The Hidden Cost of Capitulation

Now that the president has signaled yet another collapse in agreeing to tax cuts for the rich, there is a hidden cost to this capitulation. He is now stuck defending this deal for the rest of his term. I predicted this on the show yesterday and today it's playing out exactly the way I imagined, with the president sending out advisers to talk about what a great idea it is to give tax cuts to the rich.

Once you sign off on a political position, you own it. This could be a corollary to Colin Powell's doctrine on foreign policy. Powell said if you break it, you own it. In this case, if you make it, you own it.

The president claims he will fight hard against these same tax cuts two years from now. It's hard to stop laughing long enough to make a point against that, but I will try. If you are sending out your people to talk up polls about how the right the Republicans were on the tax cuts for the rich now, how are you going to send out the same people to talk about how wrong they were - and how wrong you were - two years from now?

These are the things that make me wonder if President Obama has a firm grasp on basic political fundamentals. Yesterday he said that the political reality is that he just didn't have the votes in the Senate (by far his favorite excuse). He even said "I can't win" in the Senate. That's a damning reversal for a man who ran on "Yes we can."

But more importantly, he doesn't seem to understand Politics 101. You don't just count the votes based on how the other side says they're going to vote. From time to time, you call their bluff. Which means you go to the home states of swing senators like Scott Brown in Massachusetts and Olympia Snowe in Maine and you campaign on this winning issue there until you make them feel the political pain. Then you put them to a decision -- do you want to risk your career voting against me on this issue where I have huge popular support or do you want to vote with me? Then you take the vote and they will bend. If he doesn't understand that, boy did we elect the wrong guy.

Of course, the alternative is that he does understand that but doesn't ever have the stomach for a real fight. Or even worse yet, secretly likes this deal and will always find an excuse to get more tax cuts and sweet deals for the rich and powerful. In which case, boy did we elect the wrong guy.

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1 Comment

you are thinking...

I respect that.

I think if you go back further the seeds of his failure were sown in the primary.  Hillary already held what I consider to be the best political positions.  Obama needed to own a space of his own.

Enter the "democratic" wing of the democratic party.

Obama's core message as I understand it was this.

1) He is black and the first black president (I am not wanting to talk about this now)

2) He is more liberal than Hillary to the democratic wing of the party folks.

3) He is another Bill Clinton to the independents.

He can't be Bill Clinton and Nancy Pelosi at the same time and he already poked the majority of Clinton supporters in the eye.  So he is spending half his time trying to convince Michael Moore that he is Nancy Pelosi and the other half trying to convince the Tea Party movement that he is Ronald Reagan.

If you ever hear a democrat praise  Ronald Reagan for more than very very very very small aspects of his personal character then you know its going to be a bumpy ride.

Ronald Reagan screwed our country up MASSIVELY.

Anyone who put Clinton below Reagan is going to mess the country up its just a matter of time.

This was all obvious in the primary.  His coalition didn't all sign up for the same ride.

We need someone who knows what the most progressive winning strategy is and can stick to it without being tempted to go any more progressive or being forced to be far more conservative.


But until the progressives learn that lesson they will spend a lot of time asking why they lost elections.

by donkeykong 2010-12-10 12:58AM | 1 recs


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