N/T.

But obviously Bush TOO STRONG AND POWERFUL for Reid to mount an attack on Roberts...<snark>

Let's watch how the Democrats piss away the opportunities...

/This is a very unpopular President.

How much you wanna bet that Democrats will force on the base "Non-Ideological" candidates aka Republican-lite move to the right anti-choicers? Because... just like GW the Democrats must stay the course at turning the party into a corporate brothel.

are overrepresented in this poll.

Correct or not?

Cocnidering that about 98% of Republicans voted for him, his base is definitely eroding.

This means 2006 could be tidal. But a tidal wave does us no good if we don't have Democrats running everywhere to take advantage of it.

Help us Leave No District Behind.

That is, Bush's numbers are probably above 36%.  I believe there are too many Democrats and not enough Republicans and independents in this survey.  The good news is that independents are starting to think like Democrats (only a 6 point difference there in the approval rate).  I suppose it is possible that a lot of indepedents have recently switched to be Democrats, which would be very, very good news indeed.

Since 2003 W has been at or above 50% only during November 2004.  Thank you Karl Rove!  Past floors for Presidents way more popular than Bush were lower than 36.  Reagan, for example, bottomed at 35%.  Nixon, the all time low, was at 24% when he resigned.

What's really low about W is his average rating.  It's down in Carter/Truman territory.  W scores a 29 just on his Republican base.  Anything under 30 means that the Red Sea has parted and it is time to leave.

Ah, a popular wartime president.

The timing could have been a lot better, but still, this is well deserved.

They promised the world when they were out of power:

1. Balanced Budgets

2. Lower Taxes

3. Strong Economy

4. Ethical Government

5. Smaller Governemnt

6. Humbler Foriegn Policy

One out of six ain't good. It's easy to tear down the other party, but can you govern? For Bush, and the entire generation of Baby Boomer "conservatives", the answer is obviously "no". Let's send them to the ash heap of history where they belong.

I heard 41-43% last week.  Could it have fallen that quickly?  Could this be true?  If so, it could signal the beginning of the end of this nightmare.  Wow!

Link:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm

What's kind of interesting, is that "among registered voters" used to consistently poll better for Bush than "all adults".   As Rasmussen says at the bottom of their page:

"During 2004, reports on the President Job Approval were based upon surveys of Likely Voters. Typically, a survey of Likely Voters would report a Job Approval rating 2-3 points higher than a survey of all adults."

I'm interpreting this to mean that their new poll is not restricted to registered voters and that part of the discrepancy between the two polls is that registered voters, who probably track current events more closely as a group, are now tilted more against Bush than the general population.

Bush is not going to run for so much as dog-catcher ever again. (No doubt there are one or two TX CDs that would let him do a JQA, but I've never got the impression that he was that committed to politics (or anything).)

The only benefit of Bush favs in the toilet could be to taint other GOP pols who are running for something.

A couple of thoughts:

As with Hagel, low Bush favs naturally lead to rats leaving the sinking ship. Bush's capital would run out with the effluxion of time, however great his numbers were now.

Meanwhile, on the Dem side, most of Bush's worst policies - his illegal war first amongst them - have got the support of a substantial number of Dems in Congress.

And Bush's tumbling numbers on Iraq seem to leave most leading Dems caught like rabbits in the headlights, yearning to break free from the adventure they supported, but mortally afraid of being Swift Boated by the VRWC, or outflanked on the right by other Dems choosing to stick with the warhawk line.

I'm more than open to be educated how a focus on Bush's woes (which will naturally exclude other issues from a limited news-hole) will pay dividends for the Dems in 06. Currently, I don't entirely see it.

We will need to see other polls show ratings in the 30s to know if this is accurate. Still, our "popular wartime president" is under 50 percent after winning re-election ten months earlier. One of the most shocking things is how in an election year, from the August to November period the Republicans are able to whitewash all of their bad policies, trot out the moderates and minorities, fire up their base at the same time they promise people they won't be as bad as they have been and fool enough people into voting for them so they can win. Then they drop the act and return to their old ways. It's amazing that the Democrats can never manage to take advantage of their disconnect with the concerns of people.

Of course, he'll always hold onto a majority of his base.  The strategic worth of this is to zero in on the kind of GOP voters who are leaving him attempt to appeal to them.  Considering how amazingly consolidated the Republican base was last time, 77% is absolutely horrible.  Those voters are vulnerable and probably will stay that way for the next year and a half.  But gaining them for democrats will require some fairly conservative democratic candidates.  And that's assuming they are even likely to show up next election day, which is dubious at best.

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