Obama's Problem with Jewish Voters Debunked - with poll numbers

There has been quite a bit of talk about the problems Barack Obama has in certain demographic groups. The groups that are supposedly problematic for Barack include women, Hispanics, working class whites, and Jews.

While Obama's aupport among working class whites could still prove to be a problem, it is currently as good as Kerry's or Gore's support among this group. His support among the other groups mentioned above, however, has increased markedly since the end of the primaries.

While Hispanics favored Hillary Clinton during the primaries, they  moved strongly to Obama once it became apparent he was the presumptive nominee. A July 2nd Gallup report showed Obama with a 30 point lead among Hispanics.

Female voters are another group that has shown strong support for Obama since mid-June. A July report from ABC shows Obama with a 15% lead among women.

The last group mentioned above and the source for the title of this diary is a small, but important group. Jews have long been a major part of the Democratic party's base of support. Jews not only overwhelmingly support the Democrats, they also are among the most politically active when it comes to giving their time and money to progressive causes. This makes the Jewish vote much more important than the raw voter numbers would indicate.

During, and shortly after the primaries, many articles were written about Obama's "Jewish problem". Apparently, that problem has faded away without much notice. A recent poll, by the Jewish activist group J Street, shows Obama with a 30 point lead over McCain among Jewish adults. Given McCain's 34/57 favorable/unfavorable ratings among this group of voters, I expect this lead to become larger the closer we get to the election.

The support is there for Obama. Now all we have to do is draw a clear line between McCain and Obama. The voters will do the rest.

Tags: 2008, Election, Jewish Vote, jews, obama, president (all tags)

Comments

15 Comments

A funny bit from the Daily show last night

http://www.thedailyshow.com/video/index. jhtml?videoId=177061&title=baruch-ob ama

Check out the one PUMA lady, and the flack she gets from the guys across the table.

A bit off topic, but I just about fell out of bed last night watching this.

by WashStateBlue 2008-07-22 09:24AM | 0 recs
Re: A funny bit from the Daily show last night

That was hilarious.  Trying to tytp.  Still laughing...

Whew.  Anyway, it turns out despite all this stuff about Rev. Wright and is Obama muslim, people missed the truth.

Obama is jewish according to this diary from 4/1/08:

http://www.onemillionstrong.us/showDiary .do?diaryId=1047

by Satya 2008-07-22 09:37AM | 0 recs
Re: A funny bit from the Daily show last night

"Obama is jewish according to this diary from 4/1/08:"

Yeah, loved the guy in the video calling him "Baruch Obama" to answer the PUMA woman that kept calling him Barrack HUSSIEN Obama

by WashStateBlue 2008-07-22 09:44AM | 0 recs
Re: A funny bit from the Daily show last night

I wonder how many of those people on that clip are mydd bloggers/readers?  It was the same "eternal story" with a slight age and kosher shift.

Great stuff.  Thanks again for the link.

by Satya 2008-07-22 09:54AM | 0 recs
Nice analysis, rec'd. n/t

by sricki 2008-07-22 09:26AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama's Jewish Problem with poll numbers

At also seems Old Joe Lieberman has a bigger jewish voter problem than Obama.

Among the most high-profile Jews in Congress, Lieberman is viewed far more unfavorably than the presumptive Democratic nominee, according to a new poll. Only 37 percent of Jews view the Connecticut Independent in a favorable light compared to 48 percent who have a negative perception. As for Obama, 60 percent of Jews view him favorably while 34 percent view him unfavorably.

Huffington Post

by jsfox 2008-07-22 09:43AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama's with poll numbers

I really wish you would change the title of your diary.

The "Jewish Problem" storyline is a right-wing talking point. By repeating it (even in jest) you are just reinforcing the GOP's message. The voting public isn't all that well informed, and doesn't necessarily get sarcasm or nuance. Repeating a lie enough times until people believe it's true is the bread-and-butter of Rovian dirty politics. Don't do their dirty work for them.

by LakersFan 2008-07-22 10:11AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama's with poll numbers

The diary debunks the "Jewish problem" meme. I don't see how I'm doing the Right's dirty work for them, but I made a slight change to the title to address your concern.

by MS01 Indie 2008-07-22 10:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama's with poll numbers

Thanks! I know the diary debunks the GOP storyline, but the old headline was reinforcing it. Popular MyDD diaries do show up on google searches and I hate to see anyone add more fuel to the right-wing's fire.

by LakersFan 2008-07-22 10:42AM | 0 recs
Frankly

the simple phrase "Jewish Problem" raises an eyebrow on first glance.

by JJE 2008-07-22 12:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Frankly

I hadn't thought about that. I'll reword it again to make it clear I'm talking about voters.

by MS01 Indie 2008-07-22 02:45PM | 0 recs
how about jews in Florida?

where it actually matters? or other swing states? of course New York and California jews like Obama.

by Lakrosse 2008-07-22 12:51PM | 0 recs
Re: how about jews in Florida?

Hey DiamondJay, don't you know ALL Jews in Florida ARE transplanted NY Jews.../Snark BTW

by WashStateBlue 2008-07-22 12:55PM | 0 recs
Re: how about jews in Florida?

And here I thought they came out of the womb already eligible for Medicare.

by Jess81 2008-07-22 01:42PM | 0 recs
As we all knew would happen

Well, except for those who felt that demographic breakdowns were more important than overall party affiliation this cycle.

by iohs2008 2008-07-22 02:42PM | 0 recs

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