Also in response to the claims that I was spinning and / or playing the expectations game in my first post today, how about if I simply reply by saying that I didn't want to end up sounding as short-sighted as these various prognosticators on the race now sound?
The Weekly Standard, May 5th:
The other bit of comforting news comes from lefty blogger Markos Moulitsas. A recent poll from Quinnipiac put Sen. Joe Lieberman ahead of his super-liberal primary challenger, Ned Lamont, by some 40 points. A new Rasmussen poll says that Lieberman's lead is 20 points. Here comes the good news. Yesterday Moulitsas eagerly told his readers that Lamont is "within striking distance."
If the Democrats keep up that kind of wishful thinking, maybe they will find a way to lose what should be a big electoral victory for them in November.
Minipundit, May 2:
It's worth pointing out: Joe Lieberman is going to be a Senator from Connecticut at least until 2012. The polls are definitive. He's defeating his antiwar primary challenger, Ned Lamont, by 65% to 19%. Lamont can't possibly close a 46% gap. No candidate can.
Connecticut College Republicans, May 2:
Finally, Alan Schlesinger spoke... He flat out stated that if Lamont ran as a Democrat and Lieberman as an Independent that he would almost certainly be able to win, drawing historical parallels similar to those drawn by GC here on the blog.
Bull Moose, 2/17:
The good news that the good voters of his home state treasure Joe as much as the Moose.(...) It has long been the Moose's view that there is a gap between the loudest voices of the left-wing blogosphere and its like minded activists and actual rank and file Democratic voters.
If Connecticut voters like Lieberman as much as Bull Moose does, then I guess Bull Moose doesn't like Joe Lieberman much anymore.
Greg's Opinion, 2/16:
Chris Bowers goes off his usual cliff in deducing that these numbers mean that Ned Lamont is "right where we want to be" ... 55 points down with six months to go!(...)
I'm just really curious what the party line of the far left will be after Joe wins the nomination. Perhaps ... just perhaps ... it'll be as riddled with misconceptions and "facts" as the explanations for Dean's downfall in early 2004.
Of course, I didn't actually say that Lamont was "right where he wants to be," as a commenter to that blog forced the author to admit. But I wonder if Greg still thinks my early claim back in February, that Lamont has a real chance, was akin to going off a cliff.
There is a lesson in these quotes for all of us: don't be overconfident.
