Obama Should Worry About This
by dpANDREWS, Thu Feb 07, 2008 at 05:26:51 AM EST
Yesterday I wondered what type of narrative the media would adapt coming out of Super Tuesday, and how they would choose to cover the race moving forward. Up until yesterday hype was a huge part of the coverage, as it alway is leading up to a big event, whether it be Super Tuesday or the Super Bowl.
Obama has enjoyed the most hype. Largely because of his huge rallies that are full of energy. Obama has fed off this hype and the positive coverage it brings. But will that last? Can he sustain the energy and the interest going forward. Will the media play to it as they have in the past weeks? Maybe not.
Adam Nagourney, writing in the NY Times, is looking at the voter demographics, while at the same time wondering if large crowds turn into votes (link to article below):
In other stories around political horn we have the media seems to know becoming very focused on the delegate count, as well as looking down far down the road pondering potential outcomes in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. The media seems to moving in the direction of covering the process.
The Washington Post writes up the upcoming Virginia primary. There is no mention of rallies, nor quotes from the candidates highlighting backs and forths, etc. The article is focuses largely on demographics and regional differences in the states. Again, more on the process.
From the WaPost:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2008/02/06/AR2008020604500_ 2.html?hpid=topnews&sid=ST2008020htt p://www.http://www.washingtonpost.com:80 /ac2/wp-dyn?node=admin/registration/regi ster&sub=AR
Obama has a strong delegate count, a run of primaries ahead of him that he should win, and all the money he will ever need to campaign. But I wonder what happens if the sizzle fades. What of the media doesn't fuel the hype anymore, and instead moves into covering the nuts and bolts aspects of the game from here on? Might some younger voters lose interest as the process drags on through the spring?
If this campaign becomes about delegates, and demographics, and process, instead of about personalities and events, then I think Obama may be at a disadvantage in the long run.