• comment on a post Blue Nation over 8 years ago

    There are two things that continue to make me sick to my stomach about all this. They are that while we are rejoicing in the appropriately low poll ratings for the Abomination, and appropriately high ratings for the generic Dem, we are neglecting two very important points: 1. the Abomination is not running, and 2. polls still show that when asked if they would vote to reelect their Congressman or Senators the majority say yes. Since the majority of incumbent Congressman and Senators are Republicans, the people are actually stating that they want Republicans to maintain control. (I will now vomit).

  • comment on a post Where was Jack Abramoff? over 8 years ago
    Correction:
    You state that "...most politicians potentially affected by the probe into Abramoff's shady lobbying activities are Republican..." This is incorrect! Not one, not a single solitary Democrat received money from Abramoff. Therefore, ALL were Republican. If the RNC spinsters have been able to confuse even you  then we have a great deal to worry about in terms of bringing this topic up. We should at least start by getting it accurate here.
  • comment on a post DeLay is Done over 8 years ago
    this may not be a good thing. the more easily recognizable and nasty the faces, the momentum can be built to change the congress as a whole in November. Moving him to behind the scenes and putting a 'nice face' up front is the game they have played all along and it works well.
  • on a comment on Taking the Wind Out over 8 years ago
    Salon:
    "The Democrats' disarray, the Republicans' delight" article at:
    http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/
  • on a comment on Taking the Wind Out over 8 years ago
    Furthermore, the CNN poll shows he has already fooled 49% with just his speach!
  • on a comment on Taking the Wind Out over 8 years ago
    Well, for 5 years they have gotten away with lying verbally and making token gestures that they play up as the real thing. In addition, I think they are quite prepared to just leave and let Iraq implode.
  • It seems reasonable for me to respond to the many comments made about by diary on “Simple”. First, I am a biostatistician and epidemiologist and I base my comments about the lack of significance on the fact that the polls are within the margin of error. That means the change they you see is more likely not than likely to be real. Second, the confidence intervals found in some of  the electoral web site postings include zero (including the one you note here). This means that the finding of any changes is not likely to be real. I have been in e-mail contact with many of them and they do not disagree with this. Secondly, my concern about IA and WI comes from an observation of the social trends in those states. WI has a liberal history (especially compared to other mid-western states) that has been fading in the past few cycles (note Gore’s margin). I have no idea what a troll is, but do believe all here are entitled to respect.
  • It seems reasonable for me to respond to the many comments made about by diary on “Simple”. First, I am a biostatistician and epidemiologist and I base my comments about the lack of significance on the fact that the polls are within the margin of error. That means the change they you see is more likely not than likely to be real. Second, the confidence intervals found in some of  the electoral web site postings include zero. This means that the finding of any changes is not likely to be real. I have been in e-mail contact with many of them and they do not disagree with this. Secondly, my concern about IA and WI comes from an observation of the social trends in those states. WI has a liberal history (especially compared to other mid-western states) that has been fading in the past few cycles (note Gore’s margin). I have no idea what a troll is, but do believe all here are entitled to respect.
  • It seems reasonable for me to respond to the many comments made about by diary on “Simple”. First, I am a biostatistician and epidemiologist and I base my comments about the lack of significance on the fact that the polls are with in the margin of error. That means the change they you see is more likely not than likely to be real. Second, the confidence intervals found in is some of  the electoral web site postings include zero. This means that the finding of any changes is not likely to be real. I have been in e-mail contact with many of them and they do not disagree with this. Secondly, my concern about IA and WI is comes from an observation the social trends in those states. WI has a liberal history (especially compared to other mid-western states), that has been fading in the past few cycles (note Gore’s margin). I have no idea what a troll is, but do believe all here are entitled to respect.
  • Election Protection is going to be in Jacksonville this time.
  • comment on a post Tracking Poll Thread over 9 years ago
    The important bit about the Zogby poll was that the total number of undecideds is now less than the number needed for Kerry to win (even assuming a 2:1 split). He will have to win this on his own which may be likely if the other important bit in the poll is true, that they are now at exactly the same % as in 2000 at this point (and Gore won).
  • Do you think they learned anything from that, and have made changes this time?
  • The RNC has registered 3 million new voters and has changed their GOTV effort to be more like ours.
  • comment on a post Record Turnout over 9 years ago
    Do the calculations here take into account the 10% of Democrats who say they will vote for Bush? That is, any thoughts of a Democrat victory based on more Democrats showing up has to take into account the 10%.
  • Actually that is what I meant. Although, a few have said they will not endorse either.

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