Candidates focus differently on Early Primary States

Taegan Goddard had an interesting blurb on the South Carolina spending of Clinton, Edwards, and Obama yesterday, noting that Obama had thus far spent the most among his competitors in the state. He linked to an article from The Hill detailing the campaigns' expenditures on staffers, where he found the info about South Carolina. Adam B has compiled a list of visits at Open Left using the Washington Post's 2008 Presidential Campaign Tracker. It's interesting to see where the candidates are spending their money and their time:

Staff Payrolls and Number of '07 Visits

























































Iowa PayrollIA EventsNevada PayrollNV EventsNew Hampshire PayrollNH EventsSouth Carolina PayrollSC Events
Clinton$431,00035$124,0006$193,00026$38,00012
Obama$910,00055$105,0006$391,00020$150,00011
Edwards$333,00056$67,0009$107,00035$11,00017
Richardson$96,00025$120,00025$17,00044$52,00015

Remember, this is only money being spent on actual staffers in the state and number of candidate visits, and doesn't indicate how much money is being spent on materials, TV ads, etc. But it does a pretty good job of revealing how the candidates are prioritizing the early states. A few cool things to take away:

  1. Obama is definitely focusing a lot more effort on staff in South Carolina (though Hillary, Richardson, and Edwards have visited more often), whereas Richardson is focusing heavily on Nevada (he's spending more on staff than in Iowa and visiting just as often as he does the Hawkeye state). Richardson is also spending more on staff in South Carolina than in New Hampshire. However, much more of his time is spent in NH.
  2. Obama is spending a lot more money than the other candidates, including Hillary, on building up his staff presence in the early states
  3. As Chris Bowers pointed out, "Edwards has the advantage [o]f not having any other job. He has visited every early state more than anyone else, except Richardson in Nevada." It's also important to note that he's been in the race a lot longer than anyone else, and has been making visits to the early primary states ever since the loss in 2004. The number of visits only covers the period since the beginning of 2007.

Because I wasn't sure the 2008 primaries were getting enough attention around here...

Tags: 2008 Primaries, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards (all tags)

Comments

10 Comments

Staff Spending

What I find most interesting about this table is not necessarily where the focus is geographically but how much focus is clearly on infrastructure from Obama.

Amount spent on early state staff:
Obama - $1,556,000
Clinton - $786,000
Edwards - $518,000
Richardson - $285,000

by Obama08 2007-07-18 04:29PM | 0 recs
Its A Bad Sign

He is spending big and still losing big.

by dpANDREWS 2007-07-18 06:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Its A Bad Sign

Nice spin.  How about this. "He's been gaining considerably on Hillary in New Hampshire, as seen by her dip in the polls and his upward trend in the polls, along with the same trend seen on intrade.com."

I haven't looked at Iowa, but I know since Intrade has been following bids on Nevada and Florida, Hillary is now at her lowest and Obama is at his highest he's been.  So he's been making progress.  This "He's still behind" crap is getting old.  You'll still be saying that if 20 polls come out saying he's 1% behind Hillary even though thats within the MoE because it's the best spin you've got.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-07-18 06:36PM | 0 recs
Are you insane?

Intrade?  GBet real.

Barryu is down in the polls.  BIG.

by dpANDREWS 2007-07-18 06:46PM | 0 recs
I'll help you

With some facts:

http://www.pollster.com/08-NH-Dem-Pres-P rimary.php

Hillary is leading Obama by 12 and she is trending up, not down.  Look at the graph and let the facts seep in.

by dpANDREWS 2007-07-19 05:15AM | 0 recs
Nevada
I've been wondering why the candidates having been spending more time in Nevada. To a certain extent, everyone but Richardson seems to have ceded the state to Hillary at the moment.
I've read that the reason may be as mundane as the ease with which Obama can make visits to South Carolina or New Hampshire from his day job in DC as opposed to having a long cross-country flight out to Nevada.
The candidates also don't seem to have really figured out how to campaign in Nevada. How do you deal with the casinos? (Do you avoid them? You don't want too many pictures taken of you in front of one. But the unionized casino workers are important voters...)
And there are clear reasons for Obama to focus on New Hampshire and Iowa, as well as South Carolina because of its large African-American population. I guess you have to leave something out.
by psericks 2007-07-18 04:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Nevada

Nevada is also the last one of the four.  I think that plays a toll on it's relevance.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-07-18 05:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Nevada
That's the thing, it's not, it's second.
Primary schedule at the moment:
January 14: Iowa (caucuses)
January 19: Nevada (caucuses)
January 22: New Hampshire (primary)
January 29: Florida, South Carolina

Chris Bowers has some thoughts about what the schedule might end up looking like if Iowa and New Hampshire move their primaries up to December of 2006:
12/10: Iowa
12/18: New Hampshire
1/12: Michigan
1/19: Nevada
1/22: South Carolina
1/29: Florida
2/5: Super Tuesday
by psericks 2007-07-19 04:00AM | 0 recs
States to win

My view on need to win states:

Edwards: Iowa
Obama: New Hampshire
Clinton: Nevada

As for South Carolina, I feel a win for Obama would be welcoming. A third place finish, perhaps a second place, by Edwards would mean game over.

by mattmfm 2007-07-18 05:29PM | 0 recs
Obama - All In

And he is still losing.  That is very very telling.

by dpANDREWS 2007-07-18 06:26PM | 0 recs

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