My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Why do I make this prediction now?  Simple, I am watching Hardball.  The roundtable is talking about an Obama candidacy, Eugene Robinson is smiling like a cat that just swallowed a bird.  Chris is basically acting as though he as won and Dee Dee Myers is doing nothing to try and temper that.

Matthews is seeing the exit polling.  We are not.  Not yet.

I could be wrong.  As a Clinton supporter I hope I am.  But my gut says Obama rolled tonight and my guess is he takes New Jersey (Matthews said he would pay particular interest in NJ).

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama, Chris Matthews, Harball (all tags)

Comments

42 Comments

Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

MSNBC is the official channel of Obama and have been for a long time. Matthews HATES Hillary and what exactly do you expect from Robinson???

by rossinatl 2008-02-05 12:57PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Well then, if Obama would do badly today they wouldn't be in such good spirits probably.

But then again, exit polls are terrible, so anything could happen.

by Ernst 2008-02-05 01:22PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Good expectations setting, but the next time that Matthews knows anything will be the first time.  That, at least, is something all Democrats should be able to agree on.

by HSTruman 2008-02-05 12:59PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

the next time that Matthews knows anything will be the first time.

I absolutely love that line.

by Denny Crane 2008-02-05 01:12PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Based on the early exits I'd say read Matthews and his crew like a book.

by dpANDREWS 2008-02-05 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

That's depressing news.  God, I hate those people.  I want Hillary to win to give them a much-deserved smack in the face.

by reasonwarrior 2008-02-05 12:59PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Remember that the polls are far from closed to.

by ejintx 2008-02-05 01:00PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

CNN is showing exit polls and their attitude over there is far different. Obama's people are seeking to lower expectations. I do not look to that panel, which I was also watching, as signifying anything.

by americanincanada 2008-02-05 01:03PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

On the Democratic side, early indications suggest it could be a long night. Primary outcomes often turn on those people who made their decisions within the last three days before the vote. According to the exit polls, Obama and Clinton are essentially splitting those voters, with 47 percent going for Obama and 46 percent for Clinton.

So no great last minute surge to Obama which should be good news in CA at least.

by kristoph 2008-02-05 01:12PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Not to me.

by MNPundit 2008-02-05 01:45PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

CNN showed some exit polls for people who decided in the last three days. It was even.

by RJEvans 2008-02-05 01:05PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Well, that should be pretty good news for Clinton, I would have thought.

by kristoph 2008-02-05 01:10PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Everything is too close to call. Matthews is such a tool.. I hate him as much as I hate Fox News right now. Be objective. Jeez.

by falcon4e 2008-02-05 01:05PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

The networks do not get to see the exit polling until 5pm.

Have a look at the pollster.com blog.

by kristoph 2008-02-05 01:05PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Sorry, I mean to say until the polls close.

by kristoph 2008-02-05 01:09PM | 0 recs
My prediction

Hillary wins big but not big enough.

by puma 2008-02-05 01:09PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

MSNBC exit poll suggests Obama did well..

Interesting best commander of chief
Clinton 50 Obama 35

Can Unite Country
Obama 54 Clinton 37

Bring about change was important for 53% of voters, and Obama was rated as getting 3/4 of that vote.

by falcon4e 2008-02-05 01:12PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

I've done the math: convention chaos.

by Zeitgeist9000 2008-02-05 01:23PM | 0 recs
the Iowa and NH exit polls were off

so let's wait for the results before jumping to any conclusions.

by desmoinesdem 2008-02-05 01:13PM | 0 recs
Re: the Iowa and NH exit polls were off

The exit polls for CNN was very accurate for NH.

by RJEvans 2008-02-05 01:22PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

MSNBC's exit polls basically state what we have already heard from the early primary states. Nothing really substantive. We won't get anythng real until the polls start closing in an hour.

by americanincanada 2008-02-05 01:14PM | 0 recs
i think he was joking

this will be close after tomorrow and will go all the way to Texas. No matter what the media narrative is, Hillary will not drop out. And Obama has too much money to quit.

by highgrade 2008-02-05 01:19PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight
It won't be long now, until we start to see the actual results. I can't really see the need for predictions at this point. Let the voters speak.
by vj 2008-02-05 01:23PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Matthews actually looked more concerned to me at the outset of the show.

But if anyone watched he and Olbermann during the New Hampshire returns, they'll remember Matthews was right there at poll-closing time with the Chesire grin on his face saying they expected to make an early call on the Democratic side (i.e. calling it for Obama).

We all know how that turned out.  

Ignore them.  Let the numbers tell the story.  

And for God's sake, MSNBC is sssssssssoooooooo in the Obama-rah rah crowd, it's breathtaking.  With the exception of Dan Abrams, who will inject fairness, and Pat Buchanan, of all people, it's Obama all the way.  It's really unbelievable that a network could not only be so biased, but so biased TOWARD ONE CANDIDATE!

by DaTruth 2008-02-05 01:28PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Looking at those early exits, you mat be right.

by RJEvans 2008-02-05 01:31PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

George, if Obama has a very good night tonight, he'll be the nominee. The tidal wave will just continue to rise and rise, voices for change will grow louder and louder and he'll prevail.

Hillary needs to stop his surge tonight. If not, she's facing a tsunami.

by falcon4e 2008-02-05 01:45PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

It is incredibly sickening to see how much power MSM has in deciding the nominee of my party. If Hillary does not win BIG tonight, MSM will be all over her demanding her concession. The worst primary ever.

by praxis1 2008-02-05 01:51PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

praxis, its the way it works. Lot of low information voters out there.

by falcon4e 2008-02-05 01:54PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

And it doesn't concern you?

by praxis1 2008-02-05 02:08PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

I predict Obama wins, but not by a grand sweep.  In other words, we are in this until August.

I am in Hillary's camp but I've come across Obama campaigners.  There are many of them and they are aggressive.  He has sooo many grass roots out to help him.  

Hillary's only hope (1) absentee votes, (2) superdelegates, and (3) MI and FL.

Let's cross our fingers.

by findthesource 2008-02-05 02:06PM | 0 recs
i swear the hillary supporters on here

must be manic. Most of the polls are still open, a couple of exit polls and a state that Obama was expected to carry handily, and all of a sudden it's doom and gloom??

by highgrade 2008-02-05 02:10PM | 0 recs
Re: i swear the hillary supporters on here

Many of us watch TV, we're not immune to the hype... And, you know, hope isn't our thing.

by souvarine 2008-02-05 02:14PM | 0 recs
Just trying to guage where we are at this time

If not for the fun of doing that I'd simply wait to read about it in the papers.

by dpANDREWS 2008-02-05 02:27PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Actually, if Obama is splitting the folks who decided in the last three days, that IS a surge, considering how far behind he was a few weeks ago.

by mainelib 2008-02-05 02:18PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Well, watching CNN they are downplaying Obama's chances and saying that if he wins GA, IL and a couple of others it will be a good night for him.

by RDemocrat 2008-02-05 02:22PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

drudge report has good news for once fellow liberals.

He's going to win so many states tonight.

by Djneedle83 2008-02-05 02:57PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Front runners don't insist on four debates in four weeks.  Front runner don't ask for debates, period. I thought that was telling, indicating what might come.

by aiko 2008-02-05 03:00PM | 0 recs
Re: My Prediction: Obama wins BIG tonight

Whatever dude. HRC is gonna win NJ by double-digits, and then some.

by Jerome Armstrong 2008-02-05 04:26PM | 0 recs
My two cents...

Hillary wins the most states and popular votes. Obama comes out with as many, or almost as many delegates and is therefore will be declared the real winner.

by Its Like Herding Cats 2008-02-05 04:39PM | 0 recs
WRONG!!!

Hillary is winning big!  The MSM wants Obama, and they are shameless in their bias, but Hillary is a scrappy fighter, isn't she?  

by nascardem 2008-02-05 05:16PM | 0 recs
She's winning big?

She lost Connecticut and Delaware - so far the only surprises of the night.

by Drummond 2008-02-05 05:55PM | 0 recs
They were swayed by the early exit poll data

If you watched between 5 and 7 they were almost giddy.  Listen to their words ... they were talking about what the Obama candidacy was going to be like.  

Ooops.

Not so fast.

by dpANDREWS 2008-02-06 03:50AM | 0 recs

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