Who can stop Scott Brown?

I don't expect that Scott Brown will be running for re-election to the Senate in 2012.  More likely, he'll be running for President.  And he could be darn hard to stop.

I doubt if there is anybody in the U.S. Senate who wouldn't like to be President.  For most, it is a question of finding the right time to make a run, if indeed it's possible.  Imagine then that you are Scott Brown.

If he has to run for re-election in 2012 and then waits to run for President in 2016, his chances drop considerably.  If he tilts to the left in the next couple of years, he wins re-election, but then can't get through a national Republican primary.  If he tilts to the right in the next couple of years, he loses his re-election bid and becomes just another Joe Shmoe.

But, imagine instead that he seizes the initiative and runs for president in 2012.  Nobody can accuse him of being too inexperienced--not after Obama's recent victory.  He'll win over independents and moderate Republicans due to his moderate social views.  And he might win just enough right wing votes -- from people who see him as a Democratic dragon-slayer, or the Republican's best hope, or who like his fiscal conservativsm, to win the nomination.

At that point, he could either balance the ticket (Brown-Huckabee?) or choose another centrist (Portman, Crist, etc.) and, either way, put forth a formidable candidacy, especially if the economy doesn't recover well in the next year or two.

It might all seem hard to believe, but who would have thought a month ago that we could lose Teddy Kennedy's seat?

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Most likely Republican nominee in 2012

| 8 votes | Results

Tags: 2012, Barack Obama (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

Time

The issue with a special election is the abbreviated campaign.  Lets give Scott Brown some time and see how much he can mess it all up.

I still don't know how a pro-choice-ish Republican makes it to the presidential ticket.

by Kyle Shank 2010-01-20 01:15AM | 0 recs
RE: Time

I still don't know how a pro-choice-ish Republican makes it to the presidential ticket.

He may not make it, but he's got a better chance in 2012, basking in the glow of his victory and appearing as the savior of the Republic party, then he'll ever have in the future.

by markjay 2010-01-20 01:30AM | 0 recs
RE: Time

Right at this very moment: sure.  Lets see how his politics play against the party and the base over the next year.

They need a savior.  Maybe Scott Brown is it.  I still don't really know what he actually stand for besides his truck and torture.

Silver lining: lets say he becomes the new pro-choice face of the Republican party.  Finally, abortion is no longer an issue in a presidential campaign.  Pro-choice wins! :)

by Kyle Shank 2010-01-20 01:35AM | 0 recs
This is ridiculous

You don't go from being a state senator to serving a fraction of a U.S. Senate term and then get elected President out of nowhere.  Get real.

by Steve M 2010-01-20 02:04AM | 0 recs
RE: This is ridiculous

Obama did.

by Charles Lemos 2010-01-20 04:09AM | 0 recs
RE: This is ridiculous

Your snark detector may need new batteries.

by Steve M 2010-01-20 08:55AM | 0 recs
RE: This is ridiculous

Mind you, I don't think that career path is open to Senator-elect Brown.

by Charles Lemos 2010-01-20 04:11AM | 0 recs
RE: This is ridiculous

Nice snark.  Of course Obama had the advantage of being in the Senate for a couple of extra years.  Brown's calendar is incredibly crowded if he wants to make a 2012 run.

by markjay 2010-01-20 07:23AM | 0 recs
Yours is not

a complete list of possible contenders.

 

Marco Rubio (if he wins the Florida Senate seat), Gary Johnson, Rick Perry (if he wins re-election), Mike Pence, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Haley Barbour and John Thune.

 

Of your list, I suspect only Pawlenty and Romney will run. Jindal isn't running and I doubt Sarah Palin and Huckabee will - the allure of money is too great for them. 

by Charles Lemos 2010-01-20 02:06AM | 0 recs

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