2010 and 2012
by RAULC, Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 04:33:14 PM EDT
We lost for several reasons and little do do with ACA. And as stated by some, the loss is more situational than ideological.
3-Lower turnout in a midterm.
4-First midterm of a pres.
So what about 2012? Here is where it gets interesting. The EC will shift 6 seats to the Reps. Also the SW is turning hard D- so when everything is said and done Ds win w/o Ohio and FL and with NM, NV, COL and IA. We need to focus on those states now- especially IA. In fact, the path to victory should be pretty easing barring a native son (Pawlenty?). As to the gerrymanding - TX FL and PA are gerrymanded to death- not much to gain on the part of R. OH and MI are a different story. However, NY may bear fruit. The CAL initiative may shift a couple seats from the historical 3:2 ratio but I doubt it.
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