• comment on a post Looking for Good NAFTA Sources over 5 years ago

    Matt

    You should reach out to Simon Rosenberg and Rob Shapiro at NDN.  NDN's globalization initiative (http://www.ndn.org/advocacy/globalizatio n/) has some good material and Rob's current thoughts on free trade.  They should also be able to give you some color about the Clinton's administration's thinking at that time.

    The commentators have some great links here.  I'm looking forward to your research.

  • comment on a post Let Us Work For You, Afternoon Update over 5 years ago

    Chris and Matt

    You guys are doing great work.  Keep it up.

  • comment on a post Open Thread over 5 years ago

    And not talk about you?  Pretty poor narcissism.

    Happy birthday from an old DFH.

  • A non-stamped passport could be a bribed offcial or a rogue operation, not official policy.  And since the 9/11 hijackers came through Saudi Arabia, should we treat SA the same as Iran?  Khobar Towers - maybe Iran, maybe Al Qaeda in S.A., still lots of unanswered questions about who really did that operation, and since the Saudi's aren't helping, who knows?  Hezbollah is not targeting Americans, and despite Bush claims about Iranian IEDs, the LA Times suggests there's not a lot of evidence for it.  I'm not seeing an active network against the US, so I'd like to hear more examples of terrorism against us.  I'm more concerned about the possiiblity of a sleeper network here that could be activated after an unprovoked "pre-emptive" attack on Iran.
    Why is it that MAD worked for every other nuclear power rivalry but somehow the Iranians would be immune to its deadly logic?  When you're in a rough neighborhood and your opponents are making noises about attacking you, with the nuclear weapons they have but you don't, the Iranian response is not irrational at all.  The lesson of Iraq and North Korea is pretty simple - the US will talk big in both cases, but if you've got nukes, they ain't invading.  The Iranians are playing a very rational game - try to make a deal where you can (2003 offer), bleed your enemies by supporting their enemies when they give you an opportunity (Lebanon 06, Iraq).  We should be as smart about our interests and how to achieve them.  They won't use the nukes against Israel if Israel has a credible second strike capability, which they do.
    $200 oil when fighting closes the Persian Gulf and no ME oil, not just the Iranian's, gets out of there.
  • You're completely wrong that the only thing worse than a war with Iran is a nuclear Iran.  There's no guarantee that an attack on Iran would stop them from ultimately getting a bomb.  You are conflating the Israeli strategic position with the US strategic position.  Your analogy is absurd - Cuba is 90 miles from Miami and several hundred from DC, not several thousand like Iran.  Even if Iran got the bomb, we have much more risk of a rogue nuke from our "allies" like Pakistan or countries like NK than from Iran.  A war with Iran could lead to $200 oil, a complete collaspe of the world economy, and a reason for them to actually engage in terrorism against the US.  Right now the terrorism they sponsor is against Israel, not us.  Don't mix the two up,like Bush does and did.  Democrats can be strong without being batshit insane and counterproductive like the neo-cons.

  • I just read his speech, and I'm very disappointed in it, as I've been a very big fan of Edwards.  It's pandering of the worst kind.  You can be strong on Iran and the need for it to be responsible to its neighborhood and the world, without using the exact rhetoric that people who really do want a war with Iran use.  This was a setting for Edwards to show real leadership and understanding of the situation in the ME rather than play up to the audience's pre-conceived notions.  The Bush administration has just made matters 10 times worse by not taking Iran up on its offer in 2003 to see where it went.  After starting to lean towards Edwards, I'm definitely back in the market now for another candidate.  Al - where are you?

  • comment on a post The Pundit Blog Launches over 5 years ago

    Unbelieveable and completely disgusting.  Lanny as always spewing the Kewl Kids talking points about how both parties are equally to blame, how we can only solve the problems we face through bi-partisanship, etc., ignoring of course the fact that we are cleaning up the mess the Republicans have made all by themselves. This is pure Liebermanism - unadulterated BS.  The thing that pisses me off about this line is that the Democratic Party after 9/11 really tried to work with these clowns and just got spit upon by them.  Now that they've lost, it would be so unfair of us to hold them to account.  Bah! as  a dirty hippie blogger: Fuck 'em.

    But it's aptly named as the pundits blog - taking the worst of the "Republicans disguised as Democrats" pundits and giving them a blog.

  • comment on a post Being And Blogging over 5 years ago

    I blog, therefore I am.

  • on a comment on Thinking About Bad Incentives over 5 years ago

    I agree that wins are only one factor to evaluate a consultant since winning depends on so many other things.  But if we're going to judge what makes a good or bad consultant, we need to develop a list of standards.   We all have an informal idea of what we like or don't like to see in a consultant - we need to formalize these factors and determine ways to measure them.  

    Your Huff Post comment suggests we should be looking at an organization that can be funded by progressives, like a think tank.  That might be better than a 527.  What about existing organizations that do political science?

  • on a comment on Thinking About Bad Incentives over 5 years ago

    Matt  -  I see you replied to a similar suggestion.  For metrics: Wins are important.  Good ads are another.  Let's discuss what makes a good consultant.  Money is definitely an issue but the net-roots have shown what they can do a shoe-string by working together.

  • comment on a post Thinking About Bad Incentives over 5 years ago

    Is there some way to track the consultants each campaign hired and analyze their results?   We could then publish a list of net-roots recommended and not recommended consultants.  Which consultant a candidate hires could then be one factor in evaluating how much support the net-roots provide.

  • comment on a post Connecticut, 'Nice' Republicans, and a Wave Election over 5 years ago

    Great analysis, Matt.  I moved last year to Westport , CT, after a long time living in NJ (Hudson and Essex Counties).  Your contrast of the two states' politics is spot on.  I recently wrote a LTE decrying the "bare-knuckled" tactics here in Westport of stealing your opponents lawn signs.  (I've had to replace my precinct's Ned Lamont and Diane Farrell signs multiple times, while the Republican sings (including the Vote JOEs) remain untouched.)  While this type of petty partisan behavior is considered mild in NJ, my local DTC chair told me it's never happened in Westport before.  

    I think the voters are sick of this re-run of a contested primary season and confused by the shifting nature of the parties and players.  It's not just the ads - they also hate the multiple robo-calls, saying nasty things about candidates they know personally.  I actually think this will be to the advantage of the campaigns that can have a personal touch with voters at the end (like Ned's).  When people finally step into the voting booth, they will be glad it's all over.  But I also have a lot of faith that they will have thought about what is the right vote for Connecticut and the country.  They want change in a positive direction and they know they won't get that from the current Republican incumbents on the Federal level (again including Joe).  I'm predicting the Democrats will sweep the House here and Ned will win in a close contest.

  • comment on a post 20,000,000 Thread over 5 years ago

    Thanks, Chris.  Since I found the site in 2003 it's one of my daily stops on the web, multiple times a day.  Chris, Matt, Jerome, Jonathan, and all the rest of you - Congratulations and cheers to more great work!  

  • comment on a post Chris Murphy Question (CT-05) over 5 years ago

    He's very knowledgeable (and progressive) about healthcare.  It's an issue his opponent also stakes a claim to, although she delivered the Medicare fiasco.  I think people would like to hear his ideas about how we can better deliver healthcare in the US.

  • comment on a post CT-04: Diane Farrell Clearly Got The Memo over 5 years ago

    I live in Westport, CT and have been a big supporter of Diane's.  I don't know if this has any bearing as she has been sounding these themes for a while, but I did gave her a copy of Chris's memo last August, encouraged her to use the themes in it, and suggested she check out the MyDD web-site.  So, yes, she really did get the memo.

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