Don't be so conspiratorial. The Battleground poll wasn't released when Gerome made his post.

With leaners they have Obama winning 51-41 and 3% going to third parties. Three percent seems a little high for third parties, but even when you drop them Obama holds his lead at 51-43.

That's just a great set of numbers for Obama across the board.

I seem to remember reading this in the Washington Post:

Asked in 1999 what he would do on the first day of his presidency, McCain said he would "call in Joe Biden and John Kerry and Zbigniew Brzezinski and Carl Levin and like-minded Republicans" for a frank discussion about the need for a bipartisan foreign policy.

I'm sorry if this seems rude, but I don't think anyone takes you seriously on this election. Your unexplainable bias against Obama is so extreme that you tried to argue that he could lose New York, among other things.

Seriously, that was my first thought. They haven't gotten a news cycle in over a week and this one is rapidly taking a disastrously bad turn for them. So, they decided to throw another hail mary. These kind of tactics should scare the crap out of any objective observer.

You seem to consider the Research 2000 poll biased because it's been commissioned by Kos. That's reasonable enough if it's your position. However, shouldn't a similar argument apply to the Battleground polls since they're preformed by the Tarrance Group, which is a Republican organization? It just seems like that would be the intellectually consistent position to take.

The national trackers poll more frequently and release their results more quickly than state polls. So, the trackers usually pick up a trend first, which then shows up in state polls over the following days.

Consistent bias in one direction is known as a house effect. ARG's random bias looks a lot more like a house defect.

All of the tracking polls appear to be trending back toward Obama and the fact is that Research 2000 is a reliable pollster with a good track record. So, I accept their polls just like I accept polls from an evangelical right-winger like Scott Rasmussen who polls weekly for and appears on Fox News.

This clip is from the primaries.

Rasmussen's weighting shifts these polls about 2.5 points more toward McCain than they were last week. I'm not claiming that his weighting is inaccurate, but it's important to keep the difference in mind if you're looking for a trend from week to week.

Fey completely nailed Palin... look, gestures, accent. It was awesome. And the closing line from Pohler was priceless. I won't spoil it with details, but you definitely need to see it.

was awesome.

Do you mean something like this ad from Planned Parenthood? Personally, I'd like to see ads like this and the wolf airing non-stop.

We need to see more ads like this one from planned parenthood.