Bush Failing at Nuclear Security

That's the title of this article in tomorrow's Boston Globe. The single greatest threat posed by Al Qaeda is if they get their hands on a loose nuke. Without a nuclear weapon Bin Laden and Al Qaeda are just another mafioso type street gang. No worse and no better than some South American drug cartels.

First we have to understand the real problem:

From Lawrence Korb's article:

First, the administration applauds itself for negotiating the Group of Eight Global Partnership against the spread of weapons of mass destruction. Under this arrangement, the United States has agreed to spend $10 billion over the next 10 years to safeguard and dismantle weapons of mass destruction and related materials in the former Soviet Union, while the other seven members agreed to raise another $10 billion. However, what they don't mention is that this agreement does not obligate the United States to spend any funds beyond what it has already spent annually since the end of the Cold War.

Europe is not doing any better:
Similarly, the other G-7 nations are allowed to count the funds they had previously allocated for clean-up in the former Soviet Union as part of their $10 billion contribution. More important, most of the pledged funds have not been allocated, and in any case are woefully short of what is needed: Securing the nuclear materials of Russia (not to mention the other states of the former Soviet Union) will cost $30 billion.

We are spending $10 billion per year on missle defense for the next 25 years for a system that everybody knows doesn't work today, and may never work. We could eliminate the single greatest threat posed by Al Qaeda if the United States and Europe combined would pony up $30 billion dollars. This is a big problem, but it is manageable if we had the will to solve it.

Korb points out the second part of the problem:

The second accomplishment that the Bush administration touts is its establishment of the Proliferation Security Initiative. Under this program, more than 15 nations will work together to board ships believed to be transporting weapons of mass destruction.  ...  Even Republican Senator Richard Lugar -- chairman of the Armed Services Committee and a Bush supporter -- has repeatedly criticized the administration for failing to ratify the treaty.

Korb identifies the third leg to this unstable stool. Bush wants to spend less money on the most serious threat to American's national security:

Finally, the administration speaks frequently of its support for the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program, which assists the states of the former Soviet Union in safeguarding and dismantling their enormous stockpiles of weapons of mass destruction, delivery systems, and related materials. However, the Bush administration actually requested a decrease in funding in fiscal 2005 for the three major threat reduction programs in the State, Energy, and Defense budgets. If the Bush administration receives the $919 million it has requested for fiscal year 2005, this will be a decline from fiscal 2004 of $72 million, or more than 7 percent.

But we can afford to spend $6.8 billion per year on upgrading our nuclear capabilities.

The Bush administration's misguided policies on an array of nuclear issues have further undermined the world's efforts to halt proliferation. The administration has begun development of two new nuclear weapons; adopted a strategy that authorizes the use of nuclear weapons in a preemptive attack against nations that are close to acquiring nuclear weapons; and increased funding for conducting research and upgrading US nuclear capabilities to $6.8 billion, twice the amount the US spent a decade ago. Its message to the rest of the world in the area of nuclear proliferation is "do as we say, not as we do."

There you have it folks. That's the real threat we face. Bin Laden and Al Qaeda are just another international crime cartel. Bin Laden plus a single nuke, now that's the real problem. You want to frame the threat of terrorism? Communicate this idea to the American people.

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1 Comment

I don't think that they care..
about nuclear terrorism anywhere near as much as they should.

It's cities that would probably pay the price of nuclear terrorism. I hate to say that and all that it implies, but it strikes me as probably true.

My feeling is that they don't want 'fear' of anything to limit US corporate and military policy. No change in the strategic landscape is enough to faze them. Even a change as significant as the atomic bomb. I know I could be wrong, but everything that I have read indicates to me that they would rather simply make lots of noise. The illusion of fighting terrorism is more important than the substance of it, to these guys. Isn't that what a number of books by disillusioned (and Republican) Washington insiders has said?

They especially want to spend billions on the Cold-War era 'missile defense system', which to me, looks like a huge waste of money compared to other, less wasteful uses for that money like better border defense. Corporate welfare, basically. the task of stopping ballistic missiles that take any kind of evasive action, as well as telling missiles from decoys, like mylar balloons, - which travel just as fast and at the same trajectory, in a vaccumn - seems next to impossible.

(And please don't mention any of the zillion other ways in which terrorists might get WMD into the US. If a 16 year old can build a model airplane out of stealthy balsa wood that flies 1000 miles using GPS, you can bet terrorists can. Would you use ballistic missiles, which identify the sender?  Cold War target fixation, anyone?)

Nothing can be allowed to stop the expansion of US militarism. Nomatter how little we can afford it.
Not even the risk we all face from nuclear terrorism in the modern age of 'Dr. Khan's BYO nuclear bomb kits'.

Bluntly, the idea of nuclear terrorism scares the crap out of me.

I don't think its a matter of if, its when.. And the aftermath would be like nothing the world has ever seen in terms of heartache. Metal and plastic burn. Think Dresden on steroids.. Miles of Ground Zero.. millions dead.

A news blackout. They wont let something like 911's cell phone calls from the doomed happen again, I have heard.

Why are we going in this unhealthy direction?

It's as if we are an addicted nation, addicted to the high profits of the hegemon, and unable to stop, even when we know we probably can't pull it off successfully any more. At least that is what I fear.

If that happens, it would be the misfortune of those of us who live in urban areas if we become targets - but in the current atmosphere of denial of any blame I see this coming, and not much hapening to stop it. Its a vicious circle of hate.
The extremists win on both sides. The people die.

Military budgets go up, but is that the right response? This connection isn't a good one. As every 'superpower' since the Roman era has discovered, 'empires' and their armies find it very difficult to fight decentralized 'non state actors'

After the 'Varian disaster' in the Teutonberg Forest, Rome pulled back, stopped trying to expand its frontiers, and then, enjoyed a hundred or so years of peace.

But the gods seem to have a way of punishing countries that ignore the limits of common sense..

Very bad situation....

by ultraworld 2005-01-02 08:25PM | 0 recs

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