Giuliani has been camping out in California instead of Iowa.
California is going to hold its Presidential nomination contest on Feb 5th, 2008, and it means drastically different things for the Republican and Democratic nomination. On Feb 6th, the Republican candidate that wins California will wake up and, winner-take-all, have taken in the motherload of Republican delegates, all but winning the Republican nomination. On the Democratic side, the delegates will be handed out according to some sort of threshold equation I won't pretend to know. On Feb 6th, 3-5 candidates will wake up with a fistful of Democratic delegates from California, someone winning the state with a plurality, but further from getting a majority of the delegates needed to win the nomination.
The recent California presidential polls show Giuliania to be alive and well in California:
PRESIDENT - CALIFORNIA - GOP PRIMARY
Rudy Giulaini 41%
John McCain 17%
Mitt Romney 10%
Duncan Hunter 6%
Sam Brownback 4%
Tom Tancredo 4%
Mike Huckabee 2%
Ron Paul 1%
Jim Gilmore 0%
McCain is
saying he's got Arnold's endorsement in California. But the conservatives, who loathe McCain,
are starting to talk mapchanger-like about Rudy up against Hillary:
It's hard to see a state that George Bush won in which Rudy Giuliani will not beat Hillary Clinton. And he will put a whole slew of new blue states into play: Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, to name just three. (The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Giuliani in a dead heat with Clinton in Connecticut.)
Which puts people like me, who care very deeply about marriage and life issues, in the position of thinking hard about Rudy.
With the latest
national poll shows Giuliani with a 22% lead, the
Hotline has bumped Giuliani above Romney to #2 behind McCain.
Update [2007-2-22 19:56:53 by Jerome Armstrong]:The California Republicans have actually changed their process, and it's now a winner-take-all by CD, so:
In 2008 the Republican Party will scrap its traditional statewide winner-take-all California presidential primary. Instead, the GOP will select the vast majority of California presidential delegates based on who wins in each of the state's 53 separate congressional districts, including 34 held by Democrats and 19 by Republicans.
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