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Additional resources (3.00 / 1)

Filing deadlines (in case of surprise retirements)

Illinois - December 19th, 2005
Texas - January 2nd, 2006
West Virginia - January 28th, 2006
Kentucky - 4PM on January 31st, 2006
Ohio - February 16th, 2006
Indiana - Noon on February 17th, 2006
North Carolina - Noon on February 28th, 2006
Mississippi - March 1st, 2006
Nebraska - March 1st, 2006
Oregon - March 7th, 2006
Pennsylvania - March 7th, 2006
California - March 10th, 2006
Maine - March 15th, 2006
Idaho - March 17th, 2006
Iowa - March 17th, 2006
Utah - March 17th, 2006
Montana - March 23rd, 2006
Missouri - March 28th, 2006
New Mexico - March 29th, 2006
South Carolina - Noon on March 30th, 2006
South Dakota - April 4th, 2006
Arkansas - Noon on April 4th, 2006
Tennessee - Noon on April 6th, 2006
Alabama - April 7th, 2006
New Jersey - April 10th, 2006
Virginia - 5pm on April 14th, 2006
North Dakota - April 17th, 2006
Georgia - April 28th, 2006
Florida - May 12th, 2006
Nevada - May 12th, 2006
Connecticut - May 16th, 2006
Michigan - 4pm on May 16th, 2006
Colorado - May 25th, 2006
Alaska - June 1st, 2006
Wyoming - June 2nd, 2006
Massachusetts - June 6th, 2006
Oklahoma - June 7th, 2006
Kansas - June 12th, 2006
Arizona - June 14th, 2006
New Hampshire - June 16th, 2006
Rhode Island - June 28th, 2006
Maryland - July 3rd, 2006
Wisconsin - July 11th, 2006
New York - July 13th, 2006
Vermont - July 17th, 2006
Minnesota - July 18th, 2006
Hawaii - July 25th, 2006
Delaware - Noon on July 28th, 2006
Washington - July 28th, 2006
Louisiana - August 11th, 2006

And the 9 oldest Republicans (who aren't retiring yet) [Ages are their age in November 2006]

Ralph Hall (TX-4, 83 years old)
Ralph Regula (OH-16, 81 years old)
Roscoe Bartlett (MD-6, 80 years old)
Sam Johnson (TX-3, 76 years old)
Bill Young (FL-10, 75 years old)
Don Young (AK-AL, 73 years old)
Vernon Ehlers (MI-3, 72 years old)
Joe Knollenberg (MI-9, 72 years old)
Jerry Lewis (CA-41, 72 years old)

I have my suspicions that Hostettler might retire. Right now, he has 61K raised and 27K on hand. I also suspect Bill Young might retire (despite not having real opposition willing to face him).

There's no real lowbar for "If the guy has raised under this number, he might retire". Kolbe raised 287K though September (which was slightly more than Franks, Shadegg, and Flake, all of whom are in redder districts)

Oxley raised 442K. So for all we know, he might be the animal acting weirdly before the earthquake. For all we know, he might be linked to Abramoff.

As for Abramoff..

I was thinking of putting a list here of all the current Republicans who got campaign contributions from him. But I did the list, and 41 Republicans were included, including a ton os $250 donations in 1996. Not bad for just $74593 in "over the table" contributions.

But here's the top five version of that list.

5T. Chip Pickering and John Doolittle - $4K

  1. Dan Burton - $5K
  2. Eric Cantor - $7K
  3. Dana Rohrabacher - $9.5K
  4. Tom DeLay - $10K

So yeah, the earthquake hasn't happened yet.
by RBH on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 01:21:43 AM EST

Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

Libiondo and Saxton both returned $1000 donations to Abramoff.

But the catch is that Saxton got $2K from Abramoff.

Lobiondo gave back a $1K donation from 2001 in August 2005, and then recieved a $1K donation from Abramoff in August 2005.

Source

Mike Ferguson refused to return the money.

by RBH on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 01:55:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

Do these states with extremely early filing deadlines have any escape valve, or are those absolute?  E.g., what happens if we get a mid-January retirement in a place like Illinois or Texas?
by arenwin on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 02:08:23 AM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

William Lipinski retired after the primary last year and the local Democratic Party committee just picked Daniel Lipinski to replace him.

I don't recall any random retirements in Texas.

Both Texas and Illinois hold their primaries around March, and I'm thankful California isn't doing that.

by RBH on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 09:27:45 AM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

In Texas, you can withdraw, but no one new can enter the race after filing.  The only exception is if the person was the nominee and he either dies or is constituionally ineligible to hold the office (and the latter is every limited in what the courts have allowed to be replaced).  For all practical purposes, if the person withdraws after the filing deadline, the party is screwed if he was the only credible candidate that files.
by Corey Olomon on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 10:25:38 PM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

Thanks, good stuff.  What election cycle does the Abramoff contributions come from?  I have seen much larger figures for many congressman and reports of our Virginian Congressman Cantor taking $31,500.  Here is one report that has much larger numbers and has Hastert on top taking over $100,000.

-Daily Virginia Political News

by Corey D Hernandez on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 10:43:15 AM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

I was just mentioning individual contributions from Abramoff to candidates, not PACs or anything else.

The Abramoff contributions to Cantor went as follows

3/19/03 (4K)
7/29/02 (1K)
5/8/01 (1K)
5/7/00 (1K)

by RBH on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 11:31:45 AM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

Abramoff's total contibutions started in 1994, and hit a peak in the late 90s and early 00s
by RBH on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 11:32:24 AM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

Thanks

Daily Virginia Political News

by Corey D Hernandez on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 11:39:27 AM EST
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Re: Additional resources (none / 0)

Nice work.

Also check out Barry Welsh's 50 State list, of all known Dem candidates for congressional seats, compiled from DCCC, ActBlue, and Politics1 lists. In Michigan, there's no known opponent yet for Ehlers - didn't realize how old he is, retirement could really be a possibility there.

by lpackard on Mon Nov 28, 2005 at 12:30:49 PM EST
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