House seat gain for Dems
by Jerome Armstrong, Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 06:53:08 AM EDT
Amy Walter, from National Journal, on the Democrats chances in the House:
At this point, we think the Democrats are poised to pick up 12 to 15 seats.
The NJ House rankings are here. The SwingStateReport has the 'power rankings' for the top 50 races.
A 15 seat gain would be tremendous for Democrats in the House in 2008. Going into the 2006 election, there were 202 Democrats and 232 Republicans and 1 Independent. Democrats won 31 seats in '06, and then have won seats in 3 special elections, to now hold a 236-199 advantage heading into the 2008 election.
Larry Sabato is saying a +8 to +14 D gain in the house too, for Democrats.
A 2008 gain of 14 seats would put the Democrats at 250 seats and the Republicans as 185 seats, a 33 seat advantage.Not quite 1890, and the "NINETY LONE" shellacking, but pretty good.
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