Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary [update: 1:00 PM, stay tuned]

1.    Two major endorsements:

http://rawstory.com/news/2007/Former_pre sidential_contender_Gephardt_to_endorse_ 0705.html

Dick Gephardt


Former House Majority Leader and 2004 presidential contender Dick Gephardt (D-MO) will endorse Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) this afternoon in her bid for the presidency, according a senior campaign aide. A spokesman for the campaign confirmed the claim to RAW STORY this morning.

http://www.wistv.com/Global/story.asp?S= 6747642
The Army's first three-star general: Glaudia Kennedy:


The Army's first woman to become a three-star general says she is backing Hillary Rodham Clinton for president because Clinton will do the most to help veterans.

Lieutenant General Claudia Kennedy retired from the Army in 2000 and moved to Hilton Head Island. She is one of several dozen retired military service members advising Clinton.

2. Field reports from Iowa

A Time article: "The Hillary and Bill show"...
http://www.time.com/time/politics/articl e/0,8599,1640108,00.html


All year, Bill Clinton has served as chief fund raiser and private political cheerleader for his wife. But his spousal contributions in Iowa have been especially distinctive. He has helped draw bigger crowds so that the vital precaucus task of amassing names, phone numbers and e-mail addresses (required of all those who attend) produced a bumper crop. At public events and private meetings, Bill Clinton played biographer in chief, talking not about himself or his presidency (well, he might have slipped in a few stories and favorite statistics) but about his wife's career. And at joint meetings with local Democratic activists, aides say, Hillary Clinton took the lead, answering most of the questions.

Iowa is in some ways the most important state for Hillary Clinton's nomination campaign and the one in which she is weakest. (She trails John Edwards in most Iowa polls.) It is for that reason a good place to test her new campaign slogan--"Ready for change! Ready to lead!"--which highlights both her greatest strength as a contender for the job and the most frequent knock on her campaign.

...
But Bill Clinton knows all about how to be a "candidate of change"; it's what won him the White House in 1992 after he stole the title from Ross Perot, the hot reform candidate of the cycle. Clinton took advantage of the country's desire to turn the page on the Bush era. That pattern might be repeated. Perhaps just as Bush 41's failed Administration begat Clinton 42, Bush 43's war in Iraq and unpopular stewardship could pave the way for Clinton 44.

Moreover, Clinton partisans argue, to make change happen, a President must be ready for the job. Clinton strategists are aware that many voters associate the charismatic and youthful Obama with the ideal of change, but they are betting that voters see Hillary Clinton as the only candidate capable of implementing change.

...
Asked how someone named Clinton who serves in the Senate could be considered the best change candidate, the former President had a ready answer. "[Voters] don't want to change from what we did," he said. "They want to change from what was undone about where we were going ... Basically, every election is a change election. All elections are about tomorrow, not yesterday. Yesterday is only relevant as it gives evidence about tomorrow."
...

A local newspaper's report on Bill and Hillary's rally...
http://www.wcfcourier.com/articles/2007/ 07/05/news/top_story/doc468cb3c98ab50152 432249.txt


"They know how to campaign," said Steve Rondorf of Waterloo. "They know how to do a good show."

Margaret and Garold Zander of Denver live in a house somewhat divided: She is a fan of Hillary Clinton; he is less certain. In fact at the moment, Garold is leaning toward one of Hillary Clinton's opponents, John Edwards.

Polls focusing on the Hawkeye State indicate Iowa Democrats' will likely choose either Clinton; Edwards, a former senator from North Carolina; or Barack Obama, senator from Illinois. Multiple national polls, however, show Clinton with a comfortable lead over the closest challenger, Obama.

Margaret Zander viewed Wednesday's rally as an event and as an opportunity, jotting notes on a white legal pad.

"It's kind of a once-in-a-lifetime chance, and I'm getting information," she said.Garold Zander would, however, heartily endorse an Edwards-Clinton ticket --- if in the right order.
"Edwards first," he said.

Margaret Zander predicts success for Hillary Clinton in particular and for Democrats in general in 2008.

"People are ready for a change, big time," she said. "If they can find a way to work together, that will make the party pretty powerful."

Steve Rondorf and his wife, Donna, fell into the just-interested category, at least before the speeches began. Steve Rondorf supports Edwards.

" ... We're not on the Hillary Express, not at this time," he said, "but it's good to hear what she has to say."

Dan Cutsforth of Fairbank attended with his wife, Lynda; sister, Lisa Crow; and nephew, Scott Ebert. He wanted to hear Hillary Clinton speak and is a fan.

"I think I've pretty much decided," he said.

But Cutsforth had a hard time concealing his enthusiasm at seeing Bill Clinton. He and his group showed up about two hours early and were among the first allowed into the viewing area. In the end, Cutsforth collected autographs from both Clintons.

Joan Lawson of Waterloo is also optimistic about Hillary Clinton.

"She has a pretty good chance because she has Bill to support her," Lawson said.

Past problems in the Clintons' marriage illustrate more than damage Hillary Clinton's image, Lawson said.

"Everybody has issues in their family life. She stood by him, which shows what kind of person she is morally," Lawson said.

....
Bob Molinaro helped make the Bill and Hillary show a success but couldn't endorse much of what he heard from the parade of Democrats.

"I'm a Republican," Molinaro said.

But he is also chairman of a ad hoc committee that supports the National Cattle Congress, and the campaign appearance was a good opportunity to showcase the grounds and the city of Waterloo.

"He was president. I respect the office, and she's a U.S. senator. We have to respect that," he said.

"We can disagree. We don't have to be disagreeable."

Politics aside, Molinaro thought Bill and Hillary Clinton delivered.

"She's a talented speaker. And let's admit it, he's a charismatic guy. You can't help but like the rascal," Molinaro said.

...
Renee Wilkie of Cedar Falls wanted to make that assessment in person.

"I just came to check her out --- them out," Wilkie said.

After the speeches, Wilkie was convinced her impression of Hillary Clinton was correct.

"I was a fan, but now I'm a bigger fan now," she said.

3. Quinnipiac NJ poll:

No surprise in democratic primary: Hillary 37%, Gore 18%, Obama 15%, Edwards 6%.

The most interesting thing is the head-to-head match-up. Hillary is further improving her #s. It seems to confirm Obama's weakness in general election, especially when running against Rudy.


New York Sen. Hillary Clinton has gained some ground on former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani in a 2008 presidential matchup in New Jersey and now trails the Republican front-runner 47 - 44 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 49 - 40 percent Giuliani lead April 19.

* Clinton tops Arizona Sen. John McCain 47 - 41 percent;

  • Clinton beats former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 50 - 37 percent;
  • Giuliani beats Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 48 - 40 percent;
  • Giuliani tops former Vice President Al Gore 47 - 44 percent;
  • Obama tops McCain 44 - 40 percent;
  • Obama beats Thompson 49 - 32 percent

"Sen. Hillary Clinton is growing stronger in New Jersey, and now trails former Mayor Rudolph Giuliani by just three percent in a head to head matchup, compared with nine points in the last poll. And if Mayor Michael Bloomberg runs as an independent, he takes more votes from Giuliani, making the three-way race too close to call," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Edwards does not seem so `likeable' as his supporters seem to suggest...

Favorability:


Hillary 50: 42
Bloomberg: 50:20
McCain: 46:30
Gore: 55:35
Obama: 49:21
Edwards: 39:30

It's interesting that Al Gore's favorability is very high, but he does not fare much better than Hillary in all head-to-head matchups.

http://blogs.columbiatribune.com/politics/2007/07/gephardt_hearts_hillary.html
Former Missouri U.S. Rep. Richard Gephardt will endorse Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., for president at 1 p.m. today. Gephardt - the former Democratic leader of the United States House - was last seen on the political landscape about three years ago when he made his second run for president. He bowed out after an unsuccessful showing in the Iowa primary. More later.

Tags: Hillary Clinton (all tags)

Comments

59 Comments

Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Gephardt's endorsement comes very early and is indeed big news, as Gephardt is a prominent politician and pretty much known as a major union guy.   This endorsement (and Gephardt's explanation of it later on today) is probably worth discussing further in-depth in another diary later today because of the crucial role union voters play in Democratic nominations.   If Edwards flounders, will the union voters go to Clinton over Obama?  I think that is probably what we are seeing already.

BTW, great job of combining several Clinton-related items into one meta-diary.  Rec'd.

by georgep 2007-07-05 06:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Gephardt was The Union Guy in 2004. He flopped spectacularly. He's been an invisible lobbyist since then.

It won't matter for Missouri, either. Obama has got Missouri sewn up.

by jforshaw 2007-07-05 06:42AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

"It won't matter for Missouri, either. Obama has got Missouri sewn up."

Nice.  Nobody sent me that memo.  Are you just talking nonsense or do you have evidence to back up your claim that "Obama has Missouri sewn up"?  

by georgep 2007-07-05 06:46AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Gephardt has been out of the light.  And if she needs that endorsement for union image, it is weak.  Get a union house to endorse her.  A major one at that.

by icebergslim 2007-07-05 07:16AM | 0 recs
Right

Gephardt himself said:

I'm a has-been politician...I don't know if I can bring any more than my own vote.

by horizonr 2007-07-05 04:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Seriously, does anyone besides pundits/reporters care who Gephardt endorses?  And how will HRC explain away Mark Penn?  Don't you think unions will not be happy about him?

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 08:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

A Gephardt endorsement doesn't sound too exciting to me.  It may play well with older voters but the folks craving change, and looking beyond yesterday won't be impressed by this endorsement.

by aiko 2007-07-05 07:07AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

It will play well with union voters and generally with rank-and-file Democrats.  Last time I checked we make up the biggest part of the party.  

And, given the fact that "older voters" are the most reliable primary/caucus voting bloc, the ones out there, come rain or shine, relibably, voting in primaries and caucuses to the tune of 50% to 60% participation, if this plays well with older voters, as you put it, that would then be indeed major, as older voters are the most important demographic for primaries/caucuses of them all.  

by georgep 2007-07-05 07:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

* relibably=reliably

by georgep 2007-07-05 07:20AM | 0 recs
You know Obama's numbers in New Jersey

against Guiliani is horrible and Edwards as well.Nj is supposed to be a blue state.I have a feeling if clinton is not on the ticket and it's Guiliani thats the nominee ,Obama and Edwards will have a tougher than usual fight in Nj and Ny.And if we loose any of those its hard to see how we win the election.AP is reporting the Gerpahart  endorsement.

by bebe 2007-07-05 08:00AM | 0 recs
Re: You know Obama's numbers in New Jersey

Absolutely agree with you, bebe.  The major union states are giving Clinton more support than she is getting in general in other states (i.e. Michigan, NJ, Nevada, etc.)    If it comes down to Obama and Clinton, it is quite clear who the union voters get behind.  

by georgep 2007-07-05 08:04AM | 0 recs
Re: You know Obama's numbers in New Jersey

You know that Michigan and Nevada are both pretty well-unionized, right?  Or were you just making something up to help the spin?

by Peter from WI 2007-07-05 09:13AM | 0 recs
Re: You know Obama's numbers in New Jersey

I think that's what George meant.  (He just put the parentheses in a confusing place in the sentence).

by markjay 2007-07-05 11:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

And that Vilsack endorsement really helped HRC.  Please.  No one cares about Gephardt.  He is old news.

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 08:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Sure it did.  Vilsack is doing a lot of work for Clinton in Iowa, and it is paying off.  

by georgep 2007-07-05 08:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Of course it helps. He's an experienced hand who's steering Clinton's operations in Iowa. I would say his endorsement perhaps was more valuable than Dick's. Gephardt's endorsement is more a symbolic gesture.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 08:09AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary

Endorsement alone obviously means very little in elections. But it's still nice to have an endorsement.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 07:27AM | 0 recs
Keep on Rockin'

Hillary is 44!

by sterkt 2007-07-05 06:38AM | 0 recs
Edwards' hair

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2007/07/04/AR2007070401258. html?nav=rss_nation
Splitting Hairs, Edwards's Stylist Tells His Side of Story

Washingtonpost has an extremely long article detailing Edwards' hair story. Since I don't feel Edwards is threatening Hillary at the moment, I'll probably skip this article. If anyone is interested, please write a diary, it's very fun to read. LOL.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 06:47AM | 0 recs
So if Edwards was threating Hillary

you would instantly write a hit piece on him? How come I am not surprised... you have been banned three times already and everything you write is either copied from Hillary press releases or hit pieces on Edwards and Obama. No worthwhile contributions at all. I cannot believe that sane Hillary fans like georgep is defending you. You are the best case against supporting Hillary that I have seen for a long time.

See you when you are on your fifth alias.

by Populism2008 2007-07-05 06:56AM | 0 recs
Re: So if Edwards was threating Hillary

I certainly did not copy and past any hit pieces from right wing nuts' newspapers and/or freerepublic as our 'hope' candidate's most ardent supporters like to enjoy.

This is a Washington Post story, like it or not, it's newsworthy.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 07:04AM | 0 recs
Re: So if Edwards was threating Hillary

There are many, many posters on here who are (IMO) laughable and not a credit to either Obama or Edwards.  But, I don't hold that against either candidate, those are just posters on a blog.   I don't see them being given the short shrift here, instead they "enjoy" a following and have cheesy, short right-wing-frames using hit-diaries recommended.   That reveals a double-standard in how some of you process posters that I simply disagree with.  

by georgep 2007-07-05 07:10AM | 0 recs
Rather wait for the story on Bill's penis...

but thanks.

by cosbo 2007-07-05 07:00AM | 0 recs
Re: Rather wait for the story on Bill's penis...

lol, bill might get a heart attack from this comment. lol

by pmb 2007-07-05 07:07AM | 0 recs
Re: Rather wait for the story on Bill's penis...

If someone wants to write, I have no objection. Free speech.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 07:10AM | 0 recs
Obama and the general election

Obama has basically the same numbers against GOP opponents and that is with considerably lower name recognition.

It's more interesting to look at the fav/unfav stats:

Hillary +8 (very flattering for her, the best I have seen so far)

Obama +28 (in line with other polls)

by Populism2008 2007-07-05 06:50AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama and the general election

This is extremely misleading. For Obama, a guy pumped by media, can't even poll over 50% in favorable ratings, that's a very disappointing sign by any standard.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 06:54AM | 0 recs
Eh?

He has +28 in ratings. You cannot spin that away. With more name recognition his positives (and his negatives) will go up. What matters is that he beats the crap out of Hillary in fav/unfav ratios and will continue to do so.

by Populism2008 2007-07-05 06:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Eh?

Gee. You've been spinning like this for ages. How long will we see his favorable ratings breaking 50s?

You can't claim having such a broad base of supporters, at the same time, saying he's an 'unknown'.

Spin whatever you want. LOL.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 07:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Eh?

With more name recognition his positives (and his negatives) will go up. What matters is that he beats the crap out of Hillary in fav/unfav ratios and will continue to do so.

That's not usually the way it works for someone as visible as Obama. The more a candidate is exposed, the more the unfavorables go up.

Unfavorables are almost exclusively driven by the opposite political party. That's why Democratic icons like Gore and Clinton have such high unfavorables -- they are off the charts with Republicans. Candidates who are still relative nobodies to Republicans have lower unfavorables.

by hwc 2007-07-05 07:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

I bet that Clinton gets the endorsement of every major union that endorses in the primaries.

by hwc 2007-07-05 07:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

Why would they?  Why would they endorse someone who is in favor of shipping out more jobs?  Or someone who hires Mark Penn.  They'll be slitting their own throats.

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 08:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

The unions will endorse Hillary Clinton because the the Clintons have spent the last twenty years courting their support, building relationships, and championing union issues.

Plus, they want to endorse winners.

by hwc 2007-07-05 08:12AM | 0 recs
They must like being stabbed

in the back. Over & over. If the unions endorse Clinton, it's like killing themselves. It'd be hard to feel any sympathy for them then. Or support any of their causes.

by cosbo 2007-07-05 08:49AM | 0 recs
Re: They must like being stabbed

"Them" are part of what makes up a lot of building blocks to building a winning constituency.  

by georgep 2007-07-05 08:56AM | 0 recs
Right...until the election is over...

then Hillary goes back to her union busting buds. It's kinda like what Bush did with his pro-life buds in the christian religious sects of promising to outlaw all abortions forever & forever.

What do they call this tactic again...something like...bait & switch?

by cosbo 2007-07-05 09:42AM | 0 recs
Re: Right...until the election is over...

The truth is really that Clinton is popular with union people because she has been good for them and to them over the years.   You know, results count more than rhetoric.

by georgep 2007-07-05 01:10PM | 0 recs
them?

This sort of elitist attitude is killing Obama. Union = them, low income voters = low information voters...

by areyouready 2007-07-05 08:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

NAFTA?  Mark Penn?  You think unions haven't been paying attention?

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 09:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

I bet you're right, but since you don't know how labor works, you missed something.

If there are ANY national union endorsements, I bet HRC will get them.  But more likely, since a candidate must get 60% of the vote for endorsement, few if any national unions will endorse, but they'll leave it up to their locals.

On the local level, where rank and file members have more strenght, and less tied to national leaders that want in with the Clintons or a perceived winner - where ideology and politics and policy matter more - it is much, much more likely that locals and labor councils will back a candidate other than HRC, and my money is still on John Edwards

by Peter from WI 2007-07-05 09:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

it is much, much more likely that locals and labor councils will back a candidate other than HRC, and my money is still on John Edwards

Has Edwards received any local union endorsements? I know it is early, but Clinton already claims two local endorsements: UFCW 1500 and IUOE 324. Granted, it is a New York local of the UFCW, but it has 22,000 members. The IUOE local has 13,000 in Michigan.

Plus, the New York State AFL-CIO named her a "favorite sister" before Clinton spoke to the national AFL-CIO meeting in Detroit.

by domma 2007-07-05 09:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

I agree here.

by icebergslim 2007-07-05 07:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary and

except if Obama gets the scoop, all of you will hail Mary. LOL.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 07:26AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt

Great news!  She will get more and more endorsements and they do have an influence on people, even if it is only in a subtle way.

by reasonwarrior 2007-07-05 07:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt to endorse Hillary [update: 1:00

Stay tuned?  To quote a Bill Clinton line from another diary which his wife apparently doesn't understand although it comes from a book she gave to him: insanity is just doing the same old thing over and over again and expecting a different result.

by DD2 2007-07-05 07:58AM | 0 recs
Old news

We found out he was advising her months ago.

Dick Gephardt is a coal lobbyist. He works for Peabody Energy a huge union buster.

http://www.mydd.com/story/2007/5/29/1318 29/235

Stoller has more on it there. That's just why this is a BAD endorsement.

by Populista 2007-07-05 07:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Old news

If Gore were to endorse someone ... it would be a lot bigger news than Gephardt.

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 08:07AM | 0 recs
Before someone pulls out the usual canard:

Gore's endorsement gave Dean strong boosts in polls:


National:

Iowa:

In NH, Dean held ground despite an onslaught of attacks on him throughout December 2003.

Yes, Gore's endorsement will have a strong impact 5-10 points would be a lower end estimate (wink, wink: that's why supporters of other candidates should be real nice to Gore :) He deserves the respect and regard, anyhow.)

However, I hope to see Gore run himself. As we have seen in a recent NH poll, Gore could have tons of latent capacity to win the nomination, as his poll numbers are expected to be stronger than the 15-18% we see in these primary polls once he announces.

by NuevoLiberal 2007-07-05 09:00AM | 0 recs
Oh man, one old timer endorsing another?

slow news day?

by cosbo 2007-07-05 08:50AM | 0 recs
well, dear,

Had Geppy endorsed Edwards, would you have yawned the same way? I bet otherwise.

Just sayin' :)

by NuevoLiberal 2007-07-05 09:02AM | 0 recs
Re: well, dear,

Don't forget, it was Gephardt's campaign in 2004 that put out the Dean/Bin Laden ad.

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 09:21AM | 0 recs
Re: well, dear,

And that ads man is currently working for Obama. LOL.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 09:25AM | 0 recs
Re: well, dear,

From what I have seen they were shocked at the result of the ad campaign Robert Gibbs came up with, stated that they never endorsed that type of stuff.   That one was on Gibbs' own "creativity," and we have seen by Obama's repeated apologies for the guy's "transgressions" that he is still a loose cannon in need of close control.

by georgep 2007-07-05 01:06PM | 0 recs
Re: well, dear,

Give me a break.  Are you telling me that Gephardt never saw the ad before it was aired?  And if Gephardt didn't see it, I think that's equally indicting.

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-07-05 04:19PM | 0 recs
Yah...I would have.

For someone like me, Edwards most impressive endorsements are the people who have studied his policies, agreed with them, and is actively supporting him.

When politicians endorse other politicians, there's usually something in it for them, which usually screws the people over in some form or fashion.

by cosbo 2007-07-05 09:36AM | 0 recs
Hillary is the establishment candidate

I think all these endorsments are not as good for her as they appear it opens the door wide for Obama's second act as Bill Clinton alluded too they are yeaterday's news, I think in a way it plays into Obama's hands, not need to bash the Clinton's but it's time to move on.

by nevadadem 2007-07-05 09:19AM | 0 recs
Dick Gephardt is a tool

Dick Gephardt and the other leaders of the Democratic Party in Congress from the 1990s are the same old tired Vichy Democrats that got our country into its current mess - only to be outdone by the Clinton White House and the DLC.

To further drive a narrative of Hillary as the candidate of the FAILED establishment of days past is fine by me.  

by Peter from WI 2007-07-05 09:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Dick Gephardt is a tool

Another sour grape from supposedly union guy -Edwards' supporter.

by areyouready 2007-07-05 09:26AM | 0 recs
Gephardt's endorsement

This will hurt especially the Edwards camp. Gephardt is a neighbor to Iowa, and he did good in Iowa until the final weeks of the primary last time. I think endorsements of Gephardt's calibar especially in Iowa will be a major blow to the Edwards camp.

by olawakandi 2007-07-06 02:39AM | 0 recs

Diaries

Advertise Blogads


----------- myDD - skin -----------