Blue Dog John Barrow Suddenly Appears Vulnerable

Meet John Barrow.

He's a member of the Blue Dog Coalition.

And he represents the 12th congressional district of Georgia, a congressional district won by President Obama in both the primary and the general election.

Congressman Barrow was among the 34 Democrats who voted against the health care bill [SOURCE:  Roll Call 165].  That vote earned Barrow the ire of Democrats within his district.  Several Democratic lawmakers have either withdrawn their support from Barrow or endorsed his primary opponent, former state Senator Regina Thomas [Peterson, Larry (2010-3-24).  Black backlash against health care vote looms over Barrow's re-election prospectsSavannah Morning News.  Retrieved on 2010-3-27.].

Tony Center, the local Democratic county chair, says Barrow is in some real trouble. 

"I think it has brought his whole voting record to the forefront," Center said.

Center said he's "very disappointed" and that the [Chatham County Democratic] committee repeatedly called on Barrow to back the bill.

CQ Politics reports there are rumblings of a bigger name challenging Barrow in the July primary.

There's more...

Blue Dog Supplemental Saboteur List, Updated

Once again, here's the list of the Blue Dogs (plus Sestak) who are against the supplemental because of the conditions it imposes. I removed Kirsten Gillibrand, because she signaled she'd vote for the bill after internal deliberations and public pressure from her supporters.

Here's the list, with three new members (Lincoln Davis (TN-04), Joe Donnelly (IN-02), and Bob Ethridge (NC-02)). Lots of Indiana reps on the list, which is nice because it's Evan Bayh whose wavering in the Senate (along with the Nelsons, of course).

Michael Arcuri (NY-24)
John Barrow (GA-12)
Melissa Bean (IL-08)
Dan Boren (OK-02)
Jim Cooper (TN-05)
Bud Cramer (AL-02)
Lincoln Davis (TN-04)
Joe Donnelly (IN-02)
Brad Ellsworth (IN-08)
Bob Ethridge (NC-02)
Kirsten Gillibrand (NY-20) ???
Baron Hill (IN-09)
Tim Mahoney (FL-16)
Jim Marshall (GA-08)
Mike McIntyre (NC-07)
Collin Peterson (MN-07)
John Salazar (CO-03)
Joe Sestak (PA-07)
Heath Shuler (NC-11)
Gene Taylor (MS-04)

Today's big win in the Appropriations Committee is good for momentum. Win or lose, Pelosi is an amazing Speaker.

List of Blue Dog Saboteurs

From a source close to the House Democratic caucus, here's a list of Blue Dogs that don't want to vote for this bill because it has a certain date for withdrawal.  

Michael Arcuri (NY-24)
John Barrow (GA-12)
Melissa Bean (IL-08)
Dan Boren (OK-02)
Jim Cooper (TN-05)
Bud Cramer (AL-02)
Brad Ellsworth (IN-08)
Kirsten Gillibrand (NY-20)
Baron Hill (IN-09)
Tim Mahoney (FL-16)
Jim Marshall (GA-08)
Mike McIntyre (NC-07)
Collin Peterson (MN-07)
John Salazar (CO-03)
Joe Sestak (PA-07)
Heath Shuler (NC-11)
Gene Taylor (MS-04)

It's sad to see some freshmen we supported on the list.  Joe Sestak, Kirsten Gillibrand and Michael Arcuri had some online support from the progressive netroots.  Tim Mahoney, Heath Shuler, Brad Ellsworth, and Baron Hill were mostly to nearly all Rahm recruits.

These people are the Democrats that held Pelosi and the progressive hostage on the language for a firm withdrawal.  They are keeping the war going.  They need to be brought over.

UPDATE: Sestak isn't a Blue Dog, and I'm told that Kirsten Gillibrand just wants to see the bill first. Mmmkay. Color me skeptical. A simple public statement would do wonders.

UPDATE AGAIN: Kirsten Gillibrand has publicly stated she will vote for the supplemental.

There's more...

Georgia Congressional Filings

Not seeing an exisiting diary, I decided to create one.  Candidate filings for Congress, among other races, started April 24 and will end on April 28.  According to the Georgia Secretary of State's website, Democrats have officially filed in seven of the thirteen districts.  

Incumbent Democrats Sanford Bishop (2nd District), Cynthia McKinney (4th District), John Lewis (5th District), John Barrow (12th District), and David Scott (13th District) have already filed.  Democrats have found challengers in Reverend Jim Nelson (1st District against Jack Kingston) and John Bradbury (9th District against Charlie Norwood).  McKinney has a primary challenger in Hank Johnson and Scott in Donzella James.  Additionally, incumbent Jim Marshall (8th District), and challengers Patrick Pillion (3rd District), Stephen Sinton (6th District), Allan Burns (7th District), and Paul Blackwell (10th District) have not filed yet.  That adds up to eleven seats contested by Democrats.  We are currently, to my knowledge, not contesting the 11th District.  While it has a Republican incumbent and leans Republican, it is certainly not unwinnable.

The Republicans are officially contesting nine seats.  Incumbents Jack Kingston (1st District), Lynn Westermoreland (3rd District), Tom Price (6th District), John Linder (7th District), Charlie Norwood (9th District), Nathan Deal (10th District) and Phil Gingrey (11th District) have filed, meaning all seven Republican incuments intend to run for re-election.  Additionally, Republicans have found challengers in Mac Collins and James Neal Harris (8th District, presumably against Jim Marshall), Max Burns (12th District against John Barrow), and Deborah Honeycutt (13th District against David Scott).  The race for the 8th District nomination is the only current Republican primary.  Presumed Republican challengers Brad Hughes (2nd District against Sandford Bishop), Catherine Davis (4th District against Cynthia McKinney), and John Konop (6th District Primary) have not filed.  This adds up to Republicans intended to challenge 12 of the districts.  They other race, in the 5th, is not winnable by a Republican.

There's more...

Diaries

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