Obama Wasn't Right About Iraq -- AGAIN
by ThinkingDem, Sun Dec 30, 2007 at 05:47:11 PM EST
I am NOT saying that Obama did not oppose the war. He did. I grant him that.
What I am saying is that on the 3 fundamental bases as stated in his speech on October of 2002, his judgment was NOT RIGHT.
Judgment 1 - The Case for War
Barack Obama was NOT RIGHT about the case for war.
"Now let me be clear - I suffer no illusions about Saddam Hussein. He is a brutal man. A ruthless man. A man who butchers his own people to secure his own power. He has repeatedly defied UN resolutions, thwarted UN inspection teams, developed chemical and biological weapons, and coveted nuclear capacity. He's a bad guy. The world, and the Iraqi people, would be better off without him."
He does not dispute the intelligence that everybody else believed. He does not dispute the causus belli for war.
Barack Obama was just as wrong as everybody else.
Judgment 2 - The Threat Posed By Iraq
Barack Obama was NOT RIGHT about the threat posed by Iraq.
"But I also know that Saddam poses no imminent and direct threat to the United States, or to his neighbors, that the Iraqi economy is in shambles, that the Iraqi military a fraction of its former strength, and that in concert with the international community he can be contained until, in the way of all petty dictators, he falls away into the dustbin of history."
Barack Obama was apparently ignorant of the situation at the time of the debate on the resolution. Which is kind of odd, since it occupied the front page of every newspaper and TV coverage 24/7.
Iraq was contained, and not a threat to its neighbors, because of the US/Great Britain enforced No Fly zones, which came at incredible cost and risk to us and our ally, and because of the sanctions, which we were losing support for on a drastic level (that whole Oil For Food Scandal, anyone). China, Russia and France all wanted the sanctions to be diminished and eventually removed entirely. Our ability to contain Iraq was diminishing by the day.
The "concert of the international community" was out of tune and losing musicians left and right. We could NOT contain Iraq indefinitely, could NOT continue to impose the no fly zones indefinitely and could NOT maintain support for the sanctions policy.
Barack Obama's Judgment was WRONG because he advocated a course of action that was already failing.
Judgment Three - Why We Shouldn't Go To War
"I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a US occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences."
First of all -- it still bugs me to no end that Democrats don't recognize that by framing victory in the language of defeat BEFORE THE WAR BEGAN, Obama was setting himself up to run for Commander in Chief on the pre-ordained failure of the very troops he wants to command. How you people out there don't see the truly disgusting, shameful, cynical long term political calculation in that phrase makes me fear for the future of the Party.
But let's put that aside for a moment. Obama agrees that Iraq is a threat. He was wrong about our ability to contain that threat. But even if you put THAT aside, Obama is saying that America should not neutralize threats to our national security if it's going to take a while, cost a lot and involve a lot of risk. A President Obama would have responded to Pearl Harbor by saying "Screw it, let the Japanese have their fun". After all, four years of combat? Billions spent? Lots of Dead Americans? Hell, Obama would have responded to 9/11 by doing...nothing. Afghanistan was no threat to us, and of course, 6 years later, we're still there, for an undetermined future, at an undetermined cost, at an undetermined risk...
Now. I opposed the war in Iraq right up until the moment we crossed the border. Not being a selfish, mindless idiot, I recognized that once we crossed the border, we weren't leaving until that country could function on its own, and that was going to take a long, long time.
I believed, as Bob Graham did, that the next target on the agenda needed to be Hezbollah. I still think that man was right and this country would have been better off if he had listened to him.
But it is silly beyond the point of stupidity to give Obama credence for opposing, or being "right" about the Iraq war when his opposition was based on such faulty, nee stupid, logic and reasoning. It's like a Teacher giving a kid in 4th grade credit for getting the answer to a long division question right without being able to figure out that the little bastard was just guessing.
Barack Obama was wrong about the case for war. He was wrong about the threat posed by Iraq. He is wrong on the criteria for what threats determine a military response.
Barack Obama is against the war in Iraq. He is not right about it. And you all should keep this in mind, because as the Surge continues its success, and we continue to see political progress being made at the local and regional level (as in fair distribution of oil proceeds, as is happening now), the singular basis of Barack Obama's candidacy -- that he was right about the war in Iraq -- isn't gonna be so compelling.
Especially if he's running against John McCain. Who, it's turning out, actually WAS right about Iraq from the beginning.









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