Is Pawlenty Opting Out of a Third Term Because He Can't Get Elected?!?

Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty announced today that he wouldn't seek a third Governor's term in 2010. The question is why?

Most of the press thinks it's because he intends to run for the Republican Presidential Nomination in 2012 and needs the time to push towards that run.

I think, however, that the miserable publicity and lack of concern for State residents having a full Congressional representation which Pawlenty has built up while supporting Norm Coleman's attempt to steal the senatorial election from Al Franken is the real cause. The people, even those who didn't support Franken in the first place, are pretty pissed-off that Pawlenty didn't certify Franken after the recount, or after the recount review that gave him even more votes, but has backed Coleman's taking the recount to the State Supreme Court where arguments wereplayed out yesterday.

The press and observers don't think Coleman has a chance after Jurists seriously questioned the lack of rel information he was using. When they come back, probably in the next couple of weeks, with a verdict, and if it supports Franken, which most of the press assumes it will, Pawlenty will be stuck on a spear through the butt! At that point, Franken can probably get seated by Harry Reid and won't need Pawlenty, and Pawlenty's participation in a stall that didn't work will make him appear much weaker.

Will he go hand and hand with Coleman to the US Supreme Court? If he does, he'll be screwed in front of a much bigger National audience... and there goes the Presidency.

Under The LobsterScope

Tags: Al Franken, Minnesota, norm coleman, Tim Pawlenty (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

Data please...

The people, even those who didn't support Franken in the first place, are pretty pissed-off that Pawlenty didn't certify Franken after the recount, or after the recount review that gave him even more votes, but has backed Coleman's taking the recount to the State Supreme Court where arguments wereplayed out yesterday.

Do you have a source for that, or is it just opinion? I see that asserted a lot, but I've never seen any data actually to back it up.

On the other hand, I haven't seen data to contradict it. But much as I dislike Pawlenty, I think the state law is pretty clear that he can't certify until the state Supreme Court rules.

by fsm 2009-06-02 11:26AM | 0 recs
Re: Is Pawlenty Opting Out of a Third Term Because

Another way to look at it. Because he has decided not to run there is no pressure for him to certify even after the MN Supreme Court decides. If Coleman opts to go all the way the SCOTUS Pawlenty could say he must wait for that decision with no fear of it hurting him. And possibly helping him with the Republicans nationally.

by jsfox 2009-06-02 12:00PM | 0 recs
Incorrect

Pawlenty is not under any pressure from the majority of Minnesotans to certify.  Folks from other states don't seem to get that our rules say that he can't in good conscience certify while there are outstanding lawsuits that could affect the outcome.  

Are the lawsuits likely to affect the outcome?  No, not really.  But even a .0001% chance is still a chance, and we do things by the book here.

The person who is catching the blame for this is the person who is actually the perpetrator, Norm Coleman.  The guy won't be able to get elected to run an ice cream truck after this.

It's funny that this news came out today; I was just telling my co-workers at lunch that T-Paw won't run again because of his national ambitions: he barely won with a plurality last time around against an incompetant DFL opponent(if we had instant runoff voting, he would have lost, full-stop), and he really hasn't made any friends since, what with vetoing the major transportation bill in a state that recently saw a fatal bridge collapse.

No, he's quitting now so that a loss won't go on his record.  Expect to see him announcing a run for national office in the next year or so.

by Dracomicron 2009-06-02 12:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Incorrect

Yes, Pawlenty is not catching the blame ... YET.

If he is seen as extending the fight that would change quickly and would have had a very negative effect on any reelection chance. So now he can if he chooses push off the outcome of any decision on the Franken case until 2016 the next time he hopes to face the voters of Minnesota at the head of a ticket.

by Judeling 2009-06-02 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Incorrect

I got so much respect for Minnesota when the recount was televised.  If only the 2000 election had hinged on that state instead of Florida.

Do you think Minnesotans will still be tolerant of the whole thing if it goes BEYOND the state courts?

by Jess81 2009-06-02 11:40PM | 0 recs
Well

We'll be pissed off for sure, but getting the thing dragged out longer according to the rule of law won't sway us any more than it already has.

What a lot of folks don't seem to get is that we understand that Coleman has a legal right to do this stuff, and are prepared to dot every "i" and cross every "t" to see it through, even if it speaks very poorly of him as a person and an elected official.

I read in the paper today that Coleman might be looking at a run for governor now that Pawlenty's out.  I doubt he'll get past the primary, but I welcome him to try.

by Dracomicron 2009-06-03 08:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Well

I'm guessing the national party promised him something in exchange for dragging this out.  Because we all know what the outcome is going to be, and none of this is helping HIS prospects at all.  But one fewer liberal Senator for as long as possible is probably worth a lucrative lobbying job, or maybe even a cleared primary field for another office.

by Jess81 2009-06-03 09:09AM | 0 recs
Re: Well
Tried to respond to your comment on the "will this poster get banned" diary, but surprise surprise, that diary was deleted.

But in reference to your post, Jerome really showed his true colors in the run up to the nomination, as well as his sour grapes afterwords. Which is fine, it's his blog, he can do what he wants. Just as I was free to stop visiting MyDD after it became Alegre's Home for the Disenchanted and Bitter©. I do stop in maybe once a month to look at the rec'd diaries, and as I said, it's evident the hypocrisy employed by the admins has not changed.

by John in Chicago 2009-06-03 10:26AM | 0 recs
Deleted by Owner

Not the powers that be...

After Charles ousted Miles the Outlandish, it served it's purpose.

But, still exists on the REC list with a different name (clever of me), it's one of those quantum reality things.

by WashStateBlue 2009-06-04 09:48AM | 0 recs

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