New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

The LATimes/Bloomberg poll has been released with results in Pennsylvania, Indiana and North Carolina. The polls were in the field Thursday-Monday, so there was only one day the whole "bitter" controversy was not covered.

The polls do not show the dustup hurting Obama. In Pennsylvania, Clinton leads by just 5 points, 46 to 41. In Indiana, Obama leads by 5 points, 40-35. The spread in North Carolina had a 13 pt. Obama advantage.

Tags: clinton, obama, polling (all tags)

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Strange that almost everyone has Obama ~5 points behind in PA, but SUSA and ARG, respectively the best and worst pollsters, has Clinton up by double digits.

by Dracomicron 2008-04-15 01:27PM | 0 recs
It always helps when Republicans have

registered themselves as democrats, specifically to get Obama elected.  And then will immediately become republicans again to vote McCain.

Some time ago, Daily Kos suggested that there was still time for Pennsylvania republicans to change parties to vote in our primaries.

by internetstar 2008-04-15 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: It always helps when Republicans have

Rush has them re-registering to vote for Hillary Clinton. Project Chaos remember?

by fwiffo3 2008-04-15 01:38PM | 0 recs
You're getting it backwards

Most of the Republicans who have switched sides just to interfere with the primary voted for Clinton on behalf of Rush Limbaugh (after Bill Clinton went on his show, interestingly enough).

I expect that most of the Republicans who voted for Obama actually would rather him be president than McCain, who is not well trusted by Republicans.  

I won't deny, some will have voted Obama just to stop Clinton before she gets to the general election, but that probably stopped pretty quickly once they realized how dangerous Barack is.

by Dracomicron 2008-04-15 01:40PM | 0 recs
Re: ARG had some

Note that ARG was one of the few pollsters to agree with SUSA in CA and OH. Yet last week they had it tied in PA - now up 20? I'll settle for SUSA's.

by meliou2 2008-04-15 04:20PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

The IN result is odd, and I wouldn't put too much faith in their polling.

by mikelow1885 2008-04-15 01:29PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

you think it's odd?  As a chicago-metro resident I'll be pretty surprised if Obama doesn't win Indiana.  He's going to dominate in northwest IN.. which is the fastest growing party of the state (it's a chicago suburb)
by CaptMorgan 2008-04-15 01:31PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

Only that HC is up by 16% in Indiana, and I full expect her to win in that state. Such Desperation I see here.

by steve468 2008-04-15 01:42PM | 0 recs
Hey guy

Why don't you defend your poor diary?

Why don't you defend what you posted there?

by Student Guy 2008-04-15 02:06PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

Does anybody  else get the feeling that the major news outlets will cover these polls to the exclusion of other polls showing very different results?

by markjay 2008-04-15 01:30PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

There has been a ton of coverage on the ARG poll showing Clinton up by 20 points, even though most everyone agrees that ARG is a crap pollster.

by jadegirl 2008-04-15 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

They flogged the hell out of that ARG poll, so I don't know if you have too much to complain about.

by fwiffo3 2008-04-15 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: This has to be too hilarious!

lol: LA TIMES/BLOOMBERG POLL....PLEASE GIVE US A BREAK. You have to be desperate to spend time looking up that poll....from LA...LOL

by steve468 2008-04-15 01:40PM | 0 recs
Re: This has to be too hilarious!

They rank right up there with ARG and the bottom ten, but I would not discount them. Just keep an eye on them.

by RJEvans 2008-04-15 01:46PM | 0 recs
Re: This has to be too hilarious!

Do you have any evidence that the LATimes/Bloomberg pollster is a bad one? I've not seen any. while ARG is universally villified.

by jadegirl 2008-04-15 02:11PM | 0 recs
by RJEvans 2008-04-15 09:22PM | 0 recs
Re: This has to be too hilarious!

desperate? . . kinda like posting a diary on a democratic blog by using an anti-Semitic, right wing nut job as your source.  Oh the irony.

by reggie23 2008-04-15 02:55PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

Obama's predictions for Indiana:
Obama 53
Clinton 46

His predictions have been pretty accurate lately.

by venician 2008-04-15 02:16PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

It's funny that whenever a poll comes out that shows HRC losing ground to Obama (which is all this poll shows), her supporters are quick to dismiss it as inaccurate.

I think the LA Times/Bloomberg are far more reputable than ARG. There is also a good analysis in the LA Times on the numbers.

The conventional wisdom was that HRC was up by 20 pts in PA (and this is the kind of margin she needs to claim momentum and make up her losses). If Obama does better than that, which I expect him to do, he actually comes out more ahead than her. I predict a 10 point loss for Obama in PA and a narrow win for him in IN. But who the hell really knows? The polls have been way off this year (even SUSA, which is pretty good, took some hits).

by DrPolitics 2008-04-15 03:50PM | 0 recs
Re: New LATimes/Bloomberg Poll

Somebody has to be really desperate to take this poll seriously. Please give us a break and do not underestimate us. How can a poll that has 19 percent of people undecided be liable? Hillary is up by double digits in Pennsylvania and Indiana. So PLEASE do not think we are stupid!

by darlene25 2008-04-15 07:04PM | 0 recs

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