by Jason Rosenberg, Sun Nov 01, 2009 at 08:46:51 AM EST
This Tuesday voters in Virginia and New Jersey go to the polls to vote for Governor. But the way that the media is portraying it, you'd think there's a special election in these two states on President Obama's agenda. News stories have been out for months about what the results of Tuesday's elections will have on the Obama agenda. The media seem to suggest that Tuesday's elections will be a precursor to the 2010 mid-term elections.
In Friday's Wall Street Journal, Karl Rove wrote that if Virginians do what it looks like they might do and vote for Republican governors in Virginia, a state that Obama won in 2008, and "[if] Republicans also win the races for lieutenant governor and attorney general by five points or more, it will strengthen the case of those predicting a GOP "wave" in 2010."
While New Jersey's Governor's office looks like it will stay in the hands of Jon Corzine, polls suggest that the Virginia voters will elect a Republican to the Governor's mansion for the first time since 2001. Virginia, which was solidly Republican state, has elected two Democratic governors, voted Republicans out of control of the statehouse and has two Democratic Senators in Jim Webb and former-governor Mark Warner. So doesn't a Republican Bob McDonnell win Democrat Creigh Deeds spell disaster for the Democrats momentum in Virginia and the national Democrats chances in 2010?
The answer is no.