There's a fair amount of bragging by the right that they did great online organizing to defeat this bill, and that's not entirely wrong. The great space the Republicans have not occupied online is the nativist sphere; lawmakers regularly get death threats from economically depressed quasi-white supremacist groups masquerading as patriot vigilantes, and they are very well organized online. Less intensely hate groupish, though still on that continuum, comes the nativist right, which definitely sits squarely in the Republican camp, and I could definitely see a strong right-wing activist blogosphere emerging from that group. In fact, the New Right, direct mail groups parallel to our own blogosphere, emerged from this wing of the party to try to kill the Panama Canal Treaty in 1977, an issue Reagan jumped on early.
Right now, that group is somewhat submerged in the GOP, smothered by the traditional consultants, and more than that, big business, though it is given free reign on war, abortion, Terri Schiavo, and general stomping on brown people. The GOP establishment does not fully embrace the nativist wing of the party - and neither do its think tanks and intellectual shops - for a very good reason. Big business wants cheap labor, and the cheapest labor is composed of undocumented immigrants who have no labor or legal rights, and thus no leverage. That's the only reason Bush wants to bring this bill back. He's an order taker from big business. Duncan Hunter, Ross Perot, and Pat Buchanan are all from the nativist wing of the party, and their dispute with immigration also cuts into another place big business does not want to go: trade.
So anyway, why did this bill die? Well from watching the utter confusion of the left-wing coalition groups, I'm just going to assume that nativists happened to get the upper hand over big business, and the left just didn't really play. As far as I can tell, despite a lot of discussion online and in the media, there is no coherent progressive position on immigration, and so the people fighting this out are the Minutemen and the Business Roundtable, with Ted Kennedy in there pleading to get something done, backed by a whole bunch of top-down liberal lobbyists with no real arguments or base. And right now, for reasons I don't fully understand, the Business Roundtable got beat.
Bush may or may not have the political capital to bring immigration 'back', I don't know. He seems to have lost control of his party on this one, though he has not on Iraq. What is clear is that if progressives are going to play on immigration, we need a strategy and a set of arguments. My gut says that this is going to require linking immigration and trade, since this is an issue having to do with labor, capital, and goods all flowing across borders. Our current immigration 'problems' (or opportunities, depending on whether you a big business guy who likes slave labor) cannot be disassociated from NAFTA, and I'm curious why that attempt was made.
In other words, if there's a 'grand bargain' to be struck on immigration, it should address the millions of Mexicans and Americans thrown into poverty by our trade policies, who then become immigrants or dispossessed. Regardless, the immigration debate, for it to be relevant to progressives, has to be linked to a larger narrative of economic instability. There's something about labor rights in there, but labor has so little reach now that we need new arguments.
The left needs to show up on this one, and the immigrant groups haven't been in the fight with moral arguments that we can understand and get behind. It's all about some weird compromise that I don't understand which looks like a sop to big business.
Also, as an aside, though I love him, Ted Kennedy is not a liberal movement guy. He's an insider Senator who wants to legislate and cut deals with the right. There's a role for that, the role of a great moral insider, but he's not a substitute for real left-wing progressive outside groups making good arguments and building a long-term strategy and movement. Meanwhile, the nativists and the big business behemoths on the right aren't going away, but understand that they are no longer compatible in the same party structure on core economic issues. Don't expect to see a real right-wing online movement with activist leanings to emerge without a death match against corporate elites.
|
|
|
Permalink :: 45 Comments :: Post a Comment
|
In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.
If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.