The Huckabee Yelp

     As the Baptist preacher, turned governor, turned Presidential hopeful Mike Huckabee continues to rise in the polls, it will be very interesting the imaginative ways the Republican establishment will use to derail his candidacy and still maintain its strangle hold on the evangelicals who are flocking to him. In just two short weeks we have been treated to new revelations concerning the "man who would be king". There was the "pardoned rapists" story, the unelectable story, and now the release of private letters written by Mr. Huckabee while in Arkansas. The Republican dirty tricks department is in full-throttle mode and as his numbers continue to increase the tricks will get dirtier and the tone is going to get meaner.

As Mike Huckabee gains ground on his rivals for the Republican nomination, opponents have quietly begun highlighting the slew of ethics issues the social conservative faced during his political career in Arkansas.

A recent Washington Post-ABC News poll found Huckabee trailing only Mitt Romney -- and by less than the margin of error -- in Iowa, where the primary season kicks off with Jan. 3 caucuses.

But opposition research files on Huckabee's ethics stand at the ready, and their contents have begun seeping into press releases. Politico

    The only way for the Republican establishment to discredit Mr. Huckabee and retain the evangelicals they will need is to attack him on two fronts. The first will be to question his ethics and try to expose him as a hypocrite (as if in the Republican Party that would be a deal breaker); using this method it would appear that the candidate self-destructed, he really wasn't "true believer". The second front will be to attack him as being "too liberal" on social issues, this would include immigration, taxes, and social spending. By using either of these two weapons against him the Republicans can smear the candidate, but still maintain the "moral" high ground.

    What the Huckabee candidacy has exposed is the lie that has been the lynchpin of Republican politics since Nixon's campaign, the lie is that social conservatives and fiscal conservatives share commonality of views and issues. The truth is that they don't and the destruction of the Huckabee campaign will expose it for all to see. While the fiscal conservatives have always needed the social conservatives, it has always been a one way relationship. The fiscal conservative candidate would pay lip service to the social conservative agenda and they would be allowed to speak at the nominating convention, but then after the election the fiscal conservatives would go back to business as usual. That business of course is to turn on the public faucet for the wealthy to fill their pails at the public's expense. This game has been played out in election after election.

    What no one counted on was that a "true" social conservative would ever get the nomination; this is the fly in the ointment. It is ok for Republican candidates to pander to the social conservatives to get their votes so long as the social conservatives remain on the fringes. The problem with pandering to the lowest common denominator is that every cycle requires you to offer more, so if you are pandering to bigots, racists, and intolerant people the line keeps getting lower and lower. The rhetoric has to get nastier to satisfy the mob. Up until now, the fiscal conservatives have been able to feed the "monster" and still remain viable in a national election. Sure there have been the occasional social conservative candidates, Pat Robertson, Gary Bauer, and of course Pat Buchanan; but they have always polled low enough to not raise any alarm. Usually, the fiscal conservatives could present a candidate who could project himself as a "true believer", but this year is different.

    This year you have a pro-life Mayor who committed adultery, a Mormon Governor from a liberal state, and a secular Senator with no ties to the social conservatives; it couldn't get worse for the fiscal conservatives. The rise of Mike Huckabee should have been predictable for the Republican strategists, but of course due to their arrogance of intelligence they believed that they could continue to roll out the "perpetrators" and continue to keep the social conservatives inline. You keep stoking these fires and someone is bound to get burnt. The Republicans, using the Karl Rove play book, have stoked the fires of the social conservatives with their phony "value" issues until now there is a flame that is threatening to consume the rest of the Party. The social conservatives are now ready to exert a larger influence over the Party than ever before, now they want one of their own, a true believer.

    The previous social conservative movements have all been orchestrated by the fiscal conservatives to imitate a real movement, but it was always under the guidance of a fiscal conservative masquerading as a social conservative. Mike Huckabee represents the day of reckoning for the fiscal conservatives. He has recognized the "frailty" of the current crop of wannabes and has rushed in to fill the void. To the chagrin of the Party establishment his message is playing better than the "anointed" candidates and it scares the hell out of them. They know that on the national stage Mr. Huckabee will be vulnerable to all types of attacks and would probably lose in a landslide. The thing about the message of hate and intolerance is that it may play well to the Party base, but it doesn't play so well to the nation as a whole.

    So, as the deconstruction of Mike Huckabee plays out it will be interesting to note the role of the media in his downfall. The Republicans will use their trusty friends in the fourth estate to write the stories that they have leaked. All of this will be done of course in the interest of the public's right to know, if only they were as forthcoming with all of their candidates.

False history gets made all day, any day,
the truth of the new is never on the news - Adrienne Rich

The Disputed Truth

Tags: Fiscal Conservatives, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Nixon, Republican Candidates, Rudy Giuliani, Social Conservatives (all tags)

Comments

7 Comments

Re: The Huckabee Yelp

You are very right about the rift being exposed by the Huckabee campaign, but with all due respect, you could not be more wrong about Huckabee's potential strength in the general election...you have, in fact, fallen for the very kind of establishement-leaked media story you write about in your post. The fact is that Huckabee will not be an "easy kill" in the general election. Huckabee was twice elected overwhelmingly in Arkansas, a state that is one of the most deeply Democratic states in the country. He has a UNIQUE abilility to communicate with people -- Republican, Democrat or Independent. He will, in the general election, be THE most-liked and most-trusted candidate. He is the ONLY candidate who can keep the vital southern bloc of states together, without which the GOP would have lost the last two elections. He WILL wipe the floor with his opponent, whomever it is, in each and every debate. He will woo independents and "Huckabee Democrats" to his campaign in a way never seen before. He WILL expand the GOP tent in a way not seen since Reagan. The trouble is, for the establishment, Huckabee will grow the GOP tent with people they don't want in their private club. That is why they are attacking him....not because he's an easy kill in the general...but rather because they are desperately trying to keep their stranglehold on the party.

mikehuckabeepresident2008.blogspot.com

by BSR 2007-12-26 06:43AM | 0 recs
Re: The Huckabee Yelp

I disagree, in order for Mr. Huckabee to get the Republican nomination he will and has made statements that have alienated voters he will need for the general election. In addition, the "establishment" as you call them will have leaked enough dirt to call into question everything from his ethics to his sexual preferences. Do not underestimate the power of the fiscal conservatives, they have all the money and most of the media...

by Forgiven 2007-12-26 07:54AM | 0 recs
Re: The Huckabee Yelp

I don't see how the Asa Hutchinson, two-times Bush-voting Arkansas is "one of the most deeply Democratic states in the country."  True, it is an important Southern swing state.  But, as I have pointed out elsewhere, the Democrats can win the White House with an election map that looks exactly like 2004 with either Colorado or Iowa and either New Mexico or Nevada going blue.  The Western states won't be as impressed with his Bible-thumping, leaving a potentially large swing vote out West.  Also, I think he'd have a difficult time selling his "sales tax only" policy to anyone.  I don't get that policy.  It's probably the most anti-populist thing out there right now and it's coming from the supposed Republican populist (??).

I think Mike Huckabee would make a good race out of it, but there are enormous institutional hills to climb.

by the mollusk 2007-12-26 11:31AM | 0 recs
Re: The Huckabee Yelp

The problem that they have with Huckabee isn't that he's a social conservative. It's because he's a social conservative that has read The Bible and believes that it says something other than about Abortion and  Homosexuals.

The reason they loathe Huckabee is that his Christianity is not so narrowly defined. See, with these two issues, they can throw enough bones towards the social conservatives, knowing full well that the policies they want are not obtainable.

But, Huckabee is different. When he talks about his Christianity guiding him to 'help the less fortunate' and ' least amongst us', and then goes ahead and inacts actual POLICIES to back that up..

Well, that's a whole different ballgame.

Huckabee, I'll just admit, is one of the few White Evangelicals that comes close to discussing the Christianity that I grew up with as a child. He's talking about the Jesus that 'I' know.

That he was willing to RAISE TAXES to help those who are ' least among us' because of his Christian value system..

They are going INSANE. INSANE.

Huckabee is NOT a ' let them eat cake' social conservative.

Add into it that he's a populist to boot and you see the wellspring of their hatred.

by rikyrah 2007-12-26 09:17AM | 0 recs
And, I don't think Huckabee is all that easy

to beat in the General Election. I think he's their second strongest candidate after McCain.

by rikyrah 2007-12-26 09:19AM | 0 recs
Re: The Huckabee Yelp

Not to dispute your claim that Huckabeee,

"[w]hen he talks about his Christianity guiding him to 'help the less fortunate' and ' least amongst us', and then goes ahead and inacts actual POLICIES to back that up.. ."

is accurate, but please give me some specific links to legislation or policies begun or enacted by Huckabee which were actually designed help the "less fortunate" or "least among us."

I'm not saying he didn't do this, I'm just saying I'm not too familiar with Huckabee and would appreciate some links verifying your claim.

Thank you

by Elmo Buzz 2007-12-29 09:16AM | 0 recs
Re: The Huckabee Yelp

The rapist thing was something they grokked from the left though. We did all the work on that one.

by MNPundit 2007-12-29 12:15PM | 0 recs

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