Dem House leadership: hot times ahead

I've been writing a fair amount recently about the alignment of forces in the House that look poised for conflict after the (we're supposing) Dem win next week.

The kerfuffle over the remarks of Ellen Tauscher a day or two back and other noises off suggesting that the Blue Dogs will be making their presence felt have added to the expectancy.

Today, we get the Post suggesting not only that it'll shortly be seconds out in the Hoyer/Murtha fight for Majority Whip, but that Rahmbo is supposedly contemplating trying to take down Caucus chairman Clyburn.

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GOP 'salami tactics' in Dem-controlled House?

Suppose the Dems perform to Chris's expectations in the House: how do the GOP fight back?

At this stage, I'm not looking at the minutiae of House rules, but thinking aloud about possible general approaches.

At one end of the spectrum, they could try all-out obstructionism.

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Pelosi to kick Jane Harman off Intelligence: Official (almost)

This morning's Timespiece firms up (a little) on the Harman/Hastings saga I last discussed yesterday.

It seems that the Signora has sent forth a mouthpiece to confirm that Harman does not have great expectations of the HIC chair in a Dem 110th:

"To say it is unlikely she will get the job is accurate," said one Democratic Congressional official with knowledge of the party's post-election plans.

Pelosi's beef with Harman is apparently that she dared to lobby to retain the Dem top spot on the HIC, and got various friends amongst the media and donor community to put in a good word - an LA Weekly May 06 piece goes into a little more detail on the point.

However, I can't help feeling that this is not the sort of thing that would have got Harman ousted from the committee unless Pelosi wasn't under pressure from the CBC to give the chair to impeachment convictee Hastings.

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Battle lines forming over jobs in Dem House majority

Over the last year, Speaker Pelosi has moved from manually aided lefty druther to odds-on bet.

And, to prove it, the Lioness garners profiles in the Post (on A1 on Saturday) and the LA Times (ditto).

But the Speaker-elect may well be up to her - knees, shall we say? - in internecine strife well before she gets to park her posterior in her chair of office.

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Tipping Points: A Primer on Control of the House and Leadership Styles

Chris Bowers currently projects that Democrats will win back the House, albeit narrowly (with 0 to 10 seats to spare).  What this means depends far more on the leadership style of the Democratic majority than on the actual margin.  Under the long term model of the House, that has meant that the most conservative Democrats have a considerable influence in deciding what part of President Bush's agenda gets passed.  Under the Republican scheme of the last 12 years, however, small majorities have ruled with an iron hand.  This represents more than greater cohesion on the part of Republicans.  It also embodies a specific leadership plan that downgrades seniority, promotes ideological consensus, and acts as if no Democrats were electyed to the House.

Let's examine the electoral impact of a Democratic victory under the most likely scenario (traditional leadership) but also consider the Republican model.  A discussion follows below.

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