Why Does Hillary Do So Well w/Latinos? The Answer.

An La Times op-ed on why Hillary does so well the influential Latino vote. Clinton Latino ties are deep and nothing beats Henry Cisneros or LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa on the trail for you. more below...

<Why Clinton can count on Latinos</p>

More than a decade of name recognition and ties to prominent Latino politicians give her an edge over Obama.
By Harry P. Pachon and Rodolfo O. de la Garza
January 30, 2008
Hillary Clinton is doing extraordinarily well among Latino voters, compared with rivals Barack Obama and John Edwards. According to a Times/CNN/Politico poll Tuesday, she's running 2 to 1 ahead of Obama among California Latinos. In the Nevada caucuses, exit polls indicated that she received roughly two out of three Latino votes. Nationally, polls show only a slightly lower level of support. These findings are particularly significant because Latino voters in the general election are projected to total over 9 million, most concentrated in states rich in electoral college votes, such as California and New York, or in key "swing" states, such as New Mexico and New Jersey, in which past voting patterns show that it only takes a small percentage of the Latino vote to push a candidate's totals up or down.

Pundits are explaining the failure of Obama to ignite the allegiance of the majority of the Latino electorate to date in terms of anti-black prejudices. But there are better explanations.

First, and most obvious, is the name recognition that the Clintons enjoy in the Latino community. Bill Clinton was the first president to have two Latino Cabinet members serve simultaneously. Moreover, during the Clinton years, rising economic tides lifted Latino boats along with many others. Even at the height of the impeachment controversy, polls by the Tomás Rivera Policy Institute indicated that Clinton had a 70% approval rating among Latino voters. In contrast, Obama is a relatively new face and voice for all but Illinois Latinos.

Perhaps more significant, Hillary Clinton has done her homework by gaining early endorsements from Latino leaders who have demonstrated influence among their constituencies. Five of the seven Latino congressional representatives in California are on her side. In addition, nationally recognized politicians , such as L.A. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and Henry Cisneros, a former San Antonio mayor and U.S. housing secretary, have endorsed Clinton. California Assembly Speaker Fabian Nuñez and Raul Yzaguirre, ... are national co-chairmen of her campaign. Patti Solis Doyle, Clinton's campaign manager, is the first Latina to run a presidential campaign.

History is one reason why Clinton has such a strong stable of Latino supporters. Many of her endorsers, such as Cisneros, established or consolidated their political networks during President Clinton's two terms. When younger Latino politicians look at the Clinton campaign organization and ask "What Latinos are in your campaign?" they see well-known, influential faces at the top and at the state and local levels. In contrast, Obama's campaign has few such stars.

Second, and contrary to machismo stereotypes, Latinos have no problem voting for a woman for high public office. Los Angeles County Supervisor Gloria Molina and Reps. Lucille Roybal-Allard (D-East Los Angeles), Loretta Sanchez (D-Garden Grove), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.) and Nydia M. Velazquez (D-N.Y.) are just a few examples of many breakthrough "female firsts" for Latinos in politics.

In short, Clinton has a decade and a half of experience and ties to prominent Latinos in the regions where most Latinos live. Obama has just two years in national public office and a political base in the Midwest. In his home state of Illinois, Latino voters are about 5% of the electorate. Compare this to the Southwest or Northeast, where Latino voters make up about 18% and 8% respectively.

.....

For the majority of Latinos, however, it is the political calculus of long-established relationships combined with early outreach and the support of community influentials that are most likely to carry the day.

Harry P. Pachon is a professor at the School of Policy, Planning and Development at USC and president of the Tomás Rivera Policy Institute. Rodolfo O. de la Garza is a professor at the School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University and vice president for research at the institute.>

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/sund ay/commentary/la-oe-pachon30jan30,0,8695 78.story

Tags: 2008, Hillary, obama (all tags)

Comments

4 Comments

interesting article

interesting article.  thanks for sharing.  i do wonder how much this resonates with the younger latino population.  i've talked to some to try and explain why i support hrc, and their responses don't seem to resonate necessarily with the article.

on an aside, i hope one day folks will really care about the asian american vote.  granted, it's part of the population's responsibility as well, and granted, forward movement has been made.  but not enough.

by toonsterwu 2008-01-30 07:21PM | 0 recs
Re: interesting article

i do wonder how much this resonates with the younger latino population.  i've talked to some to try and explain why i support hrc, and their responses don't seem to resonate necessarily with the article.

I'm kind of curious what you mean by that. You mean they support Clinton for reasons different than what's articulated in this column, or they support Obama?

by Shawn 2008-01-30 08:43PM | 0 recs
Re: interesting article

sorry late at night, probably should've been clearer.  they support clinton, but it has little to do with the endorsements, history and so forth.  they are more focused on policies.

by toonsterwu 2008-01-30 09:48PM | 0 recs
Why Does Hillary Do So Well w/Latinos? The Answer.

Very important comment in understanding what is going on out West. As I see it, Latino voters have turned out to be more saavy and less prone to sentimentality than African-American voters, who have allowed the MSM and Obama's overly emotional appeals to get in the way of long term thinking. As another Latino poster at Salon.com rather strongly noted:

African-Americans are not the only minorities anymore. While they feel entitled to all kinds of privileges, brown minorities like Hispanics, Asians, etc., are very aware of the fact that we continue to be discriminated against, not only by the majority, but also by the African-Americans, and other favored-fringe groups. We now have one chance to level the playing field, and Hillary Clinton is the vehicle. We will not allow our shot to be taken away from us. Thus, if someone we found venerable, like Edward Kennedy, decides to betray us, we won't give in to sentiments, and make the powers that be, hear us loud and clear.----Sans Prejudice, at Salon.com Letters

What might also be taking place is an historic realignment of brown minorities replacing black minorities in the Democratic party as a key voting block. If it does happen, it will be a significant blow to the power of African-American voters in the Democratic party. Hillary Clinton's primary alligence will likely be to this new coalition of brown voters who put her over the top to win the nomination.

Astute black leadership like Maxine Waters, John Lewis, Stephanie Tubbs Jones and other African-American leadership who support Hillary probably see the fallout from Hillary winning the nomination in spite of  overwhelming African-American support going to Obama, thus their support of Hillary despite the emotional pull of Obama is very astute but too small to have an impact in shoring up declining African-American influence.

Latinos sense this is their moment of their ascendency, with final recognition of their status as the largest minority voting block in America. As much as the focus has been on Obama and African-Americans, Latinos are not going to let go of this opportunity to finally announce and cement their importance in the United States. Hillary Clinton is their vehicle and they are going to do everything to make this moment theirs and Hillary's.

by superetendar 2008-01-31 05:18AM | 0 recs

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