By: Jordan Wells and Kevin Hrit - (Disclosure: Jordan worked as Nancy Skinner's Online Outreach Organizer in 2006. Kevin worked as Nancy Skinner's Field Director in 2006, and crunched numbers for Practical Political Consulting in Lansing.)

Michigan's 9th Congressional District will be one of the top targeted races for 2008. The DCCC has already aired ads exposing Knollenberg's awful record on veterans. Knollenberg is under fire from citizen action groups, and has been constantly bashed in letters to the editor throughout the district. Knollenberg is beatable. He narrowly won the '06 election with 51% of the vote, and has 15% less money now than he did this time that cycle.

It appears the 9th District has undergone a sudden blue trend. However the Democratic base in the district has been growing steadily for the last eight years. Despite the growing Democratic base, Joe Knollenberg continues to cruise to electoral success versus weak challengers.

Jump below the fold for an extremely detailed analysis of the numbers from the 9th District.

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Here it is as promised: Nancy Skinner's ad with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., as announced first during a Daily Kos liveblog.

Nancy's campaign is focused on global warming and the environment, a gutsy issue for a candidate in the heart of the auto industry. Nancy has a history of using market-based mechanisms to fight global warming, such as her work with the Chicago Climate Exchange. She wants to continue that with her plan for the "Next Great American Journey" - which I blogged about earlier this cycle.

Watch the Ad on Nancy's Website!

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Our opponent, Republican Joe Knollenberg, has smeared us with an attack page on his website he calls "The Skinner Files". Are you surprised at all that this page is filled with lies and exaggerations?

On Tuesday Nancy will be doing a liveblog to counter these attacks. Stop by to ask questions. Feel free to play devils advocate and see how Nancy responds to Knollenberg's outrageous claims. Nancy is an effective communicator, who has debated Sean Hannity and Ann Coulter on their own turf. No wonder Joe Knollenberg won't debate her!

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I got this email today from Paul Hackett.

We have been taken down the wrong path in Washington and it doesn't have to be that way.  President Bush and Joe Knollenberg have jeopardized not only the lives of the brave men and women with whom I served, but also our nation's global credibility.  You can change all of that, though, and give us a fighting chance once again by helping my friend, Nancy Skinner.

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Crossposted from DailyKos

Joe Knollenberg (R): 44%
Nancy Skinner (D): 40%
Margin of Error 4.9%

Great news for Democrats everywhere: Joe Knollenberg is in trouble. Knollenberg has amassed an impressive war chest, in part due to over $50,000 in contributions from the oil industry. But a new poll shows MI-09 is now a toss up! Knollenberg is no longer safe, and can't dish contributions out to GOP buddies across the nation. He can no longer take the voters of Oakland County for granted.

Nancy Skinner is one step closer to bringing New Energy to Congress.

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