Her personal negatives would probably be added to Obama's personal negatives rather than canceling them out.
And Obama would have no message control over Hillary or Bill.
It may work out really well. But it could also work out really poorly. My guess is really poorly.
Obama's best chance is to sideline Hillary ASAP and not have her and Bill dominating the news cycle. With them on the ticket, it's going to be almost impossible to avoid a media rehash of every Clinton scandal -- something we haven't yet seen.
That's exactly what needs to happen. Best case scenario in my mind: no MI/FL supers seated, 100% MI/FL pledged seated, FL allocated according to primary, MI allocated according to currently chosen delegates.
This gives Hillary a gain of roughly 80. And moves the milestone up to somewhere around 2180.
At this point, Clinton has gotten the absolute best case from pledged delegates and can only appeal the ruling based on demanding supers get seated. Won't play well in the media, so they'll drop it.
At that point, the remaining supers can endorse Obama and close off all paths. Finally giving us a Nominee.
If we are lucky we'll get a nominee by 4th of July and can start unifying behind that candidate. But I think Hillary is going to take it to the floor in Denver. And McCain is gonna win in November.
In your world view, do you think there is a moral imperative to tell states upfront what rules will govern how and whether their votes will count?
Isn't it odd that you see a moral imperative to include the popular vote totals from two states that violated the rules while completely excluding four states that followed the rules?
And if you are going to play that game, shouldn't you at least have the moral imperative to count WA state's beauty contest? Obama won that contest by 30k votes.
The DNC told voters in MI, FL, and WA the exact same thing: your primary votes will not count and will not in any way help decide the nominee. But somehow popular votes in MI/FL carry moral imperative but popular votes in WA are worthless.
Hmm... doesn't sound that moral to me.
BTW. I support seating MI/FL pledged delegates with uncommitted MI going as selected. MI/FL supers should sit this one out as a special thanks for going along with the rule breaking.
As the second on the ticket, she isn't going to have the strong draw from her support base that she would at the top of the ticket.
However, the GOP base can be motivated against her even if she is 2nd on the ticket. Take her high negatives, mix in racism and sexism, and right wing noise machine, and it's a tough road.
If a female VP would bring help Obama with her core female supporters, I'm sure he could find one without the tensions and high negatives.
May be a good plan. Even with her on the ticket, he isn't going to be able to pull in the people who support Hillary due to her "hard working americans, white americans" viewpoint. That's the part of her base that just isn't coming on board, no matter what.