I live in this district and the first names to come to mind are Assemblyman Tom Torlakson and State Senator Mark De Saulnier. However, this may be an opportunity for a more progressive outsider to get in as people are pissed off at the state legislature.
In some of these states, 20% have already voted. Many of these early voters weren't being picked up by some pollsters who were using 2004 likely voter models.
McCain will presented as the candidate of continuing to let your job go overseas, to keep the war in Iraq going forever, to not have a clue as to how to deal with the economy - and Bush's third term.
Yeah, there are some who will say I will never vote for a black or I will never vote for a woman. But the reality 75% want change and that ain't McCain.
Head to head general election polls are useless until the nomination is settled.
I'm not going to talk math, although I'm a math teacher.
The super delegates certainly can vote for whoever the hell they want, so until someone has the magic number, the race is not over.
However, I have to disagree with you about FL and MI. Here is my analogy as a math professor:
If I catch a 2 students breaking the rules on an exam, the grades they otherwise would have received are replaced with zeroes. These rules are well known in advance as published in my syllabus.
Sometime when they are caught, the students ask for a redo, but I don't do that as that would reward cheaters and would be unfair to the other 48 students in my class who followed the rules.
If these students don't like the rules or feel they were treated unfairly, they can always appeal to the Dean! (no pun intended)
So Hillary ends up +6 or +8 after this great victory. Chances are she'll lose that all on Saturday by not contesting states like Wyoming.
I know the campaign is counting on the super delegates to see that she can cherry pick states and win, but they also see Obama raising a hell of lot of money, getting big followings and competing in all 50 states.
Or she's hoping the party changes the rules and gives her FL and MI delegates. Gee, when was the last time someone changed the rules to be president - lets ask Al Gore.
jeromearmstrong Our Polarized and Money-Driven Congress: Created Over 25 Years By Republicans (and Quickly Imitated by Democrats http://bit.ly/ewXlXI #bblue
I live in this district and the first names to come to mind are Assemblyman Tom Torlakson and State Senator Mark De Saulnier. However, this may be an opportunity for a more progressive outsider to get in as people are pissed off at the state legislature.
A cloture vote requires 3/5 of the eligible senators and 3/5 of 99 rounds up to 60
If he resigned, then only 59 would be votes needed for cloture until Newman and/or Franken are sworn in.
There are still millions of votes left to count on the west coast.
In some of these states, 20% have already voted. Many of these early voters weren't being picked up by some pollsters who were using 2004 likely voter models.
Donate Here
Read the internals of the poll. 9% have already voted and are 2-1 democratic both for senator and president.
Obama also has Hillary and Bill Clinton as high profile campaigners.
Let's be careful here. She gave a powerful speech in front of an enthusiastic crowd.
But unlike Barack and Hillary, she hasn't gone to all the states and met the people she intends to govern.
Hillary speaks from her heart and relates the personal stories of people who have suffered.
Palin simply reads a teleprompter very well, and actually dissed people of all political persuasions who try to bring some hope to people in need.
Her enemies are straw dogs - let's stay on message.
It doesn't matter who the nominee is.
McCain will presented as the candidate of continuing to let your job go overseas, to keep the war in Iraq going forever, to not have a clue as to how to deal with the economy - and Bush's third term.
Yeah, there are some who will say I will never vote for a black or I will never vote for a woman. But the reality 75% want change and that ain't McCain.
Head to head general election polls are useless until the nomination is settled.
I'm not going to talk math, although I'm a math teacher.
The super delegates certainly can vote for whoever the hell they want, so until someone has the magic number, the race is not over.
However, I have to disagree with you about FL and MI. Here is my analogy as a math professor:
If I catch a 2 students breaking the rules on an exam, the grades they otherwise would have received are replaced with zeroes. These rules are well known in advance as published in my syllabus.
Sometime when they are caught, the students ask for a redo, but I don't do that as that would reward cheaters and would be unfair to the other 48 students in my class who followed the rules.
If these students don't like the rules or feel they were treated unfairly, they can always appeal to the Dean! (no pun intended)
Another great issue for the general election - this administration's complete disregard of people's privacy.
...on whether or not McCain's was breached.
The two Dems still in the race, the head to head is meaningless.
If I'm a Hillary supporter, I tell the pollster I vote for McCain over Obama to make my candidate look more "electable".
If I'm an Obama supporter, I tell the pollster I vote for McCain over Hillary to make my candidate look more "electable".
Wait for the poll after the primary is decided. The only candidate who is "unelectable" is McCain.
So Hillary ends up +6 or +8 after this great victory. Chances are she'll lose that all on Saturday by not contesting states like Wyoming.
I know the campaign is counting on the super delegates to see that she can cherry pick states and win, but they also see Obama raising a hell of lot of money, getting big followings and competing in all 50 states.
Or she's hoping the party changes the rules and gives her FL and MI delegates. Gee, when was the last time someone changed the rules to be president - lets ask Al Gore.