Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

I found this while looking for info on the voting results (I couldn't find any yet), from a link on the Iowa GOP website.

http://cycloneconservatives.blogspot.com /

This is the official liveblogger for the straw poll, with some short analysis of crowd reactions to speeches.  The thing that interested me the most is that there are so many Ron Paul supporters there.  The guy said that the person doing introductions was having a hard time because his supporters were "everywhere" and really loud.  The liveblogger said that Ron Paul got the biggest reaction of everyone except Romney, but it was just about as loud, and the only thing the crowd did not like was him saying "the national ID was is mistake".

Second, apparently the Huckabee guys showed up strong as well, and they were chanting "I like Mike" He did a lot of Clinton bashing, basically saying that good things can come from Arkansas as well.

Based on this, I stand by my earlier comments of a possible Ron Paul surge or even a Huckabee or Brownback one.  I think that the first two COULD compete with a democrat, but it wont matter.  I say this because Huckabee may be a wingnut and may not believe in evolution, but when he talks about why he doesn't sound crazy.  There is a rationale for him, and with evolution he brings in science and says basically "God started it, whether we evolved I don't know" And Ron Paul is more liberal (although more crazy, since he wants to get rid of I think 5 departments, the IRS, Social Security and some other things.)

I guess we will see over the next few days/weeks.

Tags: 2008 election, GOP, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, straw poll (all tags)

Comments

11 Comments

Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

More like a pipe dream by the ultra-liberals.

by areyouready 2007-08-11 02:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Im hearing from friends on the ground in Iowa to look out for Brownback...

by JaeHood 2007-08-11 02:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Yeah, all the bloggers are saying that Brownback had a huge presence on the floor during his speech, much bigger than even Romney's. Sounds like he'll be claiming second, possibly even a very strong second. There is definitely room for a social conservative to emerge in the Iowa caucuses, so this could be big for Sam. However, he's never struck me as a very talented politician. Then again, neither did Bush, so who knows what could happen

by Max Fletcher 2007-08-11 02:45PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

I was just about to write that.  His talent as a politician is not much.  His main line is that of a very strict social conservative.  But who knows what will happen.

by iamready 2007-08-11 03:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

A good showing by Huckabee would trip him up. Same credentials but he's a more natural campaigner with executive experience. But as neither will be able to compete for real, it's all academic anyway.

by Ernst 2007-08-11 04:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Looks like your prediction goes into toilet again. LOL.

by areyouready 2007-08-11 05:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Chris Clizza on the fix Mentioned that Paul had a huge presences but hinted that some of them might be from out of state.

He also mentions that the word on the street says Brownback had a 100 buses full of people and that even his opponents concede he has a good organization in iowa.

I'm guessing the results will be

1. Romney
2. Brownback
3  Huckabee

by world dictator 2007-08-11 04:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Probably. Both Brownback and Huckabee are banking pretty heavily on this to keep them in the race.

Although I've got no idea how it is in Iowa Brownback seems to have a bigger backing in general then Huckabee. Although Huckabee seems to be the more talented politician Brownback is profiting from the fact that senators have more advantages currently.

by Ernst 2007-08-11 04:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Romney could pick someone like Brownback to provide balance (regional and social issue wise) to the ticket. McCain and Guiliani would perhaps do so too. Brownback is a favorate of the social and religious conservatives I believe.

by Quinton 2007-08-11 04:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

Ron Paul surprise? Pipe dream of ultra liberals. LOL

by areyouready 2007-08-11 05:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Ames Straw Poll, Ron Paul suprise?

I have to say I was surprised by both Tommy Thompson and Tom Tancredo.  But expectations for Paul and Huckabee were both about 3-5 percent. So I would say he did well, as did Tancredo.

by fakes seizures 2007-08-11 06:07PM | 0 recs

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