Eventually, Obama will take his best shot: withdraw
by 1950democrat, Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 11:45:05 AM EDT
November 08 is not a caucus. Everyone can vote. Those who can't get to a polling place can vote absentee. Obama's red states will go red, his "Dems for a Day" will go back to their real preferences. Even if some of them were sincere, Inds and GOP won't like the Wright tapes they will be hearing for months on their car radios.
Not everyone in the DNC or the SDs has drunk the koolaid, and even some who are rigging things now for Obama (Pelosi etc) may still have a little survival instinct about November and pull back to sanity eventually.
Soon it's going to become obvious to the insiders (including Obama) that Obama CAN'T BEAT MCCAIN. Then there may be some little core of SDs and DNC palace intriguers who would for some reason rather lose in Nov than switch to Hillary, but I can't imagine that being very many. (How many netkooks and Nader types are actually Superdelegates?) Remember, the official SD vote doesn't happen till August.
Dems who lose in November tend to be DESTROYED: McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry.... (The exception is Gore, who WON in Nov 2000.) How many bigwigs will really want to go down with Obama, when they realize he's really sinking?
Obama losing to GOP in November 08 means Obama destroyed. Obama gracefully withdrawing now means Obama in a very good position for next time (and hopefully Wright forgotten, happy in a closet full of blue dresses). Whatever he says in public, I hope Obama is smart enough to realize that, eventually, and withdraw before it's too late.