With this poll the 18-44 age segment is only 12%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primari es/pages/epolls/IA/

In 2004, however, this group represented 32% of Iowa caucus goers.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primari es/pages/epolls/IA/

So this new poll underestimates the likely 18-44 turnout by OVER 50%!!!

With Obama in the race we will probably see an increase in the 18-44 turnout.

He's still leading.

Hi Dickie Flatts

Yes, low-info types won't recognize him. Figures.

Check.

You will never see Obama make an issue of race. Even if he had a case, it would be a political non-starter.

He doesn't have the same leeway HRC does with gender.

I'd like to add that many younger African-Americans that lack Obama's exotic backgroud also feel unburdened, or at least less burdenened, by racial fear.

Thing is, Obama would still want Edwards to be viable in SC to continue to draw white voters away from HRC.

Then again, I don't know if JE's voters in SC will be swayed more by racial affinity or dislike of HRC. Maybe they just stay home.

Fact is, Obama still needs to build up is AA support.

Problem is, JE probably won't win in NH, even with a win on Iowa. So there would be a break in his momentum, probably broken by Hillary, who you then probably go on to win in SC.

"Obama now attracts 50% of the African-American vote in South Carolina while Clinton picks up just 28%."

Expect this number to expand as the barber and beauty shop chatter begins to pick up on Team Clinton's race-baiting.

Please edit diary to include link.

It's Rasmussen

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_conte nt/politics/election_20082/2008_presiden tial_election/south_carolina/election_20 08_south_carolina_democratic_primary

If you are not going to provide a link, probably better to delete this diary.

Link?

Polling outfit?

Trendline?

Funny how only anti-Obama folks continually harp on the "Obama as Christ-like" narrative. Makes you think that they really beleive it.

"But she offers some good news: implicitly racial messages lose their appeal, even among their target audience, when their content is exposed."

Which is why it must be exposed.