Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

The LA Times has just released a new national poll.

Obama 49   McCain 37

The lead extends to 15 points when you factor in Nader and Bob Barr.

Obama 48   McCain 33

Obama's lead is due to his stance on domestic issues. He leads among women, black voters and other minorities.  And he ties among white voters and independents. So much for the racial problem.

The most exciting news is the enthusiasm gap. 81% of Obama voters are enthusiastic about voting for him, versus 45% of McCain voters who feel the same.

Interesting nuggets. Bush's approval is down to 23%.

Democrats viewed favorably by 51%, Republicans by 29%.

Guess that Newsweek poll was not an outlier.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la- na-poll25-2008jun25,0,5763707.story

Tags: National Polls, obama (all tags)

Comments

25 Comments

Sorry to be a party-pooper

The LA Tinmes is notorious out here for being horrible with polls. Good news, but let's wait till after the convention when the real polling starts.

by Chelsea in 2020 2008-06-24 01:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

I'm not sure how LA Times/Bloomberg national polls are rated. But the fact that it is similar to the Newsweek poll is encouraging. It's doubtful two such major polls within days of each other are both outliers.

by jadegirl 2008-06-24 01:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

You're right, this is terrible news for Obama.  Thanks for setting us straight.

by SpideyDem 2008-06-24 01:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

So I guess you skipped right over me saying this was "Good News", didn't you.

by Chelsea in 2020 2008-06-24 02:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

It's not that I read over it.  I am just not fluent in concerntrollese.  I know a few words and phrases, but I have a long way to go.

by SpideyDem 2008-06-24 02:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

Smartest comment I've read today spideydem. Big kudos

by duende 2008-06-24 03:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

"ConcernTrollese"

LOL!!!

by rapcetera 2008-06-24 04:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Sorry to be a party-pooper

No lets not wait. We are excited about our candidate. The results of this poll are not surprising at all. As Charlie Black said we need something big to happen to beat Obama.

by Politicalslave 2008-06-24 04:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

I am glad other nerds are getting this up early. Vigilance, vigilance.

by danIA 2008-06-24 01:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

Nerds unite! As soon as I saw it was going to be released, I camped out by my computer.

by jadegirl 2008-06-24 01:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

This is a Democrat site so we get excited when our candidate does well. I understand why McCain supporters feel disappointed.

by Politicalslave 2008-06-24 04:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

So much for the media's hopes that Newsweek was an outlier. This is a real movement.

But we must remember that it is not Barack Obama that will determine where this movement takes us, it is all of us that will decide.

by John in Chicago 2008-06-24 01:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

And if Bob Barr and Ralph Nadar are included, the lead grows to 15 points.

Furthermore, there are relatively few defections from Clinton supporters.

Only 11% of Clinton voters have defected to McCain.

And, like other polls, there's a big enthusiasm gap. McCain voters are not that excited about him.

Even among voters who say they do plan to vote for McCain, more than half say they are "not enthusiastic" about their chosen candidate; only 45% say they are enthusiastic. By contrast, 81% of Obama voters say they are enthusiastic, and almost half call themselves "very enthusiastic," a level of zeal that only 13% of McCain's supporters display.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la- na-poll25-2008jun25,0,5763707.story

by politicsmatters 2008-06-24 01:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

Bush job approval in the poll is 23%!!!!

by politicsmatters 2008-06-24 01:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

I'd love to understand how 23 people out of 100 could approve of the job Shrub is doing.  

I

JUST

DON'T

GET

IT!

by SpanishFly 2008-06-24 01:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

I read last year that there is a presidential approval ratings floor.  Some people (I think 12%) approve of the president no matter what, simply because he is the president and we are supposed to support our country.  They pulled data going back to nixon, I think.

I will see if I can find the article.

So only 11% are evaluating Bush and still thinking he does a good job.  11% is still high in my book.

by CAchemist 2008-06-24 01:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

Me too!

by Politicalslave 2008-06-24 04:16PM | 0 recs
Re: No complacency

Contribute.  Volunteer.  Make those phone calls.

by Brad G 2008-06-24 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: No complacency

You got it!  We need to work our states and reach out to other states.  

by politicsmatters 2008-06-24 01:38PM | 0 recs
Re: No complacency

You are spot on. Thanks for the rec.

by jadegirl 2008-06-24 02:06PM | 0 recs
Re: No complacency

Right on.

And register voters.  (Naturalization ceremonies are good targets - lots of new citizens excited about the possibility of electing someone whose own father was an immigrant.)

by barath 2008-06-24 01:39PM | 0 recs
Re: No complacency

That's a brilliant idea. Is the Obama campaign working on this? You ought to write a diary about it.

by duende 2008-06-24 03:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Breaking LA Times Poll- Obama Leads By 12

Thanks for the rec guys!

by jadegirl 2008-06-24 03:15PM | 0 recs
More I think about that 11%

The more I think about that 11% of Clinton supporters who've defected to McCain (why, I'll never understand) the more the large number, almost two million voters, creeps me out.

I don't think we can afford to let two million votes just walk away to the other side. We need to get them back.

by RickWn 2008-06-24 03:34PM | 0 recs
A lot of them were never loyal Democrats

to begin with.  Just like not all of his supporters would vote for her, some of hers weren't going to vote for him.

by Geekesque 2008-06-24 04:43PM | 0 recs

Diaries

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