond mere support for Barack Obama.

What has happened for our Party's anti-Clinton element is a "Reese's" moment, a kind of politically fortuitous meeting akin to peanut butter and chocolate combining forces.

That is, Barack Obama has given them the opportunity to unleash their animosity towards the Clintons, and the Clintons' dominance of a Party which the anti-Clintonites have failed to represent in the White House.

And the anti-Clintons aren't letting go. Disenfranchised electorates, outruled Democratic voters and November prospects be damned. Never underestimate the collective strength of a series of bruised egos.

.
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Structurally non-sustainable 'movement' in November:

African-American voters will help insure that Democratic presidential contender Barack Obama keeps his slight edge over Hillary Clinton -- for now. They will not help him beat John McCain if he eventually gets the Democratic nomination. Yet it's still a virtual article of political faith that a strong, united, and crusading black vote can tip the scale for a Democratic presidential candidate. This is a myth and it's risky business for Obama and the Democrats to believe that.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/earl-ofari -hutchinson/black-voters-cant-put-ob_b_9 0943.html

There are two versions of what has happened with the African-American vote during this nomination process, and they are not necessarily mutually exclusive. However, one has followed the other.

The first thought is that the Obama camp has consciously sought to turn the African-American vote against the Clintons. I have recounted these efforts on numerous occasions, and won't do so here. Suffice to say, this effort began in earnest with Jesse Jackson, Jr. after New Hampshire and before South Carolina's primary.

The second perspective is that as African-Americans have come to believe that Obama's candidacy is legitimately viable, they have, naturally, increased their support for him.

The latter explanation makes sense. However, it should be pointed out that there weren't any polls showing 91% BHO-HRC voting splits until after the first rationale's effects had had a chance to be more fully digested.

.
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Where are we headed?

Several things are going to happen after this election:

- Thorough primary reform, including the removal of undemocratic caucuses, open primaries and the like. Closed proportional primaries will be the standard.

- Correlated with this point will be an increased emphasis on the will of the Democratic voter in choosing our primary nominee, as opposed to allowing meddling GOP voters and Indy-leaning GOP voters carry out the orders of people like Rush Limbaugh. Let's take a look at how that Dem popular vote is looking right now:

HRC: 10.3 million votes
BHO:  9.2 million

http://www.delegatehub.com/archive/?id=6 399

- A very long, very thorough look into our Party's collective soul, and how we got to where we are at after the 2008 general election. Expect this introspection to be followed by shakeups at the top of the leadership chain

We are heading a certain way, following a certain path. It is one which I would refer to as Jacobinist (see this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacobin_Clu b); something along the lines of 'In the name of hope, I now remove my nose from my face.'

So may it be. Some battles are won before wars lost, some stage robbers are not headed off at the pass.

Sometimes prevention is not allowed to be the best cure.

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There are a number of important progressive issues and candidates I will be supporting in my area this fall. Much work to be done. The struggle continues every day, and it has to be met by each of us.

When the time comes, and the sending of the messengers goes out to round up more fighters for the larger war, spare your horse for me.

I will be thinking of my brothers and sisters in Michigan, in Florida. I will remember New Hampshire and its aftermath, will remember the perils of the unfulfilled political egos of my Party's 'generals.'

And I will return to the local battlefronts to resume our cause.

Tags: 2008 elections, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton (all tags)

Comments

71 Comments

Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Misinformation.  Obama leads in popular votes cast by anywhere from 300,000 to 900,000 (including MI and FL)

by campaignmonitor 2008-03-13 04:30PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

I don't get what you mean.  You state incorrectly that "Let's take a look at how that Dem popular vote is looking right now:

HRC: 10.3 million votes
BHO:  9.2 million"

by campaignmonitor 2008-03-13 04:44PM | 0 recs
Yeah thanks

for telling us that the only true democrat is a registered on. I am assuming the rest of us are insignificant.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 05:00PM | 0 recs
to the extent that you back

Obama getting the nom at the cost of party unity and by running up Hillary's negatives, you aren't. If you're not even registered, why do you care. If you care, why don't you register. he's not running as an independent, this isn't a third party, it's the Democratic Party, the one I joined and pay dues to.  If you want to destroy our party to get your guy in, then you don't deserve a voice.  The fact that you now have one must change.  

by anna shane 2008-03-13 05:20PM | 0 recs
Re: to the extent that you back

I have a friend who is a registered independent yet he is a delegate to the state convention for Obama.

Does that scare you, an independent having power at a state Democratic convention?

by Cheebs 2008-03-13 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: to the extent that you back

It doesn't scare me.  But I find it outrageous.

by Tolstoy 2008-03-13 05:37PM | 0 recs
you guys also found it outrageous

when Independents and Greens voted for Nader. And you still blame them for it.

Now you are saying people who do not mark a bubble on a registration form are not really Democrats just because of that.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 05:45PM | 0 recs
I think you missed the point

not every one is a straight up registered Democrats. Maybe I do nto agree with Democrats on everything to be a registered Democrat. But I no where near to being a republican.

In 2000 when liberal Independents voted Nader and did nto help Gore you ripped their heads off and continue to so now too.

So I ask you again. Do you want my vote?

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 05:39PM | 0 recs
Re: to the extent that you back

This man is making a great deal of sense. If you are telling him to put a sock in it, then, I ask you: Who are you to think that your right trumps his. This guy is making a sound perspective of where everything is going. If you Obama supporters believe that this is going to end peacefully, then, you guys are really not considering reality. The party will be split if Obama is the nominee--because based on the media hampering the democratic nominating process. If no one can see where this is going, I believe they are not looking at the truth. Obama, as the nominee, will not win the presidency--not this year and frankly not ever. Many working class democrats will not support him, because they do not believe he's paid his dues. I know some of you believe that slavery and ancestry had paid them for him, but this would be deriding the truth. I fear that we must see things play out before we can realize the process. I looking forward to 2012.

by Check077 2008-03-13 06:38PM | 0 recs
I can say the exact

same to Hillary supports.

Look I am voting Dem in GE regardless.

No way is McCain is better then either Barack or Hillary.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 09:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Yeah thanks

if you share Democratic values, why wouldn't you want to be a registered Democrat?!  maybe you have a hard time with commitment?

by moevaughn 2008-03-13 05:33PM | 0 recs
Because its folly to assume that

just because I share some or all of your values I have to be a registered Democrat.

Commitment is not expressed on a registration form. Its expressed in my time volunteering, donating and supporting in other ways.

Democrat Obama convinced me to do that. Democrat Hillary did not.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 05:42PM | 0 recs
Re:

It's fine to be an Independent if that's your wish.  

by moevaughn 2008-03-13 05:54PM | 0 recs
Erm, but not to vote?

I used to be an active registered Dem but now I am registered as a green. Like most greens, I almost always VOTE Dem unless I thnk the Green has a good shot at winning. TO me, this is a valid way of moving the Democratic party to have a little spine. IF they don't stand up for our progressive values, they shouldn't be entiltled to our votes.

To me, my real loyalty lies with the PROGRESSIVE VALUES THAT AMERICA NEEDS, not just some backwards tribal allegiance to a party. Screw that.

But by all means, count your "popular vote" anyway you like. Aside from the only real and meaningful tally of the popular vote, the SEATED DELEGATES, there's no such thing as a definitive meaningful "popular vote count." By June, everyone and their brother's going to have a different "popular vote." It's meaningless so it doesnt' matter how you come up with it.

Here, use mine if you like:

HRC: 350,000,000
BHO: -2

(methodology: proportionally distributes "votes" weighing LARGE BLUE STATES over all the other states, not counting caucuses and counting SUSPECTED non-democrats as negative penalty votes.)

by luckymortal 2008-03-13 06:40PM | 0 recs
thank you

that totally drives the point home.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 08:37PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Thank you for this very cogent and simply spoken post. I couldn't have expressed my own feelings about this 'race' better.

by rrs11215 2008-03-13 04:32PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

LOL Universal. I think you and that cliff parted ways a long time ago.

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:42PM | 0 recs
We are driving over a cliff, IMO.

we already did.....

by SevenStrings 2008-03-13 06:12PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Wow, delegate Hub that's a real non-biased source, Kos has less bias than they do.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-13 04:32PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

When you address ego's do recognize the inherent projection of doing so without talking about the Clinton's, or is that something that never crosses your mind.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-13 04:33PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Too bad he can't run again but I don't see why we should pick the Dubya to his George H W Bush, look how well that strategy worked for our country.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-13 05:03PM | 0 recs
we've already been told

by kos that 80 percent of you would stay home or vote McCain if it's "stolen' from him? In the nation it's now fifty percent? I won't support a candidate who chooses to lose to McCain than lose to Hillary. When he starts talking about throwing support to her if she wins, instead of saying he's won it and she hasn't noticed, then I'll rethink my position. I'm sick of being bullied and being called a racist. I never again want to hear that I should crawl back under my rock, or that I'm disgusting, by Obama bullies.  Maybe it's the Chicago slap down he warned us he plays, but it isn't working with me.  

by anna shane 2008-03-13 05:25PM | 0 recs
Re: we've already been told

Hey, so now it's Barack's fault that Hillary can't do math. Or worse still, she can do math but still believes the nomination and presidency are owed to her goddamnit!!!

You're not a racist.. not that I know of!

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:45PM | 0 recs
Re: we've already been told

there is actually a lot of good discussion on this board by people from both sides.

And then there is you.

by Artiste 2008-03-13 05:56PM | 0 recs
Re: we've already been told

I'm here to bring sanity to the process ;)

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:57PM | 0 recs
Well done Universal

You've done your homework.

by NewHampster 2008-03-13 04:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Well done Universal

Nice logo, I would like to point out that if Obama supporters used a similar one, it would be seen by people like the OP as evidence of a "black supremacist agenda".

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-13 04:36PM | 0 recs
Feminist power

Nothing more and I don't actually give a rats patootie what the Obama supporters think.

by NewHampster 2008-03-13 04:38PM | 0 recs
Thats too bad

because if you do win a nomination, you are gonna need us in November.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 05:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Feminist power

Hear, hear, Hamp!

by Tolstoy 2008-03-13 05:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Feminist power

You stock rat patootie? Wow. Is it a lucrative business?

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:47PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Why is Clinton against the Florida re-vote? (After all if we're playing by the standards of the surrogates, wouldn't the fact that the Florida delegation-- 2/3s or more HRC backers-- doesn't support a re-vote mean something)

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-13 04:35PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Well well well color that a lie. The Clinton campaign adamantly wants an outright re-vote.

Go fig.

by autumnal 2008-03-13 05:03PM | 0 recs
just FYI,

Florida House dems are more less 2-1 Hillary supporters. And so are Florida superdelegates.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 05:47PM | 0 recs
Re: just FYI,

Stop propagandizing falsehoods. Just stop it. Your lies will be the end of this party. Keep it up and your buddy Obama will never be president.

by Check077 2008-03-13 06:40PM | 0 recs
*blinks*

Which part of this is are false hood?

That Florida Dems are more Hillary?
Are you kidding me...go look at the Florida super delegate split. Its 2-1.

Also I like how did not rebuke any of my points, just yelled at me to shut up.

by kindthoughts 2008-03-13 07:55PM | 0 recs
Obama has cast his die, and thus forced me to roll

you and Obama are locked in a bitter media battle for the nomination!

oh wait, no one gives a fuck.

want to be my running mate?

by omar little 2008-03-13 04:39PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

42

by poserM 2008-03-13 04:44PM | 0 recs
Rolling dice

I have the sneaking suspicion that those dice you're rolling look a little like this:

by Etchasketchist 2008-03-13 04:47PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

You say the Democrats need "Thorough primary reform, including the removal of undemocratic caucuses, open primaries and the like."

Does that include removal of the superdelegates?

Also, didn't Clinton consent not to campaign in Florida and Michigan, agreeing with the party line? How come you're upset only at Obama over this, when Clinton also agreed to the same thing, that the Florida and Michigan votes will not be valid?

by Aris Katsaris 2008-03-13 04:53PM | 0 recs
surprise

she's the one that didn't, he did, said he couldn't help it, he'd already purchased tv ads and they were also in surrounding states.  Seemed like cheating to me, but he was given a pass, and not it's accepted that he didn't campaign. My, how even recent history isn't remembered.  

by anna shane 2008-03-13 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Clinton didn't campaign in FL, as promised - only Obama broke the pledge by running his ads there.  Anyway, the pledge likely did not include a promise not to respect the will of FL and MI voters.

by Informed in Illinois 2008-03-13 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Um, EXCUSE ME? The very point of not campaigning in Florida is that the elections weren't seen to be valid.

I'm not discussing about whether Obama broke the pledge or not (I don't know all the facts of that case) -- I'm talking about the very point of "not campaigning".

Clinton once again is a flip-flopper on this, "Yeah, I won't campaign, but the votes must count!" THAT MAKES ABSOLUTELY NO SENSE. If the votes were supposed to count, then there's no way in hell either of them should have accepted not to campaign there.

No campaign=No legitimate vote -- that's the very point of the no-campaign decision! Why did Hillary agree to it if the votes are meant to count?

But of course Clinton's had her name-recognition to use. I'm sure if she had her way no one would be allowed to campaign in any of the 50 states, but still their votes would be allowed to count.

by Aris Katsaris 2008-03-14 01:13AM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Obama actually campaigned in Florida with ads. No matter what his intentions were he did campaign. The effect was still the same: He campaigned in Florida. But I know--I know, Clinton went down there to visit, so she campaigned to a room full of people in the state. No matter how you slice it. Obama campaigned with ads that reached millions of Floridians. Bottom line: He campaigned in Florida. How many times do I have to say that he campaigned? You get it?

by Check077 2008-03-13 06:44PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

The antipathy of the lily wilting loser wing of the party has long been palpable. By surviving, the both of them, the sustained Republican assaults AND the tepidity of heart of the loser wing of it's own party, they've too long been an embarrassment of strength to the cowed and cowardly in the party.

If they wanted to stage a party coup, they really should've found a better puppet, at least one prepared to be a President. Being the loser wing they couldn't find one, probably wouldn't have the courage to back one if they had.

They've embraced a candidate who has no problem going nuclear on the party itself in the primary. Watching this confederacy of dunces blunder along betraying voting and participation of the electorate is up to par for them.

That's certainly unsupportable.

by autumnal 2008-03-13 04:56PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Indeed, its been sad, but luckily Obama's winning and that wing is seeing the window slam shut.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-13 05:05PM | 0 recs
so says Obama

who also doesn't want a revote in Florida.  He's a very ambitious man, but he's not yet the winner.  And I think the smart money is going toward her, with the new Tony revelations. Why didn't he say right away that he's been friends with the guy twenty years and the guy bankrolled his first campaign? Why didn't he admit that Tony paid for part of his house by paying full price for an empty lot and then selling part of it back so that the rest would be less valuable? Why did he pretend that it was no big deal? And where his his judgement if he got into that kind of a bargain?  Face it, this isn't now going Barack's way, if it weren't for the Hillary hate they'd be all over him, like sharks with fresh kill.  

by anna shane 2008-03-13 05:31PM | 0 recs
Re: so says Obama

Jah, shame that. Oh well, I guess Hillary can run again in 8yrs (if this kamikaze mission she calls a campaign is salvaged in time)

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:53PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Gotta agree with you. Clinton's the best they could do? Against the best hope for a resurgent Democratic party in years?

The nuclear anti-party, anti-Democratic attacks have been painful to watch. Fear-mongering. Campaigns to seat delegates in improperly held elections which disenfranchised millions of people. A horribly run campaign. Race-baiting from a former party icon.

I still find it hard to believe anyone still supports this. Glad you're not one of them.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-03-13 06:25PM | 0 recs
race baiting? who's surrogates brought race first?

who's surrogates twisted Bill Clinton's remarks about Obama's position on iraq, the "fairy tale" remark, even tho Clinton was clear he meant Iraq, not race? Who's surrogates said Hillary didn't cry for Katrina victims because they were black? Who's surrogates spun Hillary's good point about how it DID take political will, that of LBJ to give us Civil Rights, seeing that Kennedy could not get it done, and Kennedy was in office during "I Have a Dream", who spun it and called it "racist"? Who's campaign released a memo about "racial insensitivity"? I don't think Clinton's camp did any of those.

by DiamondJay 2008-03-13 06:44PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

oh thank you kindly.

by autumnal 2008-03-13 08:01PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Um, I feel your pain?

by mady 2008-03-13 05:09PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Great post I agree with you.  The O support is going to find a problem with the base of our party.  Without the support of the base, O cannot win in the fall.  He may well win the battle and lose the war.  So sad.

by democrat voter 2008-03-13 05:12PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Which many people believe is what Clinton is trying to do right now.  Destroy Obama's support with parts of the Democratic Party, so that he can not win in November.

by Tantris 2008-03-13 05:17PM | 0 recs
Obama want her to drop out

even on NPR the admit he's fueling the racial stuff, and doing his best to drive away Hillary's supporters.  He in it for himself, he's rather lose to McCain than run a decent campaign, on issues. But it seems in private they get along fine, which I think is a good sign, maybe. He's nice to her in person, at least.  

by anna shane 2008-03-13 05:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama want her to drop out

Sigh!

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama want her to drop out

Oh lord. "Even on NPR they admit". Like 1) NPR is a pro-Obama bastion and 2) as if there was the slightest proof of this that they might know of and fail to admit.

There's one person in the entire campaign who has unequivocally and unquestionably engaged in race baiting. That's Geraldine Ferraro. Until I see the same anger and outrage directed at her absolutely blatent, indefensible, anti-Democratic race baiting as is claimed against what Obama may, possibly, conceivably, maybe have done, or may not have done, depending on how you look at a lot of events, the faux outrage gets no credibility at all.

If you can't muster the same outrage against an obvious and indefensible campaign of race-baiting that's carried on even via the use of right-wing talk radio that you can muster against something that may or may not have happened, you get zero credibility on anything having to do with race in the campaign.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-03-13 06:18PM | 0 recs
Even on NPR!!!

Heavens to Betsy! Which fine NPR progressive was that?

Lanny "Lieberman" Davis?

Cokie "Bill Clinton's a child molester" Roberts?

Juan "Ken Starr got a raw deal!" Williams?

Fiendishly clever of Obama to fuel the racial stuff by tricking Geri Ferraro to make a mad dash at any camera with a red light over it to spew her barely concealed racial resentments.

(The through-the-looking-glass projection on these boards is fascinating, I can't deny that).

by BlueinColorado 2008-03-13 06:24PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Great post!  

by Informed in Illinois 2008-03-13 05:30PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Universal

Great post. As a Florida voter, the tragedy of this situation is compounded for me as I moved here in 2000...voted against Bush in 2004 (not FOR Kerry) and here I am, eight years later in exactly the same boat.

I agree with your "failed leaders" analysis...adding that Donna Brazile was as instrumental in this fiasco as anyone. And to that fact, let me remind everyone here of Ms. Brazile's words as Chair Person of the DNC Voting Rights Institute On Protecting the Right to Vote from Intimidation:

"The practice of disenfranchising Americans has become more sophisticated including phone jamming operations, misleading mailers, outright intimidation by using poll watchers and lack of resources to process voter registration forms thereby forcing Americans to cast provisional ballots." "The rise in voter harassment and voter intimidation is a direct result of some political operatives - often with the blessing of their political leaders trying to gain an electoral advantage at the ballot box. This practice of discouraging people from voting, from schemes that misinform or challenge the electoral status of eligible citizens to participate, should be outlawed in this nation."

Brazile called on the United States to lead the way, saying that, "The United States of America must lead by example. While the US encourages other nations to adopt broad democratic principles and reform, we need to make a basic policy decision that it is in the best interest of our democratic form of government to encourage all eligible citizens to register and vote."

Finally, Brazile called on Congress, with bipartisan support from Republicans and the Bush Administration, to pass critical legislation that would work to remove impediments to the ballot box.

http://www.democrats.org/a/2007/03/dnc_v oting_righ_2.php

JUST WORDS.

by Artiste 2008-03-13 05:36PM | 0 recs
I REPEAT

DONNA BRAZILE RULES & CREDENTIALS COMMITTEE MEMBER SAID:

"The rise in voter harassment and voter intimidation is a direct result of some political operatives - often with the blessing of their political leaders trying to gain an electoral advantage at the ballot box."

"This practice of discouraging people from voting, from schemes that misinform or challenge the electoral status of eligible citizens to participate, should be outlawed in this nation."

by Artiste 2008-03-13 05:41PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

While I am a HRC supporter, I think that whether or not Obama's coalition is structurally sustainable belies the bigger issue.  Namely, whether or not he can draw in the blue collar votes on a consistent basis.  The failure, IMO, to attract and maintain blue collar votes consistently has been a thorn to the side of Democrats for awhile.

That said, the mess that this economy is in right now, while unfortunate, is a help to any Democratic candidate.  Short of it is, I'm not sure I buy the idea that Obama's coalition is unsustainable because it suggests that, if sustainable, the coalition would be enough to carry them to victory.  I also, to an extent, feel that way about HRC's coalition.  Short of it is, I'm not sure both coalitions alone are enough to guarantee anything.  (basically drawing a fine line here i guess)

by toonsterwu 2008-03-13 05:46PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

Terrible comment. I disagree.

by pitahole 2008-03-13 05:48PM | 0 recs
Closed Democratic Primaries...

... will be the death of the party.

We absolutely need Independents. It's not even a question. There are not enough blue states, if you follow a red-blue model, to elect a democratic President. A primary system which freezes out Independents, keeps them from getting involved with a candidate, will destroy the party at the Presidential level, and the lack of a viable Presidential candidate will lead to a collapse in many downticket races.

Go ahead, take your ball and go away. Marginalize the party. Stick your head in the sand and insist that it's better to nominate a candidate who's competitive for maybe 300 EV, best case, instead of a candidate that's competitive for 400 EV or more, even though their policies are really pretty similar in a lot of respects and they're both much better than the Republican, simply because one is more popular among hardcore card carrying Democrats. Never mind that the election is won and lost in swing states where you need Independents. Screw 'em. Who needs 'em?

And your comments about disenfranchisement just make me sigh. If you're going to boycott Obama over it, I assume you've already sent Clinton your notice, since she was fighting to seat the delegates from the horribly disenfranchising Michigan and Florida primaries. She's fought hard to disenfranchise millions of voters. I'm also sure you were shocked and horrified at the repugnant tactics used in Nevada, where Clinton supporters locked voters out of caucuses, and have withdrawn your support from her campaign until she renounces her own positions of disenfranchisement.

To quote a very important Democratic figure: "I feel your pain". I'd love to find a way out of this that doesn't destroy the party. I'd love to get real revotes in Michigan and Florida. I actually think the foot-dragging has nothing to do with Obama, since the national campaign made it clear that the remarks yesterday from the Michigan campaign chair are not their position, but if it does, I'm with you -- it's bad. But I'm just as offended that anyone ever thought for a minute that the solution to Michigan and Florida were to seat delegations that disenfranchised millions of voters. That's just as upsetting; sorry, but it's true.

The solution is not to pull back into our shell and shout out "we're Democrats and the rest of the world be damned!" The solution is to open things up even more. Welcome in the Independents... hell, drag them in. Drag in some of the Republicans too. Be the party of America, not the party of 33% of America. Make it clear that we believe what we believe, but everyone's welcome at the table who has an opinion.

Or go into the shell and die, let the whole thing blow away, so something better can grow in its place.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-03-13 06:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Closed Democratic Primaries...

Every lie you spew is exactly what has been reported a thousand-fold about the Obama supporters.

by Check077 2008-03-13 06:47PM | 0 recs
Jealousy is indeed destructive

and you are so right on the sour grapes of people like Kerry, Kennedy, Bradley, and Dean. I think the support for Obama amongst such big names is merely them trying to be powerful, and say "I AM not controlled by the CLINTONS", altho they are doing it at a big cost. Kerry can't accept the fact that Bill Clinton had heart surgery in 04, thats why he couldn't campaign for him much. Kennedy just wants to stop the Clinton family from achieving what his never could: TWO presidents, and Bradley was just angry Gore beat him.

If Obama could have picked up blue collar voters, then he'd be a good candidate. If he didn't call a racist pastor his "moral compass", the same pastor who called Louis Farrakhan "the epitome of greatness", and if his pastor didn't call Jesus a black man, then I'd support him. As much as these activists, blacks, and young people are important, they have been voting for us for years. But the only times we have won(decisively) have been with Bill Clinton, who could actually make a showing amongst working class white voters, bush did well enough to steal 2000, and Kerry lost. Obama never talks about middle American issues, just hope and change, which are all well and good, but never meat and potatoes of middle class white america, whom we need to win. I'm sorry if thats politically incorrect to some, but this is also politically correct.

by DiamondJay 2008-03-13 06:37PM | 0 recs
when Bill drives Monica off a bridge,

THEN Teddy can complain.

by DiamondJay 2008-03-13 07:29PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

WHO CAMPAIGNED FOR NADER!

FUNNY

BUT

NOT

SO

BRIGHT!

by John Wesley Hardin was a Friend to the Poor 2008-03-13 06:59PM | 0 recs
Re: The Revenge of the Anti-Clintonites

I'll never vote for him either, you are not alone. There's only one thing worse than having one's vote denied and that's having it taken for granted. BO is doing both -- disenfranchising FL and MI and falsely taking for granted base democrats. It's hard because he's so naieve and stupid about the electoral contest -- the real one, the one in November -- that he doesn't realize his tactics to game the nomination will also cost him the general.

Hillary didn't take her name off the MI ballot even though it hurt her in Iowa and NH because she knew there would be consequences for it in November. She apologizes and continues to work for the African American vote even though she won't get it now because she knows they are an important voting block of the democratic party. BO is willing to piss off MI and FL and what he calls "Archie Bunker" democrats so that he can get the nomination even though it means he'll never ever win in November and  the democratic party may take several election cycles to win these states back again.

He's an idiot.

by seattlegonz 2008-03-13 07:12PM | 0 recs
And you can't imagine

that it comes from such practice as forceing the Death Penalty into the Democratic Platform in 1996?

by benmasel 2008-03-13 07:58PM | 0 recs
you will be very happy in the republican party...

assuming that you are not already there.  yes, even though more supporters of hillary's will vote for mccain than obama's -- after all, barack is talking about how to build a bigger, better democratic party, not how to return to some past version of it -- obama remains the democrat who can beat mccain.

enjoy your new home.  you can, and will be, replaced...

by bored now 2008-03-14 05:09AM | 0 recs

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