I don't disagree with any of this, but I think the question is whether the demographics are regional or universal is more interesting. Financial advantages, momentum, early voting, etc are all important but if those are the only factors, then the race is kind of boring :)
You seem to mistake my call upon Obama as "hey, deny you are muslim." He has done that already, obviously. What i am asking is a bit more subtle. If it wasnt clear from my poorly worded diary, I take full responsibility - here's the original blog post I wrote which i think makes the distinction a bit more clear.
I am a fan of MM but unless they did a comprehensive survey of all media reporting, they cant prove anecdotally that there were quantitatively "more" attacks on one candidate or another. I dont dobt that there were attacks but only since teh Rezko trial started a few days ago, and the NAFTA issue, have they been very aggressive. Obama has not had the kind of media scrutiny on te national stage until now (though he has done very well in facing intense scrutiny from the Chicago media over Rezko et al. He was absolutely right that hes answered the questions before, but he needs to stop being petulant and answer them again. This is the national stage).
I agree that it was a tricky February, but if anything the general election will be worse, not easier. Obama is going to be under fire from th emuslim smear (see my diary), McCain himself, Nader on his left flank, and the entire VRWC apparatus. Plus he will be Gored and Gored hard on Rezko.
As my diaries attest I am pro-Obama on the merits, but i dont want him sailing to the nomination. We cant afford a candidate with a glass jaw.
well, I argue in my diary just posted that Obama needs to simply stand up and say "I'm not muslim, I never was... BUT it wouldn't matter one bit if I were." that last clause is the part that has been missing until now.