free-for-all

The DNC has no leverage over Florida:

Nearly 100 party activists unanimously voted to hold the primary on Jan. 29, setting the stage for sticky negotiations with the national party. DNC chairman Howard Dean appears to have little leeway to waive the rules, and even Florida Democrats doubt party activists in other states will want to make a special exception for Florida to violate a primary schedule carefully crafted in 2006.

Dean would probably like to see the current system destroyed, and what better way for it to happen than to let it implode upon itself. Michigan, which has long wanted to mess with New Hampshire, has been sitting back and waiting too.

After Florida lawmakers this year moved the primary from March to January - ahead of South Carolina - the Palmetto State is seriously looking at moving its primaries before Florida, which so far is the only state to violate the rules. Michigan party officials also are looking at scheduling a January election, with Iowa and New Hampshire talking about moving still earlier.

The early primary has been less problematic for Florida Republicans. While they will lose delegates under national party rules, the penalties are less severe than with the Democrats.

Meanwhile, Florida party officials are talking about holding a non-binding presidential straw vote in October, a symbolic exercise that could cost presidential campaigns hundreds of thousands of dollars if they aggressively try to organize a strong showing among Democratic activists.

They voted to hold off on a decision until later this summer, but Monroe County state committee member Pam Martin summed up the goal for holding one: "I want to be wooed."

And great, the GOP's Iowa's strawpoll vote get demoted and the Dems Florida strawpoll gets reinstated.... Then we turn to New Hampshire:
Gardner said he did not want the primary held on the assigned date of Jan. 22, given that within 12 days later, more than 20 states will be holding their primaries. "I don't see that as good for the country," Gardner said.

The longtime secretary of state said he had yet to choose a date, but would do so by the fall. He has not ruled out the possibility of moving the date into late 2007 to keep New Hampshire first. "My standard line has been, it's not going to be out of the realm of possibility," he said.

The discussion yesterday evening came on the heels of the news that the Democratic Party in Florida decided to move forward with having its primary on Jan 29, in violation of national Democratic Party rules that Dean said he would still enforce.

"We've set our rules and we're going to enforce them and if state parties go around these rules, it will involve losing their delegates," said Damien LaVera, a national party spokesman, who added that the same applied to New Hampshire.

My guess? Michigan jumps ahead of New Hampshire after they choose a date.

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