How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Husband (by turning bitterness around)

Tonight, when Steven Colbert interviewed Michelle Obama on his show, he compared her to Jackie Kennedy. This was a historical moment that serves as the tipping point, reframing the race in Pennsylvania as the comparison was apt. (Read this article I wrote about the Jackie Kennedy exhibit at Chicago's Field Museum in 2005 to truly understand how her appearances have effectively changed the crown to Michelle Obama: http://badgerherald.com/artsetc/2005/01/ 17/heralding_the_return.php)

Brian Mier did research at Loyola University in Chicago that demonstrated it was Jackie who won the election for her husband through her wooing of the immigrant vote, not old Mayor Daley.Mier has friends working on Obama's campaign and it is my belief that his research has been used in the media and speaking placement of Senator Obama's wife in the moments leading up to the Pennsylvania primary.

In the wake of the famous bitter comment in Pennsylvania, Michelle Obama has emerged doing damage control and in my mind, has turned the comments about bitter working class white people to her husband's advantage by channeling her story through those comments. The two key events that did this was her appearance on the Colbert Report and her self-reflexive comment about her being evidence of 'what an investment in public education' could yield.

Polls are still showing Hillary Clinton ahead of Barack Obama by six points but as a Hillary supporter, I think these appearances by Ms. Obama have effectively turned the tide that will hand the state to Senator Obama when we wake up on April 23rd.

I like to be known for predicting trends so I'm calling it here and I'm calling it on Ms. Obama's Jackie Kennedy effect. (Whoever is dressing her for these appearances knows what he or she is doing. Michelle Obama's legs on Colbert won her husband at least 20 votes.)

Hillary is not her husband but she has inherited the reevaluation of his presidency and him as a person in the national reflection on what the Regan era and neo-liberalism has wrought, (even though, in many ways, Obama is our Tony Blair if one wants to talk neo-liberal legacy.) It is unfortunate because she is the better of the two Clinton's and like so many couples with 'stupid' men in them, Bill ruined it for her. This is how history will tell the story.

I hope, as a Hillary supporter, she rehabilitates herself away from the horrible, wrongful image the right-wing media has made of her and runs again if she is not the VP pick.

But otherwise, as someone who has been paid to be a trend watcher, Michelle Obama knocked it out of the ball park today and sealed the deal for her husband. When it comes down to it, as Jackie Kennedy was, the First Lady is the real Vice-president and many Americans are savvy enough to vote on that notion.

Also, kudos to Steven Colbert tonight for making his moment that will put him in the history books as the deal maker.

I'm still voting for Hillary in PA but watch the clip of tonights show and everyone out there will see why after this appearance, it's all over in Pennsylvania and Obama will win the state.

Again, to frame the objectivity of this post, I'm a Hillary supporter. However, she'd have to make Jesus himself come down and miraculously change the facist Pennsylvania state liquor sales laws to beat what Michelle Obama is doing for her husband on the trail.

view clip here: http://youtube.com/watch?v=7AqmLH9z9Qw

Tags: Hillary, Jackie O strategy, obama (all tags)

Comments

35 Comments

Michelle who?

This is snark, right?

God knows, Pennsylvanians sit on the edge of their seats waiting to watch Colbert.  Doesn't everybody in the country?

by Scotch 2008-04-15 08:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Michelle who?

i was going to say the same thing!

by canadian gal 2008-04-15 08:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Michelle who?

It's a little hard to get my arms around the concept.

by Scotch 2008-04-15 08:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Michelle who?

By the way Hillary Clinton would be on the show tomorrow.

Heads up.

by lori 2008-04-15 08:40PM | 0 recs
Re: First Lady

Will she be wearing her Annie Oakley outfit?

by venician 2008-04-15 08:57PM | 0 recs
Hillary was on it a few months ago..

it was pretty good..

by architek 2008-04-15 09:05PM | 0 recs
Does she have one of those pillbox hats?

.

by architek 2008-04-15 09:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Michelle who?

That is some quality snark right there.

Also, I did watch her, and she was a bit stiff.

And I'm an Obama supporter.  So no, despite the Colbert Bump, Hillary's still winning Pennsylvania.  Not to mention that she's going on Colbert in the next couple days.  

by bosdcla14 2008-04-16 12:11AM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

Thanks for a positive diary on Michelle Obama, happily recommended. If you find clips of her on the Colbert Show or any speeches she's been making in PA that you referenced, it would be great to have them in the diary.

And kudos for mentioning the truly bizarre liquor laws in PA!

by upstate girl 2008-04-15 08:36PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

Also I love this quote of yours in your article:

Perhaps we need to put the big St. Jackie "NO" on the national obsession with tell-alls and train wrecks. Perhaps all the dirt muddies the wonderful aspects people have that could teach us strategies for success in our own lives.

I couldn't agree more with you. Excellently put.

by upstate girl 2008-04-15 08:39PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

$8 and change for a 6-pack of Sam Adams.  Ugh.  And what's with being able to buy takeout beer from convenience stores and TGIFriday's, but not from an actual liquor store?  The Paki is just one of the many things I miss from Massachusetts.

by ProgressiveDL 2008-04-15 08:52PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

Anyone that compares Michelle Obama to Jackie Kennedy must be high on life.

by lori 2008-04-15 08:44PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

Have you never seen the show?

by haystax calhoun 2008-04-15 08:46PM | 0 recs
What did M.O. say on the show?

Did you actually watch the show? I'll tune in, it would be nice to see that woman smiling and happy.

by catfish1 2008-04-15 08:45PM | 0 recs
You're not very convincing

No doubt, soon you'll be another one of those amazing people  screennames who switch from Hillary to Obama, and get promoted to sainthood at the evil Orange site.

Am I right, or am I right?

I must say, you're really not very good at this compared to some others.

by SluggoJD 2008-04-15 08:49PM | 0 recs
The Obama caucus fake-out

They did this at the caucuses - pretended to be undecided, then switched to Obama.

Obama caucus fake-out moves to the web!

by catfish1 2008-04-15 08:53PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama caucus fake-out

you just made me lol!

by canadian gal 2008-04-15 08:57PM | 0 recs
re

If Michelle Obama is Jackie Kennedy, Hillary is Mother Teresa give me a break

by rossinatl 2008-04-15 08:51PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

I look forward to watching.

by smoothmedia 2008-04-15 08:53PM | 0 recs
Your statements are a little over the top...

She nailed the appearance but that won't change the underlying fundamentals of the state, maybe it was good for .5% of the vote, but certainly not the 10% that the difference is.

by Student Guy 2008-04-15 08:53PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

I really hate it when people compare Michelle and Barack Obama to Jackie and John F. Kennedy. I mean come on, JFK was killed when he was President, JFK actually did something for this world. Just because they were both inspirational politicians is not grounds for such a comparison. The same goes for people who say Clinton could be the next FDR.

by RJEvans 2008-04-15 08:57PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

It does seem a bit over the top to compare our candidates to those Presidents BEFORE they've won the office and have done anything.

by freedom78 2008-04-15 09:30PM | 0 recs
I'm still voting for Hillary and supporting her

But you gotta call a win a win. I'm a betting man whose never been down in the Atlantic City slots.

I love Hillary but Obama will win PA.

What ever happened to objectivity?

by BeThatBrighterDay 2008-04-15 08:57PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm still voting for Hillary and supporting he

What ever happened to objectivity?

- Whatever happened to sanity .

I don't know how many voters vote for a presidential candidate based on the appearance of his wife on a comedy show.

I would think the debate tonight would be more relevant , besides Hillary Clinton the candidate herself would be on that show and I bet you her appearance would be more important than Michelle Obama's.

Its a week to voting I don't think too many people would be thiinking of Colbert Report one week from now.

However I would save this diary so when the results comes out and you are wrong we can tar and feather in the market square.

This most be the most comical prediction I have seen in a while but if you are rigth you would be inducted into the hall of fame.

by lori 2008-04-15 09:04PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm still voting for Hillary and supporting he

It's more likely that you're just ratcheting up expectations for Obama and ratcheting them down for Hillary.

She needs to win by a LOT. 10 points is not going to do it.

by MNPundit 2008-04-15 09:59PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm still voting for Hillary and supporting he

actually she needs to win by exactly 1 vote.

by canadian gal 2008-04-16 05:25AM | 0 recs
Re: I'm still voting for Hillary and supporting he

At the convention sure. But haven't seen any evidence of that.

by MNPundit 2008-04-16 09:27AM | 0 recs
As a guy, I'm sensing snark

but I can sort of understand how a strong, independent, accomplished, female partner who is able to charmingly temper the mis-speaks of her husband while affirming his positions, and who (dare I say it) dresses well, could sway some of the female voters who see Hillary as the fortunate wife of a former President.  And in PA, surely some of that "stand by your man" mentality exists in the female voting population.

From what little I've seen of her, Michelle Obama ain't no Jackie Kennedy, but then this ain't 1960 either.

Nah, this is snark.

by MikeyB 2008-04-15 09:00PM | 0 recs
Anyone else here remember the Kennedy era?

I lived in Canada. On a trip into New York State I was amazed and appalled to see snarky and critical sleazy items for sale featuring the Kennedys that were similar to the Hillary nutcracker. The Kennedys weren't treated like saints then - they had the same type of hatred directed at them that the Clintons do now. Remember JFK was warned not to go to Dallas.

Now, of course, the legend is that it was Camelot and they were universally loved. One of the amazing things of growing older is watching history continually being rewritten.

by ellend818 2008-04-15 10:09PM | 0 recs
Kennedy won by a close margin...

But in a poll just after his death, 70% of the country claimed to have voted for him!

Abraham Lincoln saw a similar effect after his death...he went from being the jackass president who suspended habeus corpus and stationed armed Union troops outside of voting sites when he was up for reelection to intimidate voters (people voting for the opponent were given voting slips of a different color than those of Lincoln voters, making one's vote pretty public) to being a great hero and moral leader.

Rewritten, indeed.

by Elsinora 2008-04-15 10:51PM | 0 recs
Youtube clip from Michelle's appearance

http://youtube.com/watch?v=7AqmLH9z9Qw

by Obama Independent 2008-04-15 11:29PM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

Yea I cam just imagine Jackie coming out and saying she wouldn't vote for the democratic nominee if her husband lost the primary. Oh wait I only remember pictures of the nice little wifey standing behind her man (which by the way is how americans want to see their first lady-seen but not heard) And I can really see Jackie saying how she has never been proud of america until now. Yup that is prime first lady material there.

by Bornagaindem 2008-04-16 02:43AM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

Oh and you must have missed the nasty attack on the "family values" of the Clintons that Michelle made. Hmmm I seem to remember that Jackie had a wandering husband too. And I guess standing by your man is not a family value......

"Part of what we want to do as a family...is to model what it means to have family values in this country and we haven't seen that for a long time...one of the most important things that we need to know about the next President of the United States is, is he somebody that shares our values? Is he somebody that respects family? Is he a good and decent person? So our view was that, if you can't run your own house, you certainly can't run the White House."

by Bornagaindem 2008-04-16 02:50AM | 0 recs
I think she did well

but PA is not "won" for Obama, and doubtful he can "win" the state, but he has certainly closed the gap there in recent weeks.  

Most of my relatives in PA don't have cable, don't watch many of the TV news or comedy shows, and are voting on issues around the economy, and the war.  Some are voting for Hillary, some for Obama, and we even have 2 (ugh) Republicans in the family.  

by NeciVelez 2008-04-16 03:00AM | 0 recs
Re: How Michelle Obama Won Pennsylvania for Her Hu

I saw it and though she was charming and funny.  I think the only way it could help Obama, though, is with people who thought they didn't like her and therefore didn't want her as first lady. That would probably be an unconscious reason since no one would actually vote based on that. But then they see her being pleasant and first lady-like wearing a Jackie O dress and think maybe Obama is OK. It could help a little, probably not much.

by Becky G 2008-04-16 06:02AM | 0 recs

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