Now that the re-canvas is over Joe Courtney's campaign reports winning by 93 votes.

One more Democratic pick up!

There's more...

Basically, i'll be going over the candidates who had the highest percentages of their totals come from committed voters. Also, i'll note which candidates have the biggest leads with Independents. And which samples look the weirdest to me.

First off, the Republicans whose total percentage includes the most weak voters

CT-2 (Simmons) has 30% strong support, with 16% weak.

Let me give you the partisan split for CT-2 and then we'll go under the fold.

Republicans: 60% Strong Simmons, 24% Weak Simmons, 2% Undecided, 4% Weak Courtney, 9% Strong Courtney (84-13)
Democrats: 9% Strong Simmons, 11% Weak Simmons, 5% Undecided, 14% Weak Courtney, 61% Strong Courtney (20-75)
Independents: 33% Strong Simmons, 15% Weak Simmons, 2% Undecided, 14% Weak Courtney, 36% Strong Courtney (48-50)

Basically Courtney has a good advantage, especially with this sample (which is probably slightly too blue to be realistic). But, there's a lot of Democrats who should jump back to our side given the right push.

Let's go under the fold.

There's more...

It is time to strip Joe Lieberman of his seniority and his party affiliation. There can now be now doubt that he is actively undermining Democratic attempts to take over Congress, and that he is overtly the Republican nominee. Jane writes:Because nobody could have predicted it -- Joe Lieberman will be campaigning with GOP candidates Jodi Rell and Rob Simmons today at the Groton sub base (the one that Holy Joe claims to have singlehandedly saved). Simmons, you'll remember, is the GOP candidate running against Democrat Joe Courtney for one of those hotly contested Connecticut House seats. You know, the ones where the Democrat is supposed to be helped by Lieberman's indy bid, right? Joe Lieberman is now actively supporting Republicans for important seats in Congress. He is now actively opposing the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Connecticut, Governor in Connecticut, and the second congressional district of Connecticut. Joe Lieberman wants Republicans to hold Congress. Joe Lieberman is actively trying to make sure that Republicans maintain Congress. It does not matter what he says anymore--he is clearly working with Republican candidates. This serves as grounds for removing his seniority, and as grounds for stripping him of his party affiliation.

Joe Lieberman is doing this because the only way he can win this election is both to receive at least 60% support among Republicans, and to have high Republican turnout (see here and here). Since both propositions are sketchy, he can't simply hope they will happen on their own. This is why he never condemns Republican polarizers. In order to get high Republican support and high Republican turnout, he has to actively appeal to Republicans, support their candidates, and turn out Republican voters. This will have a highly destructive effect on Democratic chances to retake Congress this year.

Enough is enough. It is time for Democrats in D.C. to take action in response to this. Tell them that.

Contact the DSCC about this: (202) 224-2447 or info@dscc.org
Contact the DCCC about this: (202) 863-1500
You can contribute to Ned Lamont here, and Joe Courtney here.