Republicans for Obama will pull Democrats...

Republicans for Obama will pull the Democratic leadership EVEN FURTHER TO THE RIGHT.  That's not what I want, and maybe not what you want, either.

Texas Republicans cross over to vote for Obama
A poll released this week by SurveyUSA of Verona, N.J., indicated that registered Republicans would make up 9 percent of Democratic primary voters next week. Michael Baselice, head of Baselice and Associates, a Texas polling firm, said that was in line with what his company was finding. A bloc that large could make a significant difference for Obama, who holds a large lead over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York among Texas Republicans, especially in a close race. Polls this week were showing a dead heat in Texas as Obama began pulling even with Clinton.


A Number You Probably Haven't Seen
Obama, despite being ahead among pledged delegates, has fewer total votes among people who identify themselves as Democrats. (He has 7,392,809 votes; Clinton has 8,229,063.) That gives Clinton as lead with 52 percent of Democrats. Lanier also breaks the numbers down by race and points out that Obama has won white Democrats in only two states: New Mexico and Illinois... It helps you understand why the party gives so much power to its 796 superdelegates. If they didn't, independents and Republicans could essentially hijack their election.

Besides, how can we be sure Obama can carry the Red States in the general election that he has carried in the primary?

Could Obama Turn Red States Blue?
Of the 14 red states Obama has won in this nominating contest, half of them haven't voted for a Democrat for president in a general election in more than 40 years... It's obvious that a handful of red states -- Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Virginia -- are almost certain to be competitive whether Obama or Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) is the Democratic nominee. The demographics in those states have shifted toward Democrats of late, and the party made gains in each in 2006. A far more debatable premise is whether Obama is uniquely suited to put red states in play.

Obama's Red-State Prospects Unclear
In winning Tuesday's primary in the key swing state of Wisconsin, Sen. Barack Obama drew support from tens of thousands of Republicans and independents. He pulled off the same feat in [other victories]. All along, Obama has argued that he can redraw the political map for Democrats by turning out unprecedented numbers of young voters and African Americans, and by attracting independents and even Republicans with his message of national reconciliation. But the picture emerging of his appeal in GOP strongholds and in swing states, even as he widens his delegate lead over Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.), is more complex than his claim to broad popularity in "red state" America would have one believe.

Not only that, at least some of Obama's support seems to be engineered to defeat Hillary Clinton, rather than to elect a Democratic nominee that those voters would also vote for in November.  See below.

Attention All Texas Republicans and Independents!! (Republicans for Obama)
On March 4th, Texas Republicans and Independents will have an opportunity to end Hillary Clinton's (and Bill's) presidential ambitions once and for all! Since Texas has on open primary, Republicans and Independents should sign in at their polling place and request a Democratic ballot.  They should then vote for Barack Obama.  Even James Carville admits that if Hillary loses Texas, "she's done!" Republicans can help make this a reality!!!  Just think, no more Clintons in the White House! Voting Democratic this one time will have NO effect on your ability to vote in the next Republican primary or obviously on your vote in November.

I believe a similar email and flyer was being distributed in Nevada.

Carolyn Kay

Tags: 2008 election, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Primaries, republicans for obama (all tags)



Re: Republicans for Obama will pull Democrats...
Carolyn, this is a terrible post. You do not make your case. What exactly is your thesis - except for fearmongering about those evil monstrous Republicans coming into my beautiful pure Democratic party? Do you have an argument to make?
by campaignmonitor 2008-03-01 01:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Republicans for Obama will pull Democrats...

Very good diary.

Hope real Democrats see this trickery before it is too late.

by BlueSea 2008-03-01 02:25PM | 0 recs
So Reagan DEMOCRATS pulled the GOP to the Left??

All I saw was the country going further to the right when Reagan got a bunch of Democrats to side with him.

Please,read some history before spouting off about something.

by Walt Starr 2008-03-01 02:26PM | 0 recs
But Republicans don't cave ...

... to the other side, the way Democrats do.

Carolyn Kay

by Caro 2008-03-01 03:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Republicans for Obama will pull Democrats...

Fantastic diary. If Obama is the nominee, we need to make sure that the fact that he actually lost among self-identified Democrats is information that everyone has.

I don't think a lot of people know that.

by arkansasdemocrat 2008-03-01 02:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Republicans for Obama will pull Democrats...

I don't think we want to advertise this trend "if Obama is the nominee".  But we do want to inform people NOW, before our Democratic nomination takes place.

by cameoanne 2008-03-01 03:38PM | 0 recs
It's moot

Mr. Obama will not be the president.

by Coldblue 2008-03-01 03:16PM | 0 recs
Re: It's moot

From a Rasmussen report dated today:

"McCain now leads Obama 48% to 43% and Clinton 47% to 44%."

Carolyn Kay

by Caro 2008-03-02 10:16AM | 0 recs
McCain is liberal to repugs

If these conservative republicans are voting to stop Hillary, then what makes you think they will vote for Obama in November? These same conservative republicans more than likely see McCain as liberal. Don't you think that if they see McCain as liberal, then they see Obama as really really liberal. There is no way conservative republicans who thinks McCain is a liberal will vote for Obama in November. It will not happen period. So please quit pretending these republicans who are crossing the line to stop Hillary will also vote for Obama in November. The truth is the republicans are altering Obama's strong support among their party. The strong support does not exist. In 2004, Kerry got some republican support too because even some moderate republicans were upset with Bush. Kerry also received alot of indie support. But the  soft republican support and the indie support was not enough. I see the same scenario with Obama. Obama has soft support among repubs and some indie support just like Kerry. What Obama needs to do is to make sure the democratic base comes out in droves to even come close? It should be a concern among Obama that he does not do well among self identified democrats in the primaries. If he can not inspire his own party to come out to vote for him in the primaries, then it will be a problem in November. Alot will either stay home, vote for McCain or vote 3rd party.

by harmony94 2008-03-01 03:54PM | 0 recs
Re: McCain is liberal to repugs

"There is no way conservative republicans who thinks McCain is a liberal will vote for Obama in November. It will not happen period."

The point is not necessarily that they will vote for Obama, but that they will stay home and not vote at all if Obama is the nominee.  Given the extent to which conservatives hate Hillary these voters WILL come out to vote against her.  I have not seen the same hatred of Obama however.  It is a long campaign and the conservatives certainly have an opportunity to smear Obama so much as to make him as distasteful to conservatives as Hillary, but it is far from certain that they will be successful.  For me its better to go with the candidate that has a chance of keeping our opposition home than the candidate that is sure to drive them to the polls in large numbers.

by DreamsOfABlueNation 2008-03-02 04:39AM | 0 recs
Re: McCain is liberal to repugs

If you think there won't be any Obama haters, then you don't know the right wing.

They've only just gotten started on him.  By November, if he continues to prevail, you won't recognize him.

Carolyn Kay

by Caro 2008-03-02 10:18AM | 0 recs
Re: McCain is liberal to repugs

There may be a good number of Republicans who dislike Obama enough to vote against him even if they would not have otherwise voted for McCain.  The fact is, we don't know.  We do know that the Republicans despise Hillary and will come out to vote against her in large numbers unless, by some highly unlikely miracle, she can defuse their hatred by November.  Saying that the Republicans will hate the Democratic nominee the same no matter who he is is simply false.  If we had nominated Lieberman instead of Kerry for instance, you think as many Republicans would have come out to vote against him if they thought their candidate was otherwise unappealing?  Now the analogy does not hold perfectly because Republicans like Lieberman because of his hawkish foreign policy while Obama is a quintessential progressive on most issues.  However, there are plenty of Republicans who respect Obama because of his optimistic approach to politics who could give him a pass in November and refrain from voting.  See the governor of South Carolina: /south-carolinas-gop-gove_n_81170.html

With Obama, at least we have a fighting chance to keep some of these voters at home in November.  With Hillary that horse has left the barn.

by DreamsOfABlueNation 2008-03-02 05:59PM | 0 recs


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