Disclaimer, I'm an Obama supporter, but the point I'm about to make here on how to aggregate polls is not, to my knowledge, beneficial to one candidate over the other.

Jerome makes a point to talk about how his EV calculators rely on the most recent polls for each state.  I've got a couple of quick graphs on the flip that will demonstrate how this isn't a very reliable way of looking at state-level support.

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There's a lot of confusion going around about how the privatization scheme works.  Here are some graphs to refer to that should help clear it up.

First, remember how the benefits are calculated.  Social Security basically looks at our lifetime Social Security contributions, adjusts it for average wage growth, and constructs a monthly benefit for us.  That's vastly simplified, but good enough for the purposes of this discussion.

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I went to electoral-vote, downloaded all the data (it's all reported polls; RV numbers), and reorganized the data by the date the poll questions were being asked.

Electoral-vote currently reports them by the day the poll was released, which doesn't show a clear picture of how the nation is feeling every day since the poll dates are scrambled.

But, when I went through each of the last sixty days and counted up the EVs by how the polls were being answered each of those days, averaging multiple polls per state if necessary, I came up with the following graph:

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