Obama's Problem with Jewish Voters Debunked - with poll numbers
by MS01 Indie, Tue Jul 22, 2008 at 09:16:59 AM EDT
There has been quite a bit of talk about the problems Barack Obama has in certain demographic groups. The groups that are supposedly problematic for Barack include women, Hispanics, working class whites, and Jews.
While Obama's aupport among working class whites could still prove to be a problem, it is currently as good as Kerry's or Gore's support among this group. His support among the other groups mentioned above, however, has increased markedly since the end of the primaries.
While Hispanics favored Hillary Clinton during the primaries, they moved strongly to Obama once it became apparent he was the presumptive nominee. A July 2nd Gallup report showed Obama with a 30 point lead among Hispanics.
Female voters are another group that has shown strong support for Obama since mid-June. A July report from ABC shows Obama with a 15% lead among women.
The last group mentioned above and the source for the title of this diary is a small, but important group. Jews have long been a major part of the Democratic party's base of support. Jews not only overwhelmingly support the Democrats, they also are among the most politically active when it comes to giving their time and money to progressive causes. This makes the Jewish vote much more important than the raw voter numbers would indicate.
During, and shortly after the primaries, many articles were written about Obama's "Jewish problem". Apparently, that problem has faded away without much notice. A recent poll, by the Jewish activist group J Street, shows Obama with a 30 point lead over McCain among Jewish adults. Given McCain's 34/57 favorable/unfavorable ratings among this group of voters, I expect this lead to become larger the closer we get to the election.
The support is there for Obama. Now all we have to do is draw a clear line between McCain and Obama. The voters will do the rest.