Most of you don't know much about me, because I haven't shared that much here; I don't post much about my personal life, and I'm not inclined to because I'm kind of a target for some of y'all.
I'm not complaining about this; just explaining why it's unlikely that anyone here would know that, when it comes to math and statistics, I'm formidable. I'm not saying this to be arrogant: it's not anything that I take credit for. I just happen to have a facility for mathematics and statistics. I find them boring but I'm extremely good with them and when I teach my students about research and research methodology, I often do so with an eye towards getting them to distrust what they see in mainstream media; even if not intentionally deceptive (which it sometimes is), the media uses math, graphs and statistics to misrepresent reality from time to time.
I expect this from the mainstream media, and I try to teach my students to look beyond the simple.
But I don't expect it here.
Two decades, I was working for a congressional candidate and doing statistical analysis for him. We'd received some polling data. I don't remember the exact details, but it came down to something along the lines of: 35% favoring his position, 32% favoring his opponents with 33% undecided. This was a small difference but he wanted me to present the data differently. He wanted me to remove the undecided from the numbers so he could claim that he had 52% support for his point of view.
This was a statistical lie, and I told him so, and told him that if he were going to pull that, he'd have to have someone else working on the data analysis because I wouldn't do it. This sort of crap pisses me off, and offends me because it violates the truth. This is why I'm deeply disappointed to have seen the following:
In a Front Page Diary, we have the following graph:

Note the low end of that scale: it puts 10,200 at the bottom of the scale, making this look like a huge disparity between the two.
This is what that graph should look like (Updated from the comments thread: mine didn't work for some reason):
There are arguments to be made that the current system is unfair and undemocratic. I happen to agree that it is. I have no idea who would have won this nomination had the system been different, nor do I care at this point. Right now, this is the system we're using and we probably do need to reform it, but the only meaningful way of doing so is to do it through the actual evidence.
I have no problem with arguments to change the system, but they shouldn't be based on deceptive graphs and they shouldn't be based on using numbers to present information with false spin.
This is the sort of thing I expect from the Heritage Foundation, not from Jerome.
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