Well I for one am all about Cascadia, although my version has it somewhat expanded, running from Alaska to the north to San Jose to the south to Yellowstone to the east.
I can kind of think of what he was doing with the Palin pick. He saw someone who took on her own party and ran against corruption. He had a great narrative going with the mavericks thing. She had a similar anti-pork ethos AND she was popular with the base. What more could he want?
...And then it turned out that the anti-pork thing was largely false. It was when they couldn't use the, "thanks but no thanks line," that things started to fall apart. Without that, there was no narrative and with no narrative, ours could take over. If the bridge to nowhere story were true, Palin might have a different reputation now, but it wasn't so... well... HA HA!
"(people, do you really have to be so blatant about the early voting standing in line for hours?) "
How do you get out to the polls in those numbers without standing in line? Early voting is what got us (most likely) NC. GA was probably a bridge too far in 2008.
36 hours from now she could have perhaps seen her grandson become elected president in an historic moment. Getting that close and then dying... that's just cruel.
"311 MCCAIN (all bush states + PA, NH)
227 OBAMA (all kerry states - PA, -NH)
51-52% pop MCCAIN
47-48% pop OBAMA (1% other)
***Possible "i wouldnt' be shocked" surprises:
-MCCAIN : winning ME-2nd district, winning MN, winning NJ, winning ME outright, losing CA by 2-4 points, winning either OR or WA (not both), winning WI or MI (not both), taking 15% of the black vote, 40+% of the hispanic vote
-OBAMA : winning pop vote but losing electoral college, losing MN/WI/MI, winning Illinois by 15 pts or less, winning New York by 10 pts, losing Montana/NorthDakota/Indiana by 20+ pts"
There's a difference between confidence and insanity :)
jeromearmstrong Our Polarized and Money-Driven Congress: Created Over 25 Years By Republicans (and Quickly Imitated by Democrats http://bit.ly/ewXlXI #bblue
Errr latkes?
Well I for one am all about Cascadia, although my version has it somewhat expanded, running from Alaska to the north to San Jose to the south to Yellowstone to the east.
I write about sports and politics all the time and the thing thought I had a 100% chance of being female. I think it just throws out a random number.
I do, but I try to be reasonably non-confrontational.
PRESIDENT ELECT OBAMA!!!!
Feel free to fight the primary wars some more; I'm busy celebrating.
I can kind of think of what he was doing with the Palin pick. He saw someone who took on her own party and ran against corruption. He had a great narrative going with the mavericks thing. She had a similar anti-pork ethos AND she was popular with the base. What more could he want?
...And then it turned out that the anti-pork thing was largely false. It was when they couldn't use the, "thanks but no thanks line," that things started to fall apart. Without that, there was no narrative and with no narrative, ours could take over. If the bridge to nowhere story were true, Palin might have a different reputation now, but it wasn't so... well... HA HA!
Moral of the story? Vet your blerping VP pick!
As am I.
Of the things I voted for yesterday, the biggest disappointment I had was in the lands commissioner race. That's pretty down ballot of a concern...
...and even then I just checked and my candidate has now taken the lead!
"(people, do you really have to be so blatant about the early voting standing in line for hours?) "
How do you get out to the polls in those numbers without standing in line? Early voting is what got us (most likely) NC. GA was probably a bridge too far in 2008.
TIPP final +7.2
Geez, not even they are giving McCain a good result...
36 hours from now she could have perhaps seen her grandson become elected president in an historic moment. Getting that close and then dying... that's just cruel.
+4.5 Obama. Make it 112!
Why thanks. I bet he's pretty happy with that Fox +7 poll too ;)
Heh, this is a great prediction:
"311 MCCAIN (all bush states + PA, NH)
227 OBAMA (all kerry states - PA, -NH)
51-52% pop MCCAIN
47-48% pop OBAMA (1% other)
***Possible "i wouldnt' be shocked" surprises:
-MCCAIN : winning ME-2nd district, winning MN, winning NJ, winning ME outright, losing CA by 2-4 points, winning either OR or WA (not both), winning WI or MI (not both), taking 15% of the black vote, 40+% of the hispanic vote
-OBAMA : winning pop vote but losing electoral college, losing MN/WI/MI, winning Illinois by 15 pts or less, winning New York by 10 pts, losing Montana/NorthDakota/Indiana by 20+ pts"
There's a difference between confidence and insanity :)
All of the polls were near each other in 2004. TIPP might have been the most accurate but most people had it within a point or two.
I'm not the original poster but if there's ever a poll where I think the pollster might just change their numbers to be what they want it's this one.