by Mitchell A, Tue May 13, 2008 at 06:23:19 PM EDT
Terry McAuliffe, Clinton's campaign director, responded a little while ago to a direct question by Keith Olbermann regarding Hillary's contradictory statements on Michigan. He declared that it is okay for Hillary to claim votes/delegates from Michigan, in spite of her earlier commitment to discount the election, because the other candidates made a political decision to take their names off the ballot. (So much for honoring the DNC's request.) So it's their fault, not hers. Wow! (Btw, why did she stay on the ballot for an election that she claimed would not count?)
For more, "Hillary and the Genie Do Florida and Michigan: A very short play in one act"
http://msa4.wordpress.com/
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by Jonathan Singer, Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 11:48:17 AM EDT
This is rather remarkable. Apparently in conversations with The Politico's Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen, the Clinton campaign now believes that it has a 1 in 10 shot -- at best -- at ending up with the nomination. Take a look:
One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning. Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party's most reliable constituency.
Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote -- which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle -- and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.
People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.
As it happens, many people inside Clinton's campaign live right here on Earth. One important Clinton adviser estimated to Politico privately that she has no more than a 10 percent chance of winning her race against Barack Obama, an appraisal that was echoed by other operatives.
In other words: The notion of the Democratic contest being a dramatic cliffhanger is a game of make-believe. [emphasis added]
It's not often in politics that you see this kind of blunt admission from a campaign -- particularly one that has generally been disciplined enough to stay on message for the last year or more. This statement cannot merely be written off as an attempt to lower expectations, which the Clinton campaign tends to be adept at. Unlike individual contests in which a candidate's performance is lined up against expectations, on that final ballot at the Democratic convention in August the thing that really matters is who can marshal the support of 2,025 delegates (or whatever the benchmark is by that point as it could shift as a result of how and whether delegates from Michigan and Florida are seated). There's no lowering expectations there, there's only winning or losing.
Now I'm not one to say that Clinton should drop out because it's nearly mathematically impossible for her to reach the magic number of 2,025. If she wants to stay in the race, I believe she certainly has the right. Yet at the same time, if her key campaign staff understands what the situation is -- that she has, at best, a 10 percent shot at the nomination now, as they put it -- is it really worth it to try to so tarnish the candidate who has the remaining 90 percent shot at the nomination while at the same time bolstering John McCain's national security credentials?
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by rocky, Wed Mar 05, 2008 at 07:07:24 PM EST
I think the next few days are extremely important for Clinton. Her campaign needs to fully understand that they had a near death experience,the campaign has been resuscitated but is still in intensive care and on life support. Any missteps at this stage would be difficult to overcome
She needs to control the narrative with the full understanding that the Press wants Obama to win.
She raised most of her money and generated a lot of support on the internet.. She needs to use every bit of this strength Daou needs to step up the game- all the contributors or supporters should be sent periodic( at least daily) message alerts responding to the Obama talking points or making her points. She can leave the contribute now button on but needs to keep the tone informative.
She has not responded vigorously to charges against her integrity- this needs to happen immediately and every time any one opens their mouth attacking her character they should get a reasoned (keep in mind these are hostile people)polite but pointed reply. Case in point fear mongering- was it fear mongering when Obama was talking about garnishing wages for health care?
The only claim Obama has is that he can bring people together- this is a hollow claim and needs to be exposed by picking up the behavior of his surrogates. So far every one that has endorsed him is citing not one concrete example but this general feeling that "he can". Start asking for one specific example where Obama has brought people from across the aisle to support a democratic agenda item. Lugar Obama needs to be described for what it is-Lugar has been working this issue for twenty years (remember Nunn-Lugar) and needed a democratic sponsor as did Coburn.
Any attack needs to be answered swiftly and smartly- regarding tax returns - what is exactly that you want to know? I am busy running for president and will release those on April 15. However if you have any specific question about my return and are not just fishing ask the specific question and we will provide specific answers. We have specific questions about rezko why dont you answer those?
Rezko is being tried for public corruption of elected officials how does that compare with people who are shady and want to contribute to political campaigns? Why is Obama campaign particularly picking on contributors of minority origin?
Contest vigorously every state and caucus. Dont forget to remind people of the primary vote in Washington state compared to the caucus vote .
A narrow window of opportunity exists and needs to be taken seriously.
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