Your exactly right. I also believe that when Rove makes a  statement like that ,it's designed to instigate  ( perhaps) some people talking their foot off the gas a bit. If that piece  shit shook my hand I'd count my fingers.
Forget poles and  work the election just like you said.As if Obama is 10 points behind.Sound advice.

this morning.

That's the right way to think about it!

Rove's map is much less Obama-friendly than many maps out there - including MyDD's - which is a good thing.  

The last two elections, using both electoral chicanery and smear tactics, the GOP was able to capture the White House by capturing both Florida and Ohio. They could repeat slim victories in these two states with such tactics.  Despite favorable polls we also shouldn't be too optimistic that we'll be able to flip traditionally red states like VA, NC, IN.  

Rove's map does not give Obama any of those Bush states. Obama wins in Rove's map by taking Kerry's states plus flipping IA, NM, and CO, totalling 273.

IA and NM were Gore states, but CO is a tougher nut to crack.

Case in point: today's electoral-vote.com displays CO as red, even though it had been showing it blue for a good while.

So what happens if Obama is only able to flip IA and NM?

Obama 264, McCain 274.

Suppose Obama is only able to flip IA, NM, and NV?

Obama 269, McCain 269

When will I stop being nervous? When we're 10 points ahead in CO or NV.  (And PA!)

to not get cocky based on favorable polling ONE MONTH away from the election: just take a look at this map that electoral-vote.com displayed ONE DAY before the 2004 election.

That was the notice I received, too, when I donated on September 30 to get my yard sign, that it would come the latest on October 17.

That isn't what i could call him but you can have at it.

Alternate Theory: the Republicans don't want the executive branch in this climate of foreign policy and domestic economic disaster. Wait four years and they will be able to take it back, blaming the Democrats for screwing it all up.

It is just time out for the Republicans, their agenda to be continued in the future. Corporations will just maintain their control intact for this period, corporate medical care continues, the military industrial complex will grow, and the wealthy supporters will maintain their advantage by just moving their investments overseas.

Smart, smart, Karl.

Never, ever trust a Republican politician. He is as dangerous as the lying, erratic and indecisive John McCain.