It's Down to 3.5% for Schwarzenegger (Zogby)

by donnie, Mon Sep 11, 2006 at 10:07:07 PM EDT

Here in California -- blue state, Kerry state, don't like Bush state -- the first post-Labor Day word from voters came out Monday in a Wall Street Journal/Zogby poll that shows Democrat Phil Angelides has closed up Arnold Schwarzenegger's lead to 3.5%.

"In the back and forth race this year, neither candidate has mustered a lead greater than the poll's margin of error," Zogby reports.

The Governator has spent all summer trying to hide from his close ties to George W. Bush with $25 milliion dollars in negative advertising and sheep-in-wolf's-clothing deals with California's Democratic legislature. What has he got for it? A whole lot of nothing.

Momentum matters. Angelides has got it.

Tags: Arnold Schwarzenegger, California, Governor, Phil Angelides (all tags)

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Re: It's Down to 3.5% for Schwarzenegger (Zogby)

I wish I felt it.  There's a great deal of apathy about Angelides, who is tarred by the primary mudslinging by Steve Westly and then defined again by Schwarzenegger, about whom many voters appear to have short memories.  Plus his ads have sucked.  At this point, I worry more about Debra Bowen winning the SOS office.

I'd love for Angelides to be within 3.5 points.  But it's Zogby and I simply don't believe it.

by InigoMontoya 2006-09-11 11:09PM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Down to 3.5% for Schwarzenegger (Zogby)
Zogby said Kerry by 12. I asked him how he could be so wrong - he never answered.
by dkmich 2006-09-12 01:39AM | 0 recs
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Isn't that the "interactive" Zogby poll?

Wait and see what the polls with better track records have to say.  The inaccuracy of that poll has been demonstrated here and elsewhere in the past, and I believe was thoroughly discussed here and at DKos when the latest Zogby numbers were released.  I'd provide links to those diaries, but I must change another diaper now.

by lonemorriscodem 2006-09-12 06:44AM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Down to 3.5% for Schwarzenegger (Zogby)

Well, keep your eyes open as Democrats come home to support Angelides.  Things should move closer to Zogby's close number and farther from other public polls' wider margin.  

by donnie 2006-09-13 10:03AM | 0 recs

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