Rasmussen and Zogby show Kerry winning...sorta
by Geotpf, Sun Sep 19, 2004 at 05:14:45 PM EDT
Zogby (who personally is a Democrat) and Rasmussen (who personally is a Republican) seem to have thier shit together, as it were. I trust them both. Both are full-time pollsters who run thier own firms. Thier names are on the line, so they want to get it right.
Zogby has Kerry down by 3 with 7 undecided, including minor canidates or not: http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=867
If 85% of the undecided go to Kerry, then Kerry ends up with 6 of the 7, and ends up being up by 2.
I also like the fact that Badnarik is gaining and Nader is falling...I would love to see Nader place fourth behind Badnarik.
Rasmussen has Kerry down by 2.7%, with 3.8% undecided: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm If you give Kerry 3.2% (85% of 3.8%) and Bush .6% of the undecided, Kerry would be up by .9%.
It's not over yet...
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