That Survey USA, must be an outlier. How can Obama be down an average of 9 points nationally and 37 down in MA. The Statehouse Poll showed Obama only down 39-26, that is far more on base.

Shot, We have a 5% improvement in Sandusky and Seneca, which we need to match in Wood.

I looked at TX 10. I think it has real potential, I just want to keep the 60+ challengers down because the numbers from even 06 suggest those are bad prospects.

Not of of reach but much harder. It also supports what I call the engagement theory. Where the race is most engaged, it is closer.If the engagement theory holds, national polling becomes meaningless.  

This is different because New Hampshire is now clearly within striking distance, and Iowa win would mean far less if Hillary than won New Hampshire.

Ahem, Iowa, begets New Hampshire wins South Carolina, and the Race plays out just as I foresaw hip hip hooray.

But the Zogby poll has it at 14. Again there is no national primary such leads can be swept away. What caused the monthly shift away from her by a decent amount. You can't simply shout, hooray hooray all the time.

Any link?

Margin Wise. Tsongas lost Mihos voters bad, but won damm near every single Patrick voter, except in Dracut.

No reason to believe we can't be beat Davis outright, getting outspend like 10-1. Andy Hurst cut the margin to 55-44, No reason to cut and  run in a district Mark Warner is going to beat Gillmore in 20 points or more.

Areyouready calls my scenario a fantasy while,  Markjay gives it 10-15% chance. That is a huge difference. I think it is close to 40% to 45% but  there is a big difference between giving it credit markjay and calling it fantasy, Areyouready.

I was responding particularly to Areyouready. Who says almost only negative things.

You just beat up on everyone, indiscriminately. It is terrible.

Areyouready, why do you keep posting and posting and posting and posting if you believe the nomination is over. What good can you  do  by coming here and repeating the same basic point. If it is over, write about something else. if it isn't over stop repeating that it is over, again and again and again. It does no good.