Trump vs Clinton
Looks like a done deal. Here's a national poll:
Trump nearing 50% on the GOP side, pulling in large amounts of Independents and working class, former Democrats.
Clinton still with a 10% lead over Sanders at 39% nationally, with strong leads among black and latino voters.
Next Saturday is crowded. There is a Republican caucus in Washington state. Cruz will win there. Trump may not even finish in second place. It will be overshadowed by the South Carolina primary, which Trump will win. A week out I'll predict:
Then the Nevada caucus is also held on Saturday. Sanders must win. But I predict Clinton will win, as the casino union workers will side with Clinton strongly.
This is followed by another closed Republican caucus, in Nevada. Cruz should win this, but I've a feeling that Trump will instead win, with a plurality.
And then comes the Democratic SC primary, two weeks away. Clinton will win 54-46, tighter than expected.
Then it's on to March 1st, when I expect that Clinton vs Trump becomes solidified.